AD Tarma vs Cusco Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 30 May 2026
π Tarma head into this fixture riding a solid run of form, while Cusco are still searching for consistency. Both sides sit around mid-table, with Cusco holding the upper hand in sixth place compared to Tarmaβs tenth. The key difference lies in recent performances: the hosts have built positive momentum, whereas the visitors have dropped more points and conceded more goals over the past few weeks.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 23 September 2025 and ended in a 0-2 result. Hereβs a comparative breakdown from that encounter (Cusco were the home team):
- Possession: 70% vs 30%;
- Corners: 5 vs 3;
- Fouls: 11 vs 8;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 5.
π Tarma and Cusco have only met twice in official competition. Their most recent head-to-head took place on 23 September 2025 at Cusco's home ground, where Tarma came away with a 2-0 victory.
Head-to-head statistics AD Tarma - Cusco
AD Tarma Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the Primera Division, with Sporting Cristal hosting Tarma. The game ended in a 2-1 victory for the home side.
Here are the key match stats (Tarma vs Sporting Cristal):
- Possession: 37% vs 63%;
- Corners: 0 vs 12;
- Fouls: 15 vs 6;
- Yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 1 vs 7.
Tarma have found some solid form lately, picking up three wins, a draw, and just one defeat in their last five outings. Over a ten-match span, Tarma boast four victories, three losses, and three draws-a pattern that points to consistent point accumulation without dramatic slumps. They average 1.6 goals per game while conceding just 1.1, a balance that keeps them competitive even against teams at the top end of the table. Despite sitting tenth, their recent run suggests they are more than capable of making it a real contest on home soil.
Match Results: AD Tarma
Real Garcilaso Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa Libertadores, facing Flamengo away from home. The contest ended in a 3-0 defeat for Cusco.
Hereβs a breakdown of the key stats (Cusco vs Flamengo):
- Possession: 32% vs 68%;
- Corners: 2 vs 9;
- Fouls: 11 vs 11;
- Yellow cards: 5 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 1 vs 15.
Cusco are going through a rough patch, having managed just one win in their last five outings, alongside three defeats and a draw. Over their past ten matches, theyβve picked up three victories, suffered four losses, and drawn three times - a clear sign of inconsistency. On average, Cusco score just 1 goal per game while conceding 1.3, numbers that fall short of whatβs required to challenge at the top end of the table. The visitorsβ defence has looked shaky, even against teams in the lower half of the standings, which has taken a toll on their overall results. Despite sitting sixth in the league, their recent form highlights a dip in attacking quality and ongoing lapses in concentration at the back.
Match Results: Real Garcilaso
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 2;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.5, while the visitors net 0.5.
First-Half Stats: AD Tarma (home) vs Cusco (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- wins: 5 (62.5%) vs 2 (25%);
- losses: 2 (25%) vs 1 (12.5%);
- draws: 1 (12.5%) vs 5 (62.5%);
- Average goals scored: 1.13 vs 1.75;
- Average goals conceded: 0.38 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 1;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 4 vs 8;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.4).
- Cusco have drawn in the 1st half in last 6 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.
Statistics: AD Tarma vs Cusco
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 5 vs 7;
- win percentage: 31% vs 44%;
- losses: 6 vs 6;
- draws: 5 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Cusco have not won in 7 of last 8 games.
- Cusco have not won in last 6 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 0.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: AD Tarma vs Cusco
- average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 2.63;
- average total goals scored: 1.31 vs 1.19;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.56;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.75 vs 0.63;
- AD Tarma: average total at home in the tournament - 1.63;
- Cusco: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.6) vs 1 (away - 0.5).
- AD Tarma have scored under 2.5 goals in 20 of last 21 games (Primera Division).
- AD Tarma have scored under 2.5 goals in 9 of last 10 home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 7.5 (4 - for home team and 3.5 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 7 (5 - for home team and 2 - for away team).
AD Tarma: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.63; at home field - 4.38;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; at home field - 2.4.
Cusco: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.56, away - 3.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; away - 2.25.
- Cusco have taken under 3.5 corners in last 6 away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 1 times.
Statistics: AD Tarma vs Cusco
- number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for AD Tarma at home - 3 (38%);
- number of BTTS matches for Cusco away - 4 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for AD Tarma at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Cusco away - 1 (25%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (23/144, 16%);
- AD Tarma at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (2/8, 25%);
- Cusco away most often play: 1:0 (3/8, 37.5%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.01% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 10.14% (odds 9.5)
2:1 - 8.85% (odds 8.5)
β Editorβs Prediction
Comparing recent form and average scoring rates suggests weβre in for an open contest. Tarma have been on a solid run, consistently finding the net with an average of 1.6 goals per game over their last ten outings. At the same time, the visitors concede more than a goal per match on average, highlighting defensive frailties even against modest opposition. Cusco have struggled for form lately and are prone to mistakes at the back, but they still manage to carve out chances. Backing over 2.5 goals looks like a reasonable prediction here.
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Betting Tips: AD Tarma - Real Garcilaso
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