New England Patriots vs Houston Texans Prediction

    New England Patriots
    New England Patriots
    Houston Texans
    Houston Texans
    28
    16
    7
    14
    0
    7
    3
    7
    6
    0

    🏈 Gillette Stadium in Foxborough will host an NFL playoff clash between the New England Patriots and the Houston Texans. Both teams are in excellent form heading into this matchup: the hosts have won 9 of their last 10 games, while the Texans are on a roll with a 10-game winning streak, having bounced back from a poor start to the season.

    Head-to-Head

    Here is a detailed analysis of the head-to-head history between the sides since 2003. The New England Patriots have claimed victory 10 times, with 7 of those wins coming at home. Meanwhile, the Houston Texans have secured 5 wins, with just 1 triumph on the road. Notably, the Patriots average 29.13 points per game, while the Texans score an average of 22.13 points per game.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    65%
    11 Wins
    6%
    1 Draw
    29%
    5 Wins
    18.01.26
    НФЛ
    New England Patriots
    New England Patriots
    Houston Texans
    Houston Texans
    28
    16
    7
    3
    14
    7
    0
    6
    7
    0
    13.10.24
    НФЛ
    New England Patriots
    New England Patriots
    Houston Texans
    Houston Texans
    21
    41
    0
    14
    7
    0
    7
    13
    7
    14
    10.10.21
    NFL
    Houston Texans
    Houston Texans
    New England Patriots
    New England Patriots
    22
    25
    6
    0
    9
    9
    7
    6
    0
    10
    22.11.20
    NFL
    Houston Texans
    Houston Texans
    New England Patriots
    New England Patriots
    27
    20
    7
    7
    14
    3
    3
    7
    3
    3
    02.12.19
    NFL
    Houston Texans
    Houston Texans
    New England Patriots
    New England Patriots
    28
    22
    7
    3
    7
    0
    7
    6
    7
    13
    Empty
    There are no events
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    New England Patriots Team Overview

    The Patriots head into the game in excellent form, having secured 9 wins in their last 10 matchups. During this stretch, they've been highly efficient offensively, averaging around 29 points per game, which aligns with their season average (28.8 points - the best in the AFC), while allowing 18.8 points. The home advantage also favors New England: at Gillette Stadium, the team consistently participates in high-scoring games, with the total over 40.5 hitting in 7 of their last 8 home games. This trend can be attributed to a stable offense led by Drake Maye and a defense that not only contains opponents but also creates additional opportunities through pressure and forcing errors.

    Match Results: New England Patriots

    08.02.26
    НФЛ
    New England Patriots
    New England Patriots
    Seattle Seahawks
    Seattle Seahawks
    13
    29
    0
    3
    0
    6
    0
    3
    13
    17
    L
    25.01.26
    НФЛ
    Denver Broncos
    Denver Broncos
    New England Patriots
    New England Patriots
    7
    10
    7
    0
    0
    7
    0
    3
    0
    0
    W
    18.01.26
    НФЛ
    New England Patriots
    New England Patriots
    Houston Texans
    Houston Texans
    28
    16
    7
    3
    14
    7
    0
    6
    7
    0
    W
    12.01.26
    НФЛ
    New England Patriots
    New England Patriots
    Los Angeles Chargers
    Los Angeles Chargers
    16
    3
    0
    0
    6
    3
    3
    0
    7
    0
    W
    04.01.26
    НФЛ
    New England Patriots
    New England Patriots
    Miami Dolphins
    Miami Dolphins
    38
    10
    14
    0
    3
    10
    14
    0
    7
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Houston Texans Team Overview

    The Texans are also having a strong season and enter the matchup in excellent form. The team consistently performs well offensively, averaging 23.8 points per game. Houston's main strength remains their top-ranked NFL defense, which allows opponents just 17.4 points per game on average. In this regard, the visitors appear even more reliable than New England. Notably, there's a consistent offensive trend: Houston has surpassed the 19.5-point mark for eight consecutive games, highlighting their ability to maintain scoring efficiency even against formidable defenses and in high-stakes matches.

    Match Results: Houston Texans

    18.01.26
    НФЛ
    New England Patriots
    New England Patriots
    Houston Texans
    Houston Texans
    28
    16
    7
    3
    14
    7
    0
    6
    7
    0
    L
    13.01.26
    НФЛ
    Pittsburgh Steelers
    Pittsburgh Steelers
    Houston Texans
    Houston Texans
    6
    30
    3
    0
    3
    7
    0
    0
    0
    23
    W
    04.01.26
    НФЛ
    Houston Texans
    Houston Texans
    Indianapolis Colts
    Indianapolis Colts
    38
    30
    6
    10
    17
    7
    3
    10
    12
    3
    W
    27.12.25
    НФЛ
    Los Angeles Chargers
    Los Angeles Chargers
    Houston Texans
    Houston Texans
    16
    20
    0
    14
    3
    0
    7
    3
    6
    3
    W
    21.12.25
    НФЛ
    Houston Texans
    Houston Texans
    Las Vegas Raiders
    Las Vegas Raiders
    23
    21
    7
    0
    6
    7
    3
    7
    7
    7
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The match is set to be intense and competitive: New England consistently delivers high-scoring performances at home, while Houston maintains attacking efficiency on the road, supported by the league's best defense. Both teams are in good form, reducing the likelihood of a "closed" game scenario.
    Prediction: the total over 38 points seems a reasonable choice. The Patriots' offensive potential in home games, often surpassing high totals, along with Houston's consistent trend of scoring 20+ points, provide ample grounds for a high-scoring game even in playoff conditions.

    Our choice
    Total points Over (38) at odds of -161*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (17 January 2026, 22:54)

    Betting Tips: New England Patriots - Houston Texans

    New England Patriots won the 1st half
    new-england-patriotsin 14 of last 15 games (NFL).
    new-england-patriotsin last 8 home games (NFL).
    1st Half New England Patriots Win
    -137
    New England Patriots won the 2nd quarter
    new-england-patriotsin 11 of last 12 games (NFL).
    new-england-patriotsin 7 of last 8 home games (NFL).
    2nd Quarter New England Patriots Win
    -105
    Houston Texans won the 1st half
    houston-texansin last 8 games (NFL).
    1st Half Houston Texans Win
    +140
    New England Patriots have won
    new-england-patriotsin 14 of last 15 games (NFL).
    New England Patriots Win (inc. OT)
    MyBookie
    -118
    View more facts

    New England Patriots - Houston Texans Table position

    NFL 25/26
    gWLPDForm
    1.
    Denver Broncos
    Denver Broncos
    17143401-311
    2.
    New England Patriots
    New England Patriots
    17143490-320
    3.
    Seattle Seahawks
    Seattle Seahawks
    17143483-292
    5.
    Buffalo Bills
    Buffalo Bills
    17125481-365
    6.
    Houston Texans
    Houston Texans
    17125404-295
    7.
    Los Angeles Rams
    Los Angeles Rams
    17125518-346