Pegula vs Keys Prediction 11 January 2025

Should we agree with the sportbooks that there is no clear favorite in the match between Jessica Pegula and Madison Keys at the decisive stage of the tournament in Adelaide? A great question that we addressed in our prediction. According to the head-to-head record between the compatriots, there's currently a tie (1-1). Moreover, it's worth noting that in both instances, the matches were resolved in two sets.

Jessica Pegula

Pegula hit a fantastic stride right after her vacation, likely motivated by a desire to conquer the Australian Open. While Jessica has yet to achieve the ultimate result at a major, she has long conquered other competitions. Last fall, the American came extremely close to triumphing at the US Open. However, she couldn't break through Aryna Sabalenka's resistance. Today, however, the athlete dealt with Yulia Putintseva in exactly one and a half hours, facing some problems with her return (two break points converted out of six).

Madison Keys

Keys advanced through her side of the draw slightly less confidently, which does not indicate mediocre condition. Previously, Madison won a trophy at these competitions, decisively beating Alison Riske in crucial battles. This time, however, the US representative lost a set to Ludmila Samsonova and Jelena Ostapenko, leaving no chance for Daria Kasatkina and Beatriz Haddad. In total, the tennis player recorded an impressive 32 aces for the championship, surrendering her serve 10 times.

Editorial Prediction

In our humble opinion, this match is likely to be dominated by Pegula. Keys does not seem as formidable in every aspect, and we believe she will make several unacceptable errors in key situations. A victory for the world's seventh-ranked player is the optimal choice for this American derby.