Maldonado vs Nacional Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 31 May 2026
💥 Matchday three of Uruguay's Torneo Intermedio Group B brings a true top-of-the-table clash. Deportivo Maldonado and Nacional Montevideo, currently sitting second and first after two rounds, go head-to-head in a pivotal encounter. For Deportivo, this fixture is a golden opportunity to leapfrog their rivals and seize control of the group. Nacional, meanwhile, will be determined to tighten their grip on top spot and underline their title credentials away from home. Check out our prediction for this high-stakes showdown below.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official clash between these sides ended in a 4-2 scoreline. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that match (Deportivo Maldonado were the home team):
- Possession: 48% vs 52%;
- Corners: 3 vs 4;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 4.
📊A statistical preview of the official head-to-head meetings between Deportivo Maldonado and Nacional Montevideo:
- The sides have faced off 14 times;
- The hosts have claimed 5 victories, while the visitors have come out on top 7 times, with 2 draws;
- Goals scored: 18 for Deportivo Maldonado, 24 for Nacional Montevideo;
- Average first-half goals: 0.93; average second-half goals: 2.07;
- The average total goals per match stands at 3.
Head-to-head statistics Maldonado - Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado Team Overview
The teams last met in an official fixture in the Primera, with Montevideo Wanderers playing host to Deportivo Maldonado. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here’s a breakdown of the key match stats (Deportivo Maldonado vs Montevideo Wanderers):
- Possession: 51% vs 49%;
- Corners: 6 vs 5;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Deportivo Maldonado are in impressive form in the Torneo Intermedio, currently sitting second in Group B with four points. The team are renowned for their solid defensive organisation and their ability to capitalise on attacking opportunities. Over their last five matches, they have picked up three wins and suffered just one defeat, underlining their consistent run and well-balanced approach. Across their previous ten fixtures, Deportivo average 1.7 goals scored per game while conceding only once per match. These numbers highlight their discipline at the back and their knack for delivering results even against tough opposition.
Match Results: Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional Montevideo Team Overview
The visitors’ most recent official fixture came in the Copa Libertadores, where they faced Nacional Montevideo away from home. The match ended in a 1-0 result.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from that game (Nacional Montevideo vs Coquimbo Unido):
- Possession: 33% vs 67%;
- Corners: 2 vs 8;
- Fouls committed: 11 vs 16;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Nacional Montevideo currently sit alone at the top of Group B, having collected a maximum six points from their opening two fixtures. Despite their position in the overall standings, they continue to establish themselves as a formidable opponent, particularly on the road. Their attacking output away from home is impressive, averaging 1.75 goals per match, while a run of four wins and a draw in their last five outings highlights their positive momentum. However, Nacional’s back line hasn’t always held firm under pressure, conceding an average of 1.25 goals per game this season and 1.4 over their most recent ten matches. These numbers point to a tendency for open, high-scoring football-making their games some of the most entertaining to watch.
Match Results: Club Nacional Montevideo
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 14;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 5;
- Average first-half total: 0.93;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.43, while the visitors net 0.5.
First-Half Stats: Deportivo Maldonado (home) vs Club Nacional Montevideo (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 7;
- wins: 4 (50%) vs 1 (14.29%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- draws: 4 (50%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- Average goals scored: 1.88 vs 2.43;
- Average goals conceded: 0.63 vs 1.43.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 6 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.7 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.7).
- Deportivo Maldonado scored in the 1st half in last 5 home games (Primera Division).
- Club Nacional Montevideo conceded in the 1st half in 9 of last 10 away games.
- Club Nacional Montevideo conceded in the 1st half in last 7 away games (Primera Division).
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Matches played - 14;
- Home wins - 5, Away wins - 7, Draws - 2.
Stats: Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional Montevideo
- Games in the competition: 15 vs 15;
- Wins: 10 vs 9;
- Win percentage: 63% vs 56%;
- Losses: 3 vs 6;
- Draws: 3 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 5;
- Losses: 2 vs 4;
- Draws: 2 vs 1.
- Deportivo Maldonado are unbeaten at home in 10 of their last 11 matches.
- Deportivo Maldonado avoid defeat in 7 of their last 8 Primera fixtures.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home side - 1.29, Away side - 1.71;
- Average in H2H - 3;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 8 times; on home turf - 4 times.
Average total stats: Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional Montevideo
- In the competition: 2.63 vs 3;
- Goals scored: 1.69 vs 1.75;
- First half: 1 vs 0.81;
- Second half: 0.69 vs 0.94;
- Deportivo Maldonado at home in the competition - 2;
- Nacional Montevideo away in the competition - 2.14;
- Last 10 matches: 1.7 (home - 2.2) vs 1.6 (away - 1.8).
- Deportivo Maldonado have scored in 12 consecutive Primera matches.
- Deportivo Maldonado have found the net in eight straight home games (Primera).
- Nacional Montevideo have conceded in their last 13 away matches.
- Nacional Montevideo have let in goals in their last 10 away Primera fixtures.
Corner Kicks Prediction
Deportivo Maldonado: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 5.19; at home - 3.63;
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 4.8; at home - 3.2.
Nacional Montevideo: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 6; away - 5.14;
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 6.4; away - 5.4.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- Matches played - 14;
- Both teams have scored all-time - 8 times;
- On the home ground - 4 times.
Stats: Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional Montevideo
- Matches played in this competition: 15 vs 15;
- Matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): season - 10 vs 9;
- Deportivo Maldonado BTTS at home - 5 (63%);
- Nacional Montevideo BTTS away - 7 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS games: 7 vs 5;
- Deportivo Maldonado BTTS at home - 4 (80%);
- Nacional Montevideo BTTS away - 4 (80%).
- Deportivo Maldonado both score and concede in six of their last seven Primera matches.
- Nacional Montevideo both score and concede in twelve of their last thirteen away games.
- Nacional Montevideo both score and concede in ten consecutive away Primera fixtures.
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results (current season):
- The most common scoreline in the competition: 0-1 (19/129, 14.7%);
- Deportivo Maldonado at home most often finish with: 1-0, 2-1 (2/8, 25%);
- Nacional Montevideo away most often end with: 1-2 (2/7, 28.6%).
The algorithm’s probability model suggests these top three outcomes:
1-1 - 11.25% (odds: 6.5)
1-2 - 8.14% (odds: 9)
0-1 - 7.2% (odds: 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The upcoming clash between the Group B frontrunners promises end-to-end action at both ends of the pitch. Deportivo Maldonado, playing on home soil, boast a well-balanced attack, averaging 1.7 goals per match, and will be eager to find the net against their direct rivals. Meanwhile, Nacional Montevideo have built a reputation for their impressive scoring rate on the road-averaging 1.75 goals per game-though they tend to leave gaps at the back and allow chances for their opponents. Given both teams’ attacking firepower and their strong motivation in the race for top spot, backing both teams to score looks like a well-founded prediction.No comments
Betting Tips: Deportivo Maldonado - Club Nacional Montevideo
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