Melbourne Victory vs Well. Phoenix Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 29 December 2025
🔊 The upcoming Round 10 clash in the A-League between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix promises to be a true battle for points. Both clubs are currently mid-table, but the fight to climb the standings as the season progresses adds a special intrigue to this encounter. Recently, Melbourne Victory have been in decent form, securing two consecutive wins, with their attack starting to gain confidence. Wellington Phoenix, on the other hand, are renowned for their scoring prowess in away games, often netting more than one goal. This match will serve as a test for both teams-can they maintain their consistency, or will vulnerabilities be exposed?
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 12 April 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Wellington Phoenix):
- ball possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 9;
- fouls: 9 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 10.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix:
- played 45 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 23, for the away team - 13, draws - 9;
- number of goals - 80 against 65;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.4, in the 2nd half - 1.82;
- average total goals in the match - 3.22.
Head-to-head statistics Melbourne Victory - Well. Phoenix
Melbourne Victory Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the A-League tournament (home team - Melbourne City, away team - Melbourne Victory). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City):
- ball possession: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 8;
- fouls: 10 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Melbourne Victory are gaining momentum after a string of setbacks, having won two of their last five matches (2 wins and 2 losses). Their attacking line is gradually finding its rhythm, although their average goals per match remain relatively low at around 0.78. Over the past three games, the team has secured two victories, indicating the start of a positive trend. The main focus for the team now is to strengthen their defense and stabilize their performances at home.
Match Results: Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the A-League tournament (home team - Wellington Phoenix, away - Central Coast Mariners). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:1.
Here are the match stats (Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 7 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 3.
Wellington Phoenix are renowned for their knack of finding scoring opportunities on the road and are nicknamed "the Phoenix" due to their resilient spirit of rebirth after challenging times. With their current form showing 2 wins and 4 losses, the team displays inconsistent results, yet they maintain a high scoring rate-netting in more than half of their matches, averaging 1.44 goals per game. In their last three outings, they have managed one victory alongside two defeats, highlighting the need to bolster their defense.
Match Results: Wellington Phoenix
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 45;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 10; for visitors away - 4; number of draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 1.4;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.76, while the visitors net 0.64.
First-Half Stats: Melbourne Victory (home) vs Wellington Phoenix (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- wins: 1 (33.33%) vs 1 (33.33%);
- losses: 1 (33.33%) vs 2 (66.67%);
- draws: 1 (33.33%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 0.67 vs 1.67;
- Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.8).
- Melbourne Victory have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games against Wellington Phoenix (A-League).
- Melbourne Victory have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 home games against Wellington Phoenix (A-League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 45;
- home team wins - 23, away team wins - 13, draws - 9.
Statistics: Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- win percentage: 33% vs 33%;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 5 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Wellington Phoenix won with a +1.5 handicap in last 9 games against Melbourne Victory (A-League).
- Wellington Phoenix won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games (A-League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.78, the guests - 1.44;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.22;
- both teams scored: overall - 27; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
- average total in the tournament: 2.11 vs 3.11;
- average total goals scored: 0.78 vs 1.44;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.56;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.44 vs 0.89;
- Melbourne Victory: average total at home in the tournament - 0.67;
- Wellington Phoenix: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 0.67) vs 1.3 (away - 1).
- Melbourne Victory have scored under 2.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games against Wellington Phoenix (A-League).
- Melbourne Victory have scored under 2.5 goals in last 16 games (A-League).
- Melbourne Victory have scored under 2.5 goals in last 6 home games (A-League).
Prediction on corners
Melbourne Victory: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.33; at home field - 3.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; at home field - 3.67.
Wellington Phoenix: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.67, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; away - 4.75.
- Melbourne Victory have taken over 6.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games against Wellington Phoenix (A-League).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.08 (2.04 for home team and 2.04 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.86 (1.95 for home team and 2.91 for away team).
Melbourne Victory: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.56; at home - 1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; at home - 1.
Wellington Phoenix: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.11, away - 1.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.2; away - 1.75.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in 6 of last 7 Melbourne Victory games against Wellington Phoenix (A-League).
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in last 9 Melbourne Victory home games (A-League).
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in last 6 Melbourne Victory games (A-League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 45;
- both teams scored all-time - 27 times;
- on the home team’s field - 13 times.
Statistics: Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
- number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Melbourne Victory at home - 1 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for Wellington Phoenix away - 3 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Melbourne Victory at home - 1 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Wellington Phoenix away - 3 (75%).
- Wellington Phoenix have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 away games (A-League).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (7/56, 12.5%), 2:1 (7/56, 12.5%);
- Melbourne Victory at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:2 , 2:1 (1/3, 33.3%);
- Wellington Phoenix away most often play: 1:1 , 2:2 , 3:1 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.03% (odds 8)
1:1 - 10.54% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 9.84% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the attacking potential of both teams and their recent head-to-head statistics, the bet on both teams to score seems to be the most logical choice for this match. Given that Wellington often concedes and scores on the road, while Melbourne have started showing signs of improved form with recent successes in attack, the odds of seeing goals from both sides are high. We predict the match will end in a 1-1 draw.No comments
Betting Tips: Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix
in 7 of last 8 games against Wellington Phoenix (A-League).in last 5 home games against Wellington Phoenix (A-League)..svg)
in last 12 home games against Wellington Phoenix (A-League).in 9 of last 10 away games (A-League).
in 8 of last 9 games against Wellington Phoenix (A-League).in last 16 games (A-League).in last 6 home games (A-League).in 8 of last 9 Melbourne Victory games against Wellington Phoenix (A-League).in 15 of last 16 Melbourne Victory games (A-League).in last 7 Melbourne Victory games.in last 6 Melbourne Victory home games (A-League).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
