Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 4 October 2026

Details
Key points

    📢 Kyrgyzstan and Lebanon will meet in a friendly in Bishkek. For both sides, the match is a good opportunity to test combinations and assess their condition ahead of their next competitive fixtures. Home advantage gives Kyrgyzstan a certain edge, though in terms of overall level the two teams look fairly evenly matched.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These two sides haven't faced each other recently.

    Kyrgyzstan Team Overview

    On 28 September, Kyrgyzstan thrashed the Maldives 5-0, ending a lengthy winless run. The dominance was overwhelming - 18 shots to 4 and 13 to 1 on target - so the scoreline accurately reflects the nature of the match. Before that result, the team had been considerably more modest, and even with the win over the Maldives factored in, Kyrgyzstan have won just three of their last ten matches. Over that run they are averaging 1.5 goals per game, and defensive reliability remains a concern.

    Match Results: Kyrgyzstan

    Last matches
    04.10.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Kyrgyzstan
    Kyrgyzstan
    Lebanon
    Lebanon
    -
    -
    5
    3
    17
    9
    4
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    17
    9
    4
    1
    W
    28.09.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Kyrgyzstan
    Kyrgyzstan
    Maldives
    Maldives
    -
    -
    14
    2
    -
    -
    0
    0
    5
    0
    5
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    14
    2
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    09.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Kyrgyzstan
    Kyrgyzstan
    Palestine
    Palestine
    -
    -
    4
    3
    10
    18
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    10
    18
    2
    2
    D
    06.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Kyrgyzstan
    Kyrgyzstan
    Palestine
    Palestine
    -
    -
    6
    5
    15
    15
    0
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    5
    15
    15
    0
    4
    D
    28.03.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Kyrgyzstan
    Kyrgyzstan
    Madagascar
    Madagascar
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    2
    5
    0
    4
    2
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Lebanon Team Overview

    Lebanon played their match against the Maldives on 1 October and also won convincingly, 5-0. They had 75% possession and registered 14 shots to their opponents' 2, though those numbers need to be viewed in context: the Maldives were reduced to ten men as early as the 11th minute. More broadly, Lebanon look reasonably consistent over a longer stretch - five wins, two draws and three defeats in ten matches. During that period they have averaged 1.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded, combining decent attacking output with a solid defence.

    Match Results: Lebanon

    Last matches
    04.10.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Kyrgyzstan
    Kyrgyzstan
    Lebanon
    Lebanon
    -
    -
    5
    3
    17
    9
    4
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    17
    9
    4
    1
    L
    01.10.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Maldives
    Maldives
    1
    Lebanon
    Lebanon
    -
    -
    2
    3
    5
    12
    0
    1
    0
    6
    0
    3
    0
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    5
    12
    0
    1
    W
    04.06.26
    AFC Asian Cup QF
    Lebanon
    Lebanon
    Yemen
    Yemen
    -
    -
    7
    6
    7
    12
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    7
    6
    7
    12
    1
    2
    L
    26.11.25
    WAFF ARAB Cup
    Sudan
    Sudan
    1
    Lebanon
    Lebanon
    -
    -
    4
    6
    13
    9
    3
    5
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    13
    9
    3
    5
    L
    18.11.25
    AFC Asian Cup QF
    Brunei Darussalam
    Brunei Darussalam
    Lebanon
    Lebanon
    -
    -
    2
    7
    -
    -
    4
    3
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    7
    -
    -
    4
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Match Result Prediction

    Lebanon have gone unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 matches, which points to a strong trend. They have also lost just one away match this season, while Kyrgyzstan at home have won only two matches, drawing two and losing one. Together, these factors provide a solid basis for backing Lebanon not to lose, priced at 1.82*.

    Total Goals Prediction

    Both teams' scoring averages this season suggest two goals is the standard expectation: Kyrgyzstan average 1.6 goals scored at home and concede 1.2, while Lebanon average 1.6 goals scored away and concede 0.4. In 8 of Kyrgyzstan's last 10 home matches, at least 2 goals were scored, and Lebanon's equivalent figures support the same general picture. The bet on Total Goals - Over 1.5 is priced at 1.43*.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    Correct Score Prediction

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12.04%), 1-0 (11.05%) and 0-1 (9%). The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, though the gap between the first and second options is minimal, suggesting an evenly contested match is expected.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    According to the bookmakers, Kyrgyzstan are clear favourites for this match, but Lebanon do not look noticeably weaker in terms of quality. The visitors have gone unbeaten in seven of their last eight meetings and showed fairly consistent results over that run. Even playing away from home should not make them an obvious underdog here. Our bet is therefore Lebanon not to lose.
    Lebanon will not lose
    Odds-115
    Published: 02/10/2026, 16:21
    Insaf Gataulin
    Insaf Gataulin
    Football expert
    123
    2
    122
    247 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Kyrgyzstan - Lebanon

    Kyrgyzstan have drawn in the 2nd half:
    kyrgyzstanin 6 of last 7 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    2nd Half Draw
    +143
    Lebanon have not lost:
    lebanon-1in 7 of last 8 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Lebanon will not lose
    MyBookie
    -169
    Lebanon have scored under 1.5 goals:
    lebanon-1in 7 of last 8 away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Lebanon Total goals Under (1,5)
    -500
    Under 1.5 goals scored:
    lebanon-1in 6 of last 7 Lebanon away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Total goals Under (1,5)
    MyBookie
    +141
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    5 - Losses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 18
    -7
    +10
    19 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    5
    3
    Draws
    2
    5
    Losses
    3
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    19
    18
    Conceded
    9
    2.9
    Average total per match
    2.8
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.9
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    6
    Both teams scored
    1
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    47'
    View all stats