Surface:
Red clay
Round:
1/16
Alex De Minaur
AUS
ATP - 7
2
:
0
Ended
Denis Shapovalov
CAN
ATP - 30

De Minaur vs Shapovalov Prediction 29 April 2025

    AUS
    Alex De Minaur
    CAN
    Denis Shapovalov
    6
    77
    2
    3
    63
    0

    🔊The tennis tournament in Madrid rolls on as we head into the Round of 32. Alex De Minaur is set to face Denis Shapovalov. It's a classic clash of speed and defense against aggressive play. Who will come out on top? Let's delve into our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    The tennis players haven't faced each other on the world tour in quite some time. Shapovalov would likely prefer to avoid this matchup, given the head-to-head record isn't in his favor. De Minaur leads 4-1.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    83%
    5 Wins
    17%
    1 Win
    29.04.25
    Spain, Madrid
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Denis Shapovalov
    Denis Shapovalov
    2
    0
    6
    3
    7
    6
    21.10.22
    STO
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Denis Shapovalov
    Denis Shapovalov
    2
    0
    6
    2
    7
    6
    08.08.22
    MON
    Denis Shapovalov
    Denis Shapovalov
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    0
    2
    5
    7
    6
    7
    05.01.20
    ATP Cup
    Denis Shapovalov
    Denis Shapovalov
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    1
    2
    7
    6
    4
    6
    2
    6
    21.11.19
    DAV
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Denis Shapovalov
    Denis Shapovalov
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    3
    7
    5
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Alex De Minaur Player Overview

    Arguably, the Australian is among the toughest opponents on the tour. Small in stature but exceptionally quick, this tennis player has been known to test the nerves of many. Playing against Alex is like hitting a wall, as he relies heavily on defense despite lacking significant physical power. His matches don't always go his way, but De Minaur is usually consistent, typically advancing two or three rounds in a tournament. His progress on clay is evident to the naked eye.

    As for his start in Madrid, there's something to be said. Although Lorenzo Sonego tried to keep things quiet, it was the Italian whom De Minaur outplayed in the previous round, showcasing confident tennis. Sonego barely had any break points, which is surprising given Alex often struggles with his serve. Overall, it was a commanding victory for a top-tier player, and we move forward.

    Match Results: Alex De Minaur

    16.06.26
    Great Britain London
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Gabriel Diallo
    Gabriel Diallo
    2
    0
    710
    68
    6
    3
    W
    14.06.26
    ATP S-Hertogenbosch
    Kamil Majchrzak
    Kamil Majchrzak
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    1
    6
    3
    2
    6
    77
    65
    L
    13.06.26
    ATP S-Hertogenbosch
    Adrian Mannarino
    Adrian Mannarino
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    0
    2
    4
    6
    0
    6
    W
    12.06.26
    ATP S-Hertogenbosch
    Benjamin Bonzi
    Benjamin Bonzi
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    0
    2
    2
    6
    4
    6
    W
    10.06.26
    ATP S-Hertogenbosch
    Martin Damm
    Martin Damm
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    0
    2
    68
    710
    5
    7
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Denis Shapovalov Player Overview

    Denis is the epitome of flair over efficiency. The Canadian often outplays himself. Shapovalov has returned to full throttle after his injury and even captured titles, but clay is more about earning than achieving for him. Shapovalov thrives on speed, which, unfortunately, is scarce on clay.

    In the previous round, he overcame Kei Nishikori. Shapovalov was a slight favorite going into the match, and it turned out to be a tight contest. The Canadian's 83% success rate on first serves likely gave him the edge. Nishikori, known for his long rallies, found it challenging to secure a win under these conditions.

    Match Results: Denis Shapovalov

    15.06.26
    Great Britain London
    Jack Pinnington Jones
    Jack Pinnington Jones
    Denis Shapovalov
    Denis Shapovalov
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    4
    63
    77
    W
    08.06.26
    ATP S-Hertogenbosch
    Marin Cilic
    Marin Cilic
    Denis Shapovalov
    Denis Shapovalov
    2
    1
    65
    77
    6
    4
    7
    5
    L
    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jaime Faria
    Jaime Faria
    Denis Shapovalov
    Denis Shapovalov
    3
    0
    6
    4
    7
    5
    6
    4
    L
    07.05.26
    ROM
    Denis Shapovalov
    Denis Shapovalov
    Mariano Navone
    Mariano Navone
    0
    2
    4
    6
    2
    6
    L
    25.04.26
    Spain, Madrid
    Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
    Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
    Denis Shapovalov
    Denis Shapovalov
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Editor's Prediction

    The favorite is clearly and justly defined here. De Minaur is expected to take the win, but it probably won't be a walk in the park for him. Shapovalov has the potential to put up a fight and avoid a heavy defeat, thanks to his power, which is a definite advantage. Alex often struggles against fast-paced opponents, suggesting this match could be a lengthy one. Our prediction is over 21.5 games total.

    Our choice
    Total Over (21.5) at odds of -133*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (28 April 2025, 09:47)

    Betting Tips: Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov

    Alex De Minaur has won the 2nd set
    de-minaur-alexshapovalov-denisin last 5 matches against Denis Shapovalov.
    Denis Shapovalov has lost the 2nd set
    shapovalov-denisin 5 of last 6 matches.
    2nd Set Alex De Minaur Win
    Bovada
    -312
    Denis Shapovalov has lost
    de-minaur-alexshapovalov-denisin last 4 matches against Alex De Minaur.
    Alex De Minaur Win
    Bovada
    -417
    Alex De Minaur has won the 1st set
    de-minaur-alexin 6 of last 7 matches.
    1st Set Alex De Minaur Win
    Bovada
    -303
    Under 2.5 sets
    de-minaur-alexin 6 of last 7 Alex De Minaur games.
    shapovalov-denisin 7 of last 8 Denis Shapovalov games.
    Sets Total Under (2.5)
    -213
    View more facts