Australia vs Brazil Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 29 September 2026
📢 How will the second friendly between Australia and Brazil end? The two sides have scheduled a pair of meetings during this international break, and the first already produced a surprise - the Asian confederation side managed to draw 1-1, with Brazil the team who had to come from behind. For one of the strongest national teams in the world, that result can hardly be considered satisfactory. At Suncorp, the South Americans will surely be looking to make amends and put on a more convincing performance.
🔁 This prediction will be updated as important news emerges. Check back closer to kick-off.
The recent draw stands out from the usual pattern of encounters.
📊 Australia and Brazil have met fairly regularly despite being in different confederations. In the 21st century alone the two sides have played five times, with the South Americans winning three of those meetings. The overall picture clearly favours Brazil: alongside a very recent draw, they thrashed Australia 4:0 in 2017 and earlier put six past them without reply in 2013. The final score of 1:1, then, came as a surprise to many.
Head-to-head statistics Australia - Brazil
Australia are becoming an increasingly tricky opponent for the tournament favourites.
Australia put in a very respectable performance at the 2026 World Cup given their level. The team were clear underdogs in their group, yet they managed to advance to the knockout stage in second place, which in itself exceeded many expectations. They also came close to going even further. In the Round of 32 against Egypt, both normal time and extra time ended 1-1, with the tie decided on penalties - where Australia's luck ran out, losing 2-4.
The first meeting with Brazil showed that the strong World Cup run was no fluke. Even against opposition of that calibre, Australia managed to earn a draw, 1-1. The hosts were outplayed statistically - 35% versus 65% in possession, 7-16 in shots and 0.61 against 1.24 in xG - but it was Australia who opened the scoring and held the lead for a long time. Brazil only salvaged a draw in the 90+5th minute, so Australia came very close to one of their most notable results in recent times.
Match Results: Australia
Brazil are still searching for consistency under Ancelotti
Brazil are considered one of the main contenders for gold at almost every major tournament, yet big successes have become increasingly rare in recent years. It has been a very long time since they last won a World Cup, and at the 2026 tournament they had a genuinely poor campaign, going out to Norway 1-2 in the Round of 16.
Despite that failure, the federation continues to back Carlo Ancelotti. The Italian remains in charge, though he has not always met supporters' expectations so far. The first match against Australia gave fans another reason for frustration: a comfortable win was expected, and instead Brazil only rescued the result right at the end. They did look the more interesting side - more possession, more shots on goal - but for a long time that was not reflected on the scoreboard. Some mitigation can be found in the unfamiliar conditions for the Brazilians: a different time zone, a long flight and all the inconveniences that come with it.
Match Results: Brazil
Latest news
Australia
🔁 Update - 29 September, 4:19 UTC:
- Eli Adams is set to make his debut for the Australian national team. According to the Courier Mail, the 24-year-old winger could start from the first minute. Adams has made seven appearances for Japanese club Gamba Osaka in the 2026/27 season without contributing a goal or assist.
Brazil
🔁 Update - 29 September, 4:28 UTC:
- Carlo Ancelotti has confirmed that he plans to make significant changes to the starting line-up. According to the Brazilian Football Federation's press service, the coaching staff are paying particular attention to players called up to the national team for the first time - goalkeepers Otávio and Pedro Morisco, defenders Mauro Júnior, Arthur Dias, Jair Cunha and Matheuzinho, midfielders Martinelli, Gabriel Bontempo and Breno.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
The first match was not particularly eventful - just two goals scored, and both teams posted fairly modest xG figures. It seems unlikely that the picture will change dramatically within a few days to the point where the second match turns into a high-scoring affair. Low scoring is also a regular feature of Australia's friendlies: no more than three goals were scored in 11 of their last 12 matches in that format. We're therefore going with Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.65*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
For those who like betting on set-piece markets, Total Corners - Over 8.5 at 1.85* is worth a look. The first match was very generous in this regard - the two sides combined for as many as 17 corners, with Australia actually outperforming Brazil in that department (9-8).
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
As expected, the first game was not particularly feisty - just 15 fouls and 1 yellow card between the two sides. It is a friendly, the result does not matter much, and neither team will want to pick up unnecessary injuries. On that basis, a bet on Total Yellow Cards - Under 1.5 makes sense.
* Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
According to the bookmakers, Brazil are clear favourites for this match. But the first game showed that things are not so straightforward here. Australia could well sit back again, focusing more on defence and counter-attacks, and make life difficult for the visitors, who are far from their best form. We are therefore expecting another low-scoring game and are going with Total Goals - Under 3.5. Predicted score: 0-1.
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Betting Tips: Australia - Brazil
in 7 of last 8 home games (Int. Friendly Games).
in last 6 games (Int. Friendly Games).in 15 of last 17 away games (Int. Friendly Games).in last 11 Australia home games (Int. Friendly Games).in 6 of last 7 Brazil games (Int. Friendly Games).in last 21 games (Int. Friendly Games).in last 15 away games (Int. Friendly Games).Comparison of Teams Stats
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