Maria vs Zakharova Prediction 24 June 2026

Details
The main thing

    🎾 Tatjana Maria and Anastasia Zakharova are set to face off in the round of 16 at the Eastbourne tournament on grass. Both players have taken different approaches to this stretch of the season, and recent form suggests there’s a clear favourite. This clash will reveal whether Maria can reinforce her reputation as a grass-court specialist.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Tatjana Maria and Anastasia Zakharova have never faced each other before, so their head-to-head record won’t play a role in shaping the balance of power in this matchup.

    Tatjana Maria Player Overview

    Tatjana Maria heads into this match in confident form, having claimed seven wins in her last ten outings. In the previous round, she outplayed Jasmine Paolini and earlier got the better of Dayana Yastremska. Maria stands out at this stage with an impressive 68% set-winning rate, surpassing most of her rivals. On serve, she holds 63% of her games, while her overall game-winning percentage is a solid 57%. Her break point conversion is also noteworthy - she capitalizes on half of her opportunities. Opponents rarely push her into extended battles in the second set: six of her ten recent victories have come in straight sets.

    Match Results: Tatjana Maria

    23.06.26
    Great Britain Eastbourne
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    Tatjana Maria
    Tatjana Maria
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    W
    19.06.26
    Great Britain Nottingham
    Marie Bouzkova
    Marie Bouzkova
    Tatjana Maria
    Tatjana Maria
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    0
    L
    17.06.26
    Great Britain Nottingham
    Dayana Yastremska
    Dayana Yastremska
    Tatjana Maria
    Tatjana Maria
    0
    2
    1
    6
    2
    6
    W
    15.06.26
    Great Britain Nottingham
    Tatjana Maria
    Tatjana Maria
    Janice Tjen
    Janice Tjen
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    W
    12.06.26
    WTA London
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    Tatjana Maria
    Tatjana Maria
    2
    1
    64
    77
    7
    5
    6
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Anastasia Zakharova Player Overview

    Anastasia Zakharova’s recent form is somewhat less impressive - she has picked up six wins in her last ten matches, but four of her defeats came in straight sets. In Eastbourne, Zakharova advanced through qualifying and cleared the opening round, yet her set-winning percentage stands at just 48%, noticeably lower than her opponent’s. While her first-serve success rate is solid at 78%, she holds serve only 68% of the time and wins just 48% of total games played. Zakharova converts 44% of her break points, but she has consistently struggled in the second set-dropping it in each of her last six outings. This pattern highlights her difficulties when facing more consistent opponents.

    Match Results: Anastasia Zakharova

    23.06.26
    Great Britain Eastbourne
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Anastasia Zakharova
    Anastasia Zakharova
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    3
    3
    6
    W
    21.06.26
    Great Britain Eastbourne
    Oksana Selekhmeteva
    Oksana Selekhmeteva
    Anastasia Zakharova
    Anastasia Zakharova
    1
    2
    68
    710
    6
    2
    67
    79
    W
    20.06.26
    Great Britain Eastbourne
    Anastasia Zakharova
    Anastasia Zakharova
    Lilli Tagger
    Lilli Tagger
    2
    1
    6
    4
    5
    7
    79
    67
    W
    13.06.26
    Great Britain Nottingham
    Hannah Klugman
    Hannah Klugman
    Anastasia Zakharova
    Anastasia Zakharova
    2
    0
    77
    65
    6
    2
    L
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Anastasia Zakharova
    Anastasia Zakharova
    Karolina Muchova
    Karolina Muchova
    0
    2
    5
    7
    2
    6
    L
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    Key factors

    • Tatjana Maria have won 7 of their last 10 matches.
    • Maria's set-winning percentage is significantly higher than Zakharova's.
    • Maria claim 57% of games played, compared to Zakharova's 48%.
    • Zakharova have suffered four straight-set defeats in their last 10 outings.
    • Maria lead the key serve and return stats across most categories.

    Expected scenario

    The main scenario points to a clear advantage for Tatjana Maria, who comes into this match in better form and leads the key statistical categories. The likelihood of a third set appears low, and the gap in class suggests the German is well-placed to secure a straight-sets victory by at least four games.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Tatjana Maria appear to have the edge, both in terms of recent form and key performance metrics - she consistently holds serve and capitalizes on break point opportunities. On paper, everything points to a confident victory for the favorite, with little risk of a drawn-out contest or a surprise collapse in the second set. The recommended bet is Tatjana Maria -1.5 games handicap.
    Our choice
    Tatjana Maria Handicap (-1,5) at odds of -200*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (23 June 2026, 17:00)

    Will this prediction come true?

    Total votes cast: 0

    Betting Tips: Tatjana Maria - Anastasia Zakharova

    Tatjana Maria has won the 1st set:
    maria-tatjanain 7 of last 8 matches.
    1st Set Tatjana Maria Win
    -200
    Anastasia Zakharova has lost the 2nd set:
    anastasia-zakharovain last 6 matches.
    2nd Set Tatjana Maria Win
    -
    Anastasia Zakharova has won the 3rd set:
    anastasia-zakharovain last 3 matches.
    3rd Set Anastasia Zakharova Win
    -