Surface:
Red clay
Round:
1/8
Frances Tiafoe
USA
ATP - 17
0
:
2
Ended
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
ATP - 44

Tiafoe vs Arnaldi Prediction 30 April 2025

    USA
    Frances Tiafoe
    ITA
    Matteo Arnaldi
    3
    5
    0
    6
    7
    2

    🎾 The lights are back on in Europe, which means the Madrid Masters is in full swing. Another pair for the men's tournament round of 16 has been revealed. Frances Tiafoe will face off against Matteo Arnaldi. Can the Italian continue to surprise fans, or will Tiafoe put an end to his run? Check out our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    Tiafoe and Arnaldi have faced each other just once, at Wimbledon in 2024, where Tiafoe triumphed over the Italian 3-2. The American made a remarkable comeback from 0-2 down.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    33%
    1 Win
    67%
    2 Wins
    01.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Frances Tiafoe
    Frances Tiafoe
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    2
    3
    6
    7
    7
    6
    6
    3
    6
    7
    4
    6
    30.04.25
    Spain, Madrid
    Frances Tiafoe
    Frances Tiafoe
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    0
    2
    3
    6
    5
    7
    01.07.24
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Frances Tiafoe
    Frances Tiafoe
    2
    3
    7
    6
    6
    2
    1
    6
    3
    6
    3
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Frances Tiafoe Player Overview

    Tiafoe reached the final in Houston, marking his only notable success on clay this season. He struggled in Monte Carlo and Barcelona, exiting in the round of 32. Things are looking up in Madrid, though, as Tiafoe has advanced to the round of 16, albeit against relatively weaker opponents. He first defeated Italian Darderi, who retired after the first set. In the round of 32, Frances dispatched Frenchman Muller in straight sets in just over an hour.

    Match Results: Frances Tiafoe

    01.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Frances Tiafoe
    Frances Tiafoe
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    2
    3
    65
    77
    77
    65
    6
    3
    63
    77
    4
    6
    L
    30.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jaime Faria
    Jaime Faria
    Frances Tiafoe
    Frances Tiafoe
    2
    3
    6
    4
    7
    6
    6
    7
    1
    6
    2
    6
    W
    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Frances Tiafoe
    Frances Tiafoe
    2
    3
    77
    65
    65
    77
    4
    6
    77
    61
    4
    6
    W
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Eliot Spizzirri
    Eliot Spizzirri
    Frances Tiafoe
    Frances Tiafoe
    1
    3
    3
    6
    77
    65
    4
    6
    3
    6
    W
    20.05.26
    ATP Hamburg
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Frances Tiafoe
    Frances Tiafoe
    2
    0
    77
    63
    77
    64
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Matteo Arnaldi Player Overview

    Arnaldi has already stunned everyone by knocking out Novak Djokovic in the second round of the tournament, securing a 2-0 victory in just an hour and a half. So far in Madrid, the Italian has only lost once, to Borna Ćorić at the start of his first match. In the round of 32, Arnaldi swiftly dispatched Džumhur in an hour and a half. However, it's worth noting that the win over Djokovic might not be as significant as it seems, given that Novak is gradually declining due to age and likely conserving energy for Roland Garros. Therefore, Francis Tiafoe will be Arnaldi's first truly serious opponent.

    Match Results: Matteo Arnaldi

    05.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Flavio Cobolli
    Flavio Cobolli
    -
    -
    L
    03.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Matteo Berrettini
    Matteo Berrettini
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    0
    1
    5
    7
    2
    5
    W
    01.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Frances Tiafoe
    Frances Tiafoe
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    2
    3
    65
    77
    77
    65
    6
    3
    63
    77
    4
    6
    W
    30.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Raphael Collignon
    Raphael Collignon
    3
    2
    6
    4
    65
    77
    5
    7
    6
    4
    710
    64
    W
    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Stefanos Tsitsipas
    Stefanos Tsitsipas
    3
    1
    77
    62
    5
    7
    6
    3
    6
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editor's Prediction

    The American player is significantly more powerful than Arnaldi, and this match will be the first real test for the Italian. Tiafoe has reached the finals of clay tournaments five times, winning once, showcasing his proficiency on this surface. Our pick is a win for Frances Tiafoe in the match.

    Our choice
    Frances Tiafoe Win at odds of +108*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (29 April 2025, 13:09)

    Betting Tips: Frances Tiafoe - Matteo Arnaldi

    Frances Tiafoe has won the 1st set
    tiafoe-francisin 8 of last 9 matches.
    1st Set Frances Tiafoe Win
    Bovada
    +105
    Matteo Arnaldi has won the 2nd set
    matteo-arnaldiin 5 of last 6 matches.
    2nd Set Matteo Arnaldi Win
    Bovada
    -130
    Under 27.5 games
    tiafoe-francisin 8 of last 9 Frances Tiafoe games.
    Total Under (27.5)
    -256
    Frances Tiafoe has won under 13.5 games
    tiafoe-francisin 8 of last 9 matches.
    Frances Tiafoe Total Under (13.5)
    -238
    View more facts