Tunisia vs Botswana Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 September 2026
🔊 Tunisia and Botswana both have one point after the first round of Africa Cup of Nations qualifying. The form of both sides raises questions, with recent results showing inconsistency. Given the level start in the table, it is worth paying particular attention to how solid the visitors are when facing stronger opponents.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two sides have met three times in recent years. Tunisia won two of those meetings, with the other ending in a draw.
Head-to-head statistics Tunisia - Botswana
Tunisia are still searching for their first win
Tunisia are beginning their qualifying campaign in poor form, having gone seven matches without a win. Their struggles continued after a disappointing World Cup, with a late slip-up against Uganda leaving them with a 1-1 draw. That form is reflected in their scoring numbers - averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game. Staying in contention for qualification remains the priority. Their attack has been muted: Tunisia have failed to score more than one goal in each of their last ten matches.
Match Results: Tunisia
Botswana are climbing out of the slump
Botswana are slowly climbing out of a rough patch after 12 matches without a win. In the spring they beat Malawi (1-0), and in the new cycle they drew with Libya (2-2). Across ten official matches, their average goals scored per game was just 0.8, while they were conceding an average of two per game. Away from home, Botswana tend to sit deep defensively, which is reflected in the fact that they have lost by a margin of two or more goals only once in their last five matches.
Match Results: Botswana
Total Goals Prediction
In 11 of Tunisia's last 12 official matches, the total has been under 3.5 goals. Average scoring for both teams this season has not exceeded two goals per game, and over their last 10 matches Tunisia have averaged 1.5 goals scored while Botswana have averaged 0.8. The combined defensive figures also give no indication of a high-scoring game. The pick is Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.31.
Corners Prediction
Tunisia have taken more than 5.5 corners in five consecutive Africa Cup of Nations qualifying matches, which confirms a consistent tendency towards a high corner count. For this match, the logical pick is Tunisia Team Total Corners - Over 5.5 at odds of 1.36.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are: 1-0 (11.67%), 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The probabilities are fairly close, but a narrow 1-0 win for Tunisia has the highest chance among them.
Reliable Bet
The last 10 consecutive official matches involving Tunisia have seen over 1.5 goals. The average scoring and conceding numbers for both teams suggest at least two goals in this match. We're backing Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.27.
⭐️ Editor's Prediction
Botswana have been consistently solid in Africa Cup of Nations qualifying. Their draw with Libya in the new cycle is further evidence of that. In fact, Botswana have not lost by more than two goals in any of their last five qualifying matches, so backing Botswana Handicap +1.5 makes sense.
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Betting Tips: Tunisia - Botswana
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