Liga Portugal 2026/2027 Outright Predictions
The title race in the Portuguese football championship once again revolves around the Big Three and the question of which club will finish highest in the Primeira Liga standings. We offer an outright prediction and analysis of the championship odds for Porto, Benfica Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon.
Primeira Portugal Liga 2026/2027 Outright Odds
Team | To win – yes | To win – no |
Porto | 1.94 | 1.74 |
Benfica Lisbon | 3.02 | 1.32 |
Sporting Lisbon | 4.10 | 1.18 |
Braga | 80 | – |
Alverca | 100 | – |
Casa Pia | 100 | – |
Estrela | 100 | – |
Famalicao | 100 | – |
Academico Viseu | 100 | – |
Santa Clara Azores | 100 | – |
Maritimo Madeira | 100 | – |
Rio Ave | 100 | – |
Nacional da Madeir | 100 | – |
Vitoria SC Guimaraes | 100 | – |
Moreirense | 100 | – |
Arouca | 100 | – |
Estoril Praia | 100 | – |
Gil Vicente Barcelos | 100 | – |
Scores24 Primeira Portugal Liga 2026/2027 Outright Winner Prediction
Porto to Win – Yes
Odds: 1.94
Porto's main advantage over their closest rivals is stability and continuity. Francesco Farioli remained head coach after the title-winning season, while a significant part of the starting lineup was retained. While Benfica and Sporting rebuilt key positions in a more fragmented way, Porto avoided major changes. That is already paying off at the start of the season: the defending champions won all seven matches, including the game against Benfica.
However, in the Portuguese championship the title is not necessarily won by the team that impresses most against direct rivals. It is won by the side that consistently collects three points against teams outside the Big Three. Last season Porto dropped points twice against Benfica and once against Sporting.
At the start of the current season Porto have had no problems against any of their opponents, while Benfica have already dropped points against Academico de Viseu, and Sporting have lost points against Estrela, Famalicao and Arouca.
In our view, the key element of another title for the “Dragons” will once again be their defensive performance. In 2023 Benfica conceded fewer goals than anyone else and won the championship; in 2025 the same was true of Sporting; and in 2026 of Porto. Last season's Porto numbers were particularly impressive — only 18 (!) goals conceded over the entire campaign, an average of 0.53 per match. Porto have started the current campaign with even stronger numbers, conceding 0.43 per match on average.
You can follow match results, current data and odds in the Primeira Portugal Liga section of our website.
FAQ
Who are the main favorites to win the 2026/2027 Primeira Liga?
Porto remain the main favorites, with their title probability before the September break estimated at 52%. Sportsbooks rate Benfica's chances of success at 33% and Sporting's at 24%.
What types of Primeira Liga outright bets are available?
The most popular options are markets on the tournament winner and on teams not to win the title.
