Surface:
Grass
Round:
1/16
Mattia Bellucci
ITA
ATP - 78
16
:
13
:
20
Alexander Bublik
KAZ
ATP - 11

Bellucci vs Bublik Prediction 16 June 2026

Details
The main thing

    πŸ”Š The grass-court tennis season is in full swing, and Matteo Bellucci and Alexander Bublik are set to clash in the opening round at Halle. With the match taking place on grass, expect both players’ serves to play an even bigger role, potentially leading to a higher number of games thanks to their impressive serving stats. This head-to-head promises to be a tightly contested affair, as both competitors are known for pushing top opponents to the limit in hard-fought encounters.

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“Š Matteo Bellucci and Alexander Bublik have never faced each other before. Their head-to-head record offers no additional insight for evaluating this upcoming match.

    Mattia Bellucci Player Overview

    Mattia Bellucci heads into the main draw after stringing together two straight qualifying wins, despite falling to Taylor Fritz last week. He has picked up six victories in his last ten matches, with several of those coming against high-ranked opponents-demonstrating his ability to compete at a strong level. Bellucci is winning 80% of his service games, an impressive stat on grass courts. His matches average over 26 games apiece, and he’s converting break points at a 42% clip. Even when facing tournament favorites, Bellucci consistently manages to cover the handicap, underlining his resilience and competitiveness.

    Match Results: Mattia Bellucci

    14.06.26
    Germany Halle
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    Alex Bolt
    Alex Bolt
    2
    1
    65
    77
    7
    5
    6
    3
    W
    13.06.26
    Germany Halle
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mikhail Kukushkin
    Mikhail Kukushkin
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
    12.06.26
    STU
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    1
    2
    7
    5
    5
    7
    5
    7
    L
    10.06.26
    STU
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    Yannick Hanfmann
    Yannick Hanfmann
    2
    1
    7
    5
    64
    77
    6
    2
    W
    08.06.26
    STU
    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    1
    2
    2
    6
    77
    65
    1
    6
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Alexander Bublik Player Overview

    Alexander Bublik holds a strong position in the rankings and consistently delivers solid performances on fast surfaces. Over his last 10 matches, Bublik has posted five wins and five losses, featuring notable victories over Struff and Perricard, but also several defeats to players of a similar calibre. On serve, Bublik claims 81% of his service games-a figure slightly higher than Bellucci’s-and averages 10 aces per match. Despite his high level of play, this alternating pattern of wins and losses means it’s difficult to describe his current form as dominant.

    Match Results: Alexander Bublik

    13.06.26
    STU
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    0
    2
    4
    6
    4
    6
    L
    12.06.26
    STU
    Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
    Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    0
    2
    65
    77
    63
    77
    W
    10.06.26
    STU
    Jan-Lennard Struff
    Jan-Lennard Struff
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    1
    2
    63
    77
    6
    3
    2
    6
    W
    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    Jan-Lennard Struff
    Jan-Lennard Struff
    1
    3
    5
    7
    78
    66
    4
    6
    5
    7
    L
    22.05.26
    Switzerland Geneva
    Learner Tien
    Learner Tien
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    2
    1
    6
    1
    4
    6
    77
    65
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Key factors

    • Matteo Bellucci has covered the +2.5 game handicap in his last five matches on grass.
    • Matches featuring Bellucci and Bublik average over 26 games per contest.
    • Both players win around 80% of their service games, setting the stage for a tightly contested battle.
    • Bellucci’s recent encounters against top-tier opponents have been highly competitive.

    Expected scenario

    This match promises a high number of games, given both players’ impressive hold percentages. The likelihood of a deciding third set is moderate, with the contest expected to be tightly contested throughout-neither player is likely to dominate outright. This scenario aligns well with backing Bellucci at +2.5 on the handicap: the line appears justified, as the Italian consistently manages to keep things close even against elite opponents.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Mattia Bellucci’s current form suggests he can keep pace with the favorite in terms of games won-especially given his solid serving stats and a run of competitive matches against top-tier opponents. This matchup is likely to feature several extended sets, and there’s a real chance it could go the distance if both players hold serve consistently. The recommended bet: Mattia Bellucci +2.5 games handicap.

    Our choice
    Mattia Bellucci Handicap (+2.5) at odds of +107*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (15 June 2026, 14:12)

    Will this prediction come true?

    Total votes cast: 0

    Betting Tips: Mattia Bellucci - Alexander Bublik

    Mattia Bellucci has won over 11.5 games
    mattia-bellucciin last 5 matches.
    Mattia Bellucci Total Over (11.5)
    MyBookie
    -145
    Mattia Bellucci won with a +1.5 sets handicap
    mattia-bellucciin last 5 matches.
    Mattia Bellucci Sets Handicap (+1.5)
    MyBookie
    -145
    Mattia Bellucci won with a +2.5 games handicap
    mattia-bellucciin last 5 matches.
    Mattia Bellucci Handicap (+2.5)
    Everygame
    +115