Serie A Predictions: Round 32: 11/04-14/04
Inter Milan lavished a chance to extend their lead at the top of the Serie A standings when they lost their first-half 2-goal lead to Parma, who scored twice in the second half to salvage a point. The reigning champions remain at the top of the standings with the same gap, mainly because second-placed Napoli dropped points in Bologna.
Antonio Conte’s side was held to a frustrating 1-1 draw away from home, but they have a chance to bounce back to winning ways when they host Empoli this weekend. The Italian boss hopes Inter will struggle to turn their situation around against Cagliari following their involvement in the Champions League in midweek.
Juventus will look to continue their unbeaten run under a new management when they host Lecce, following a tight 1-0 home win over Genoa and a 1-1 draw in Rome against AS Roma over the weekend.
Despite last weekend’s results, seven teams remain in the race for third and fourth places in the Serie A standings. We looked closely at this round’s fixtures and came up with the best possible outcomes for every one of them.
Serie A Predictions: Round 32: 11/04-14/04
Corner kicks to come in excess: Udinese vs AC Milan
- Date: 11/04/2025
- Kick-off: 20:45 CET
- Corner kicks usually come in excess when both teams meet in Udine, and we expect the upcoming game to follow suit.
Udinese and AC Milan have shared the pitch in this venue many times, but their last five Serie A meetings in Udine clearly describe the nature of these encounters. Neither team dominated these fixtures in their previous five attempts, as Milan won two, lost two, and drew one. However, we found what was consistent in their last five meetings at Udinese’s home— corner kicks. On average, both teams served 10 corner kicks per game in their previous five encounters at Stadio Friuli, so expecting at least nine corners from the upcoming game isn’t a stretch.
Udinese vs AC Milan prediction: Total corners - over 8.5
Monza to make many late tackles: Venezia vs Monza
- Date: 12/04/2025
- Kick-off: 15:00 CET
- The reverse fixture was intense, with Monza making many reckless tackles. The upcoming game is expected to be as fierce as the reverse fixture in Venezia.
Monza and Venezia have only met once in Serie A, and the encounter ended in a 2-2 draw in Lombardy. Both bottom teams are expected to play like they mean it when they cross paths again for the second time in the top flight, and just like the reverse fixture, we expect Monza to commit as many fouls (17).
Venezia vs Monza prediction: Monza total fouls - over 16.5
Inter Milan to lead at half-time: Inter Milan vs Cagliari
- Date: 12/04/2025
- Kick-off: 18:00 CET
- Inter Milan need a response following last weekend’s draw at Parma, and getting a comfortable result over Cagliari should be their main priority.
Both teams have crossed paths many times in this competition, but their last five meetings in Milan reflect the nature of these encounters. Inter Milan won in the first half in four of their last five home matches against Cagliari in Serie A, and with the visitor struggling to string wins together, we expect the hosts to take charge of the game from the first 45 minutes.
Inter Milan vs Cagliari prediction: Half-time result - Home team to win
Juventus to bounce back to winning ways: Juventus vs Lecce
- Date: 12/04/2025
- Kick-off: 20:45 CET
- Lecce struggle in Turin, and their current form suggests their struggles will continue this weekend.
Juventus last lost a Serie A home game to Lecce in 2004, and since then, the Old Lady has dominated in all parameters, although the visitors spent most of the time in lower divisions. However, Lecce lost five and drew two of their last seven trips to Turin, and because they have struggled this season and Juve have performed well under Igor Tudor, we expect the visitors to succumb to another defeat at the Allianz Stadium.
Juventus vs Lecce prediction: Home team to win
Both teams will be cautioned by the referee: Atalanta vs Bologna
- Date: 13/04/2025
- Kick-off: 12:30 CET
- Matches of this nature are usually intense, and given that they are pushing for a top-four finish, this encounter is likely to remain fierce.
The centre referees for these meetings in Lombardy are usually busy, just like the last time both teams met, when five yellow cards were shown. Atalanta and Bologna are pushing for a top-four finish this term, so we can expect fierce challenges from both teams. On average, these matches produce 4.8 yellow cards per game in their last five encounters in the Gewiss Stadium. So we can count on both clubs to produce at least five yellow cards before the last while of the game.
Atalanta vs Bologna prediction: Total yellow cards - over 4.5
Parma and Fiorentina will exchange goals: Fiorentina vs Parma
- Date: 13/04/2025
- Kick-off: 15:00 CET
- Parma find it relatively easy to find the back of the net, and with Fiorentina struggling to keep clean sheets, the visitors are expected to get on the scoreboard.
Fiorentina and Parma have met many times in this competition, but their last five league meetings prove that both teams find it relatively easy to exchange goals. Both teams scored against each other in four of their last five Serie A meetings, and with David de Gea’s side taking part in this week’s Conference League game on Thursday night, we expect the hosts to be short on energy and struggle to keep their defense alert in 90 minutes this weekend.
Fiorentina vs Parma prediction: Both teams to score - yes
The centre referee will be busy in Verona: Hellas Verona vs Genoa
- Date: 13/04/2025
- Kick-off: 15:00
- Matches involving both teams usually produce many yellow cards, and we expect the upcoming game to follow suit.
Verona and Genoa have crossed paths many times, but their encounters rarely end without the referee cautioning both teams’ discipline. The last time both teams met in this competition, the ref showed eight yellow cards. On average, both teams produced 6.75 yellow cards per game in their last five meetings, so expecting at least five yellow cards from the upcoming game shouldn’t be a stretch.
Verona vs Genoa prediction: Total yellow cards - over 4.5
Torino and Como to struggle in the final third: Como vs Torino
- Date: 13/04/2025
- Kick-off: 18:00
- Both teams struggle in the attacking half when they come up against each other, and with Como’s current form, there’s a decent chance the upcoming game will end similarly.
Como and Torino have a very short list of meetings in Serie A, but the reverse fixture suggests the encounters are fond of ending similarly. All three meetings in Serie A between both teams ended with less than two goals, so expecting less than three goals in the return leg is a favorable push.
Como vs Torino prediction: Under 2.5 goals
AS Roma and Lazio lack ideas in the attacking half: Lazio vs AS Roma
- Date: 13/04/2025
- Kick-off: 20:45
- The Rome derbies usually lack goals, and the upcoming game may follow suit due to one or two factors mentioned below.
Lazio will compete in the Europa League on Thursday, so we don’t expect them to attack in full force against an AS Roma side that has improved immensely at the back. Their last five Serie A meetings ended with less than three goals, and because Roma rarely concede many goals, there’s a big chance this encounter may end in a goalless draw or a tight 1-0 win for the visitors.
Lazio vs AS Roma prediction: Under 2.5 goals
Empoli’s goalie to be busy: Napoli vs Empoli
- Date: 14/04/2025
- Kick-off: 20:45
- Empoli’s goalies don’t have it easy when they come up against Napoli away from home, and with the Naples pushing for the title, the visitors’ goalkeeper will be called into action several times.
Napoli find it relatively easy to hit the target when they come up against Empoli, and their last home game against this side wasn’t easy for Berisha, who made seven saves in 2023. Antonio Conte’s men will be busy upfront creating goal-scoring chances in a bid to bounce back to winning ways after last weekend’s 1-1 draw with Bologna. We took a look at the last five meetings of these two teams and found out that the goalie averaged 6.75 saves per game. So we can count on the visitors’ goalie to be called into action at least five times.
