Surface:
Red clay
Round:
1/16
Darya Astakhova
RUS
WTA - 236
00
:
29
:
24
Live broadcast
Noemi Basiletti
ITA
WTA - 330

Astakhova vs Basiletti Prediction 16 June 2026

Details
The main thing

    🎾 Daria Astakhova and Noemi Basiletti are set to clash in the opening round of the ITF tournament in Brescia. The match will be played on clay, with both players looking to find their footing early in the competition. All eyes are on the disparity in rankings and the current form of each contender.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Daria Astakhova and Noemi Basiletti have never met in an official match before.

    Darya Astakhova Player Overview

    Daria Astakhova heads into the match with six wins in her last ten outings, underlining her solid form ahead of the tournament. In her previous three matches, she posted two victories-over Lisa Pigato and Chloe Paquet-while her only setback came against Tyra Katrina Grant in the semifinals of her last event. Statistically, Astakhova stands out with a higher percentage of sets won (54%) and games claimed (50%), along with an edge in total points won-53% compared to her opponents’ 47%.

    Although she holds serve in only a quarter of her service games, Astakhova compensates for this with effective return play and a higher conversion rate on break points. Her superior ranking among the two players further cements her status as the favorite heading into this clash.

    Match Results: Darya Astakhova

    06.06.26
    WTA Foggia
    Tyra Caterina Grant
    Tyra Caterina Grant
    Darya Astakhova
    Darya Astakhova
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    3
    L
    05.06.26
    WTA Foggia
    Chloe Paquet
    Chloe Paquet
    Darya Astakhova
    Darya Astakhova
    0
    2
    5
    7
    3
    6
    W
    03.06.26
    WTA Foggia
    Darya Astakhova
    Darya Astakhova
    Lisa Pigato
    Lisa Pigato
    2
    1
    6
    3
    2
    6
    6
    3
    W
    01.06.26
    WTA Foggia
    Xinyu Gao
    Xinyu Gao
    Darya Astakhova
    Darya Astakhova
    0
    2
    4
    6
    1
    6
    W
    27.05.26
    ITF Serbia W75 Kursumlijska Banja
    Julie Struplova
    Julie Struplova
    Darya Astakhova
    Darya Astakhova
    2
    1
    77
    63
    2
    6
    6
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Noemi Basiletti Player Overview

    Noemi Baziletti have picked up five wins in their last ten matches, but four defeats without winning a set highlight their inconsistency. In the current tournament’s qualifiers, they managed to get past Radka Zelnickova; however, losses to Varvara Lepchenko and Mia Ristic suggest Baziletti struggle against higher-caliber opponents.

    Baziletti’s set win percentage stands at 48%, with a similar mark in games won (48%), and just 49% of total points claimed. On serve, Baziletti hold nearly half of their service games-around average for this level of competition. Another notable statistic is the number of double faults, which remains higher than their opponent’s and above the tour average.

    Match Results: Noemi Basiletti

    15.06.26
    WTA 125K Brescia, Italy Women Singles
    Mia Ristic
    Mia Ristic
    Noemi Basiletti
    Noemi Basiletti
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    3
    L
    14.06.26
    WTA 125K Brescia, Italy Women Singles
    Radka Zelnickova
    Radka Zelnickova
    Noemi Basiletti
    Noemi Basiletti
    0
    2
    3
    6
    5
    7
    W
    09.06.26
    WTA Modena
    Noemi Basiletti
    Noemi Basiletti
    Varvara Lepchenko
    Varvara Lepchenko
    0
    2
    2
    6
    3
    6
    L
    07.06.26
    WTA Modena
    Noemi Basiletti
    Noemi Basiletti
    Beatrice Ricci
    Beatrice Ricci
    2
    1
    6
    2
    1
    6
    6
    0
    W
    03.06.26
    ITF Italy W75 Caserta
    Noemi Basiletti
    Noemi Basiletti
    Gabriela Ce
    Gabriela Ce
    1
    2
    4
    6
    77
    64
    2
    6
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Key factors

    • Daria Astakhova have claimed victory in 6 of their last 10 matches.
    • Astakhova boast a higher percentage of sets and games won compared to their opponent.
    • Noemi Baziletti have dropped 4 of their last 10 matches and suffered more straight-set defeats.
    • Astakhova hold a higher position in the rankings.
    • The two players have yet to meet head-to-head, which reduces the element of surprise.

    Expected scenario

    The scenario points to Daria Astakhova holding the edge thanks to her consistent form, superior set and game win percentages, and higher ranking. However, Noemie Basiletti is expected to put up a fight, with a moderate chance of the match going to a deciding third set. Given these factors, backing the favourite for victory remains the most likely outcome.

    ⭐ Editor’s Prediction

    Daria Astakhova heads into this match in stronger form, boasting more wins, a higher set-winning percentage, and a clear ranking advantage over her opponent. Even if the contest turns into a tough battle or goes the distance, the Russian’s edge should be enough to see her through to the second round. The pick - Daria Astakhova to win.

    Our choice
    Darya Astakhova Win at odds of -145*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (16 June 2026, 06:14)

    Will this prediction come true?

    Total votes cast: 0

    Betting Tips: Darya Astakhova - Noemi Basiletti

    Darya Astakhova won with a +1.5 sets handicap
    darya-astakhovain 21 of last 23 matches.
    Darya Astakhova Sets Handicap (+1.5)
    -333