Brighton vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 March 2026
🔊 On March 1st, the Amex Stadium will host a Premier League Matchday 28 clash. Brighton, finally rediscovering the taste of victory, will face Nottingham Forest, who after their European exploits find themselves slipping back into the relegation battle in the domestic league. The hosts have snapped a six-game winless streak in the league and are eyeing a spot in the top ten, just three points away. Bookmakers see the "Seagulls" as favorites for the upcoming encounter.
Head-to-Head
📊 The first-round match at the City Ground saw the visitors, Brighton, secure a 2-0 victory with goals from Maxim De Keijper and Stefanos Tsimas. However, the 7-0 thrashing from February of last year-Brighton's heaviest defeat in 67 years-still brings joy to Forest fans. Moreover, Brighton have managed just one win in their last four encounters at the Amex.
Head-to-head statistics Brighton - Nottingham Forest
Brighton & Hove Albion Team Overview
Fabian Hurzeler's team currently sits 14th in the standings, but they are just three points shy of breaking into the top 10. After enduring a nightmare run of six Premier League matches without a win, the Seagulls finally breathed a sigh of relief with an unexpected away victory over Brentford (2-0) in their last outing. Diego Gomez and Danny Welbeck found the back of the net, while 40-year-old James Milner etched his name into history by surpassing Gareth Barry's record for Premier League appearances, reaching 654 matches.
It's worth noting that in their last six home games at the Amex, Brighton have suffered only one defeat, though they have also managed just one win-against Burnley (2-0). The team has been prone to draws, salvaging points twice in stoppage time against West Ham (1-1) and Bournemouth (1-1).
Match Results: Brighton & Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest Team Overview
Vitor Pereira's team sits in 17th place, just two points above the relegation zone. After their heroic 3-0 victory over Fenerbahce in the Europa League, the "Foresters" suffered another defeat in the Premier League, conceding a goal to Liverpool in the 97th minute (0-1), despite putting in a decent performance. Nottingham registered 18 shots compared to the visitors' 10 but still came up short.
During the week, the "Foresters" endured a second consecutive loss, falling to Fenerbahce (1-2) in the return leg of the Europa League playoff round. Vitor Pereira opted for squad rotation, but realizing the precarious situation, he made four substitutions at halftime. Ultimately, Nottingham advanced on aggregate and will face Danish side Midtjylland in the Round of 16.
Match Results: Nottingham Forest
Latest news
Brighton & Hove Albion
🎙 "We are aware of the standings and we know where we want to be. We need to focus on our own game. If we continue to play as we have in recent weeks, we are 100% confident that we will achieve the results we deserve," shared Fabian Hürzeler, amid rumors of his potential dismissal.
❌ Adam Webster and Stefanos Tsimas are sidelined with knee injuries. Yasin Ayari (shoulder) has returned to first-team training, and if all goes well, he might be included in the squad for Sunday. Solly March (knee) is also nearing a return, but his participation remains doubtful.
Nottingham Forest
🎙 Vítor Pereira on Brighton: "They have a solid team. Offensively, they play very good football. I think it's going to be a tough match. We want to play good football, they want to play good football. We want three points, and they want three points as well."
❌ Willy Boly, Chris Wood, Jon Victor, Mats Sels, and Nicolo Savona remain sidelined for Nottingham. It's the same situation as before their last match, so the Forest are accustomed to it.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee is Andy Madley. The Englishman averages 3.4 yellow cards per game in the current Premier League season. However, over his last five matches, this figure has dropped to just 3 cards per game. This trend aligns with the teams' recent performances. A total under 4.5 yellow cards has occurred in 6 of Brighton's last 7 home matches, as well as in the last 10 consecutive Nottingham Forest Premier League games. The Seagulls average 1.51 cautions per game at home, while the Tricky Trees receive 1.69 on the road. We don't anticipate an overly heated affair.
⚽ Goal Prediction
In Brighton's last 10 home games, the total over 2.5 goals hit in only 40% of cases. They've been involved in low-scoring affairs for six straight matches. In the last two head-to-head encounters between these teams, a total under 2.5 goals was also recorded. Considering the hosts' struggles with finishing and the visitors' need to avoid defeat at all costs, this bet seems optimal.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Brighton averages 5.31 corners per match at home, while Nottingham manages 4.85 on their travels. The hosts will likely dominate possession and frequently attack the box, but the Tricky Trees won't just sit back defensively. We believe that combined efforts will see the teams surpass a total over 9.5 corners. This has occurred in 6 of Nottingham Forest's last 7 Premier League matches.
Editorial Prediction
Brighton have finally secured a win, shedding a psychological burden in the process. Nottingham, meanwhile, have faltered after their heroic away performance in Istanbul, suffering two consecutive losses and appearing fatigued. We believe the Seagulls should play from a position of strength, leveraging their freshness and home support to edge closer to victory. We predict a 2-0 scoreline in their favor, expecting a tight game with few goals, and back Brighton to win with a (0) handicap.
No comments
Betting Tips: Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest
in 6 of last 7 home games (Premier League).
in 15 of last 17 home games (Premier League).
in 19 of last 21 Brighton & Hove Albion home games (Premier League).in 16 of last 18 Brighton & Hove Albion home games.in 15 of last 17 Nottingham Forest away games (Premier League).in 6 of last 7 Nottingham Forest away games.
in 17 of last 19 Andy Madley games (in the Premier League).in last 5 Andy Madley games.in last 10 Brighton & Hove Albion games.in last 8 Brighton & Hove Albion games (Premier League).in 15 of last 17 Nottingham Forest away games (Premier League).in 6 of last 7 Nottingham Forest games (Premier League).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
