Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/64
Mattia Bellucci
ITA
ATP - 74
0
:
2
Ended
Damir Dzumhur
BIH
ATP - 56

Bellucci vs Dzumhur Prediction 8 August 2025

    ITA
    Mattia Bellucci
    BIH
    Damir Dzumhur
    6
    6
    0
    7
    7
    2

    🔊 The prestigious tennis tournament in Cincinnati has kicked off, and the first round promises an intriguing clash between Mattia Bellucci and Damir Dzumhur. Despite Bellucci being ranked 18 spots lower than his opponent in the world rankings, bookmakers have pegged him as the favorite for this encounter. Let's delve deeper into this match and offer a well-founded prediction on its outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    Prior to this, Mattia Bellucci and Damir Dzumhur have faced each other twice, both times on clay courts. In 2022, the Italian triumphed in Cordenons with a 2-0 victory, while in 2025, the Bosnian emerged victorious in Madrid with a 2-1 win.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    25%
    1 Win
    75%
    3 Wins
    22.04.26
    Spain, Madrid
    Damir Dzumhur
    Damir Dzumhur
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    08.08.25
    USA Cincinnati
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    Damir Dzumhur
    Damir Dzumhur
    0
    2
    6
    7
    6
    7
    24.04.25
    Spain, Madrid
    Damir Dzumhur
    Damir Dzumhur
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    4
    6
    2
    04.08.22
    Italy Cordenons, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Damir Dzumhur
    Damir Dzumhur
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    0
    2
    2
    6
    1
    6
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    Mattia Bellucci Player Overview

    Belluci has never played in the Cincinnati tournament before. Mattia isn't particularly fond of hard court tournaments and currently holds a losing record of 2/8 on this surface for the season. Considering the caliber of opponents he'll face in Cincinnati, it's unlikely we can expect a deep run from him given his stats on hard courts.

    At Wimbledon, Belluci reached the third round, where he was defeated by Cameron Norrie in straight sets. Following the major, the Italian took a two-week break and only returned for the tournament in Toronto. In the first round in Canada, against Hugo Gaston, Mattia retired due to injury with the score tied at 1-1 in sets and trailing (0-2) in the third set. Health issues were apparent from the start of that match: his first serve was off, hitting just 39% in the first set and 35% in the second.

    Match Results: Mattia Bellucci

    14.06.26
    Germany Halle
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    Alex Bolt
    Alex Bolt
    2
    1
    65
    77
    7
    5
    6
    3
    W
    13.06.26
    Germany Halle
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mikhail Kukushkin
    Mikhail Kukushkin
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
    12.06.26
    STU
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    1
    2
    7
    5
    5
    7
    5
    7
    L
    10.06.26
    STU
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    Yannick Hanfmann
    Yannick Hanfmann
    2
    1
    7
    5
    64
    77
    6
    2
    W
    08.06.26
    STU
    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    1
    2
    2
    6
    77
    65
    1
    6
    W
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    Damir Dzumhur Player Overview

    Dzumhur has visited Cincinnati twice before: in 2016, he didn't make it past the qualifiers, and in 2018, he was knocked out in the first round of the main draw. His hard court stats this season are fairly solid, with 8 wins and 6 losses. His main achievements on this surface include reaching the final of a Challenger in the Dominican Republic and advancing to the second round at Indian Wells.

    After his first-round exit at Wimbledon, Damir turned his attention to clay tournaments in Europe, where he spent nearly all of July. He didn't achieve much of note there. At the end of last month, the Bosnian traveled to Toronto but was eliminated in his opening match by Francisco Comesana (3-6, 5-7). It's worth noting that Dzumhur had a rather high first serve percentage in that match-68%.

    Match Results: Damir Dzumhur

    15.06.26
    ATP Challenger Parma
    Buvaysar Gadamauri
    Buvaysar Gadamauri
    Damir Dzumhur
    Damir Dzumhur
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    L
    04.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Taro Daniel
    Taro Daniel
    Damir Dzumhur
    Damir Dzumhur
    2
    1
    6
    4
    4
    6
    6
    3
    L
    02.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Miguel Damas
    Miguel Damas
    Damir Dzumhur
    Damir Dzumhur
    1
    2
    77
    62
    4
    6
    5
    7
    W
    24.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
    Damir Dzumhur
    Damir Dzumhur
    3
    2
    63
    77
    6
    3
    2
    6
    7
    5
    6
    3
    L
    14.05.26
    ATP Challenger Valencia, Spain Men Singles
    Damir Dzumhur
    Damir Dzumhur
    Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
    Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
    0
    2
    2
    6
    64
    77
    L
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    Editor's Prediction

    Despite Bellucci's recent injury, poor hard court record, and questionable physical condition, he is surprisingly the bookmakers' favorite for the upcoming match. We find this assessment puzzling and strongly disagree with it. Considering Dzumhur's solid performance on hard courts this season, we suggest backing him with a positive handicap. Our bet - Dzumhur handicap (+3.5).

    Our choice
    Damir Dzumhur Handicap (+3.5) at odds of -182*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (7 August 2025, 11:54)

    Betting Tips: Mattia Bellucci - Damir Dzumhur

    Damir Dzumhur has lost the 1st set
    damir-dzumhurin 5 of last 6 matches.
    1st Set Mattia Bellucci Win
    Bovada
    -145
    Over 19.5 games
    damir-dzumhurin 7 of last 8 Damir Dzumhur games.
    Total Over (19.5)
    -345
    Mattia Bellucci has won under 13.5 games
    mattia-bellucciin last 5 matches.
    Mattia Bellucci Total Under (13.5)
    -250
    Under 2.5 sets
    mattia-bellucciin last 5 Mattia Bellucci games.
    Sets Total Under (2.5)
    -172
    View more facts