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Outright predictions for US Open 2026: Who will be the winner of the US Open Tennis Championship?

26 Aug, 07:50
Carlos Alcaraz and Aryna Sabalenka are the leading contenders to win the 2026 US Open

The last Grand Slam tournament of 2026 presents us with a number of intrigues. After the withdrawal of Jannik Sinner, Carlos Alcaraz has become the men's favorite, but even his success is doubted by bookmakers, who offer reasonable odds. The women's competition is even more interesting – the probability of victory is estimated at over 10% for four tennis players.

This article collects the latest predictions for the US Open 2026, bookmaker odds for the women's and men's draws, and the most interesting bets on the main outcomes of the US Open tennis championship.

Odds for the US Open 2026 Women's Winner

WTA Player

Tournament Win - Yes

Aryna Sabalenka

4.00

Iga Swiatek

6.00

Coco Gauff

7.00

Elena Rybakina

10.0

Naomi Osaka

15.0

Mirra Andreeva

15.0

Jessica Pegula

16.0

Amanda Anisimova

20.0

Marta Kostyuk

20.0

Linda Noskova

25.0

Alexandra Eala

25.0

Karolina Muchova

30.0

Madison Keys

35.0

Elina Svitolina

50.0

Outright Scores24 prediction for the US Open 2026 Women's Winner

Aryna Sabalenka will be the US Open 2026 Champion

Odds: 4.00

Belarusian tennis player Aryna Sabalenka is the main favorite. She has played in the US Open final for the last three years and has won this tournament twice in a row. Stable form, pleasant memories from the US, and successful experience playing in decisive stages – all this speaks for the world's number one racket.

Among those who are obviously underestimated by bookmakers, Jessica Pegula should be named. The American is not exactly a dark horse, but most bookmakers rank her behind Sabalenka, Swiatek, Gauff, Rybakina, and some even lower than Andreeva and Osaka.

But Pegula has reached at least the semi-finals in the last two US Open tournaments, and recently played in the decisive matches of hard court tournaments in Cincinnati and Washington.

Finally, at various stages of the main draw, it's worth keeping an eye on the results of another American tennis player – Amanda Anisimova. She has been performing well on hard courts this year. She recently reached the quarterfinals in Cincinnati, and at the start of the season, she reached the quarterfinals at the WTA in Australia. Last year, she played in the US Open final, giving a worthy fight to Sabalenka.


Odds for the Men's US Open 2026 Winner

ATP Player

Tournament Win - Yes

Carlos Alcaraz

2.60

Alexander Zverev

4.00

Novak Djokovic

9.00

Ben Shelton

10.0

Taylor Fritz

13.0

Rafael Hodar

15.0

Arthur Fils

15.0

Daniil Medvedev

25.0

Felix Auger-Aliassime

30.0

Tommy Paul

34.0

Lorenzo Musetti

34.0

Flavio Cobolli

34.0

Jakub Mensik

35.0

Outright Prediction by Scores24 for the Men's US Open 2026 Winner

Carlos Alcaraz will win the US Open 2026

Odds: 2.60

Carlos Alcaraz, after returning to the tour, immediately topped the odds, especially against the backdrop of Jannik Sinner withdrawing due to ongoing knee problems. So far, in our opinion, the most obvious competition for him could be Ben Shelton, about whom we will talk a little later. The only concerns about the Spaniard are a four-month break due to a wrist injury and his not very familiar appearance.

Ben Shelton is having an outstanding season with four titles (three ATP 250 tournaments and the recent ATP 1000 in Montreal). He became the top-ranked American, surpassing Taylor Fritz. By the way, Shelton is the same age as Alcaraz, so the reserve of strength due to youth and experienceDue to consistent match practice, it should be enough for the latest stages. Closer to the start of the tournament, it's safe to consider Shelton's advancement to at least the semi-finals – the odds for such a path for the American will certainly be attractive.

Among the others on the tour, several dark horses can be identified. Alexander Zverev has overcome the psychological barrier before the Grand Slam, so he can once again disconnect all social networks, phone and deliver the Tournament of his Life, despite the weak hard court stretch before the US Open.

Novak Djokovic, despite his age, is capable of outlasting any younger tennis player. It's no wonder the Serb is among the top three contenders for victory. Taylor Fritz, Arthur Fils and Brandon Nakashima – a trio that has made their mark on the summer hard court stretch and, importantly, in the North American series tournaments, so with a wider line, we recommend considering them as the main contenders for at least the second week.

You can follow the match results, current data and odds in the tournament section US Open 2026 Men's Singles and US Open 2026 Women's Singles.

FAQ

Who is considered the main favorite to win the US Open 2026?

The main favorite according to the bookmakers' odds among men is Carlos Alcaraz, and among women – Aryna Sabalenka. The odds offered for the Belarusian's next victory are 4.00, and for the Spaniard's victory – 2.60.

What outright bets are available for the US Open 2026?

Bookmakers offer to place bets on the tournament winner, as well as on the statistical indicators of the US Open and on the tennis players' progress to a certain stage.