Hiroshima vs Yomiuri Prediction 4 September 2026
📡 Hiroshima wrapped up their series against Chunichi with a 5-2 victory, making it three wins in their last four outings. Yomiuri, on the other hand, split a pair of games with DeNA after a tough stint against Hanshin-claiming a 4-3 win before falling 1-2. The prediction hinges on a rather vulnerable starting duo: both Masato Morishita and Kazuyuki Takemaru carry ERAs hovering around the 4.00 mark.
Head-to-Head
📊 In their last ten head-to-head meetings, Yomiuri hold a 7-3 advantage. The teams have combined for 78 runs, averaging 7.8 per game. Half of those matchups featured at least six runs, with notable results such as 11-5, 11-7, and 7-3. Over the course of the season, Yomiuri lead the series 11-6, outscoring their rivals 69-56.
Head-to-head statistics Hiroshima - Yomiuri
Hiroshima Toyo Carp Team Overview
Hiroshima have gradually bounced back after a disappointing end to August. Following three straight losses, they defeated Yakult 5-1, then beat Chunichi 5-1, suffered a narrow 4-5 loss, and responded with another 5-2 victory. That means the offense has put up five runs in three of their last four games. With a 49-64-4 record, Hiroshima still sit near the bottom of the standings, but their current offensive stretch looks far more convincing than what we've seen earlier.
Match Results: Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Yomiuri Giants Team Overview
Yomiuri are going through a less productive spell. After dropping three straight games to Hanshin and scoring just three runs in that stretch, they managed to edge DeNA 4-3 before falling 2-1 in ten innings. Over their last five outings, Yomiuri have managed only eight runs. However, they seem to have Hiroshima’s number this season: with 11 wins in 17 head-to-head meetings and an average of over four runs per game against them, there’s every reason to expect their offense to bounce back.
Match Results: Yomiuri Giants
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Masato Morishita, the right-hander for Hiroshima, has made 18 starts this season, posting a 3.88 ERA with a 6-9 record over 106.2 innings. He has allowed 99 hits, struck out 88 batters, and surrendered 50 runs, with a WHIP of 1.30. Nine quality starts highlight his upside, but the number of baserunners he allows continues to give opponents plenty of chances.
Kazuyuki Takemaru, the lefty for Yomiuri, owns a 3.93 ERA after 18 starts, with an 8-9 record across 103 innings. Takemaru has given up 104 hits, recorded 110 strikeouts, and allowed 52 runs, with a WHIP of 1.32. His stat line closely mirrors Morishita’s in terms of innings pitched and baserunner traffic.
⭐ Editor's Pick
The 5.5 line looks rather modest given that both starting pitchers carry ERAs of 3.88 and 3.93, with WHIPs north of 1.30. Morishita and Takemaru are both capable of solid stretches, but they allow enough baserunners that a single shaky inning could quickly push this matchup toward the over. Hiroshima have scored five runs on their own in three of their last four games, while Yomiuri’s bats have historically fared much better against this opponent than their recent overall numbers suggest. The last ten head-to-head meetings have averaged 7.8 runs per game, featuring several high-scoring contests with double-digit totals. Even a moderate 3-3 scenario would see this line cleared, and both teams have the tools to apply pressure once the starters exit. The pick: over 5.5 total runs.
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Betting Tips: Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Yomiuri Giants
in last 5 Hiroshima Toyo Carp games (NPB).
in last 5 Yomiuri Giants games (NPB).Other predictions
