Deportes Tolima vs Junior Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 26 July 2026
🔊 Deportes Tolima and Atletico Junior meet in the opening round of the Colombian Clausura. The visitors come in as champions of the first half of the season and are keen to show it was no fluke. The bookmakers, though, give the hosts a significantly better chance of winning this one. Tolima finished sixth in the Apertura, playing balanced football throughout. They may well have enough to trouble a strong opponent.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 18 January 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Atletico Junior):
- ball possession percentage: 67% vs 33%;
- corner kicks: 12 vs 1;
- fouls: 11 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Tolima and Atletico Junior:
- played 55 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 16, for the away team - 23, draws - 16;
- number of goals - 60 against 64;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.27, in the 2nd half - 0.98;
- average total goals in the match - 2.25.
Head-to-head statistics Deportes Tolima - Junior
Deportes Tolima Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Cup tournament (home team - Tolima, away team - Deportes Quindio). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here's the game statistics (Tolima vs Deportes Quindio):
- ball possession: 70% vs 30%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 3;
- fouls: 19 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 2.
Deportes Tolima put together a solid Apertura, averaging 1.35 goals per game while keeping things reasonably tight at the back - 0.91 conceded per match. Before the Clausura kicked off, they played one Copa Colombia game, beating lower-division side Deportes Quindío 2-1. Worth noting that Tolima, like most of the stronger Primera sides, are a different proposition at home - so their status as favourites here, even against the reigning champions, shouldn't come as a surprise.
Match Results: Deportes Tolima
Atletico Junior Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Cup tournament (home team - Atletico Junior, away - Barranquilla). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here are the match stats (Atletico Junior vs Barranquilla):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 14;
- fouls: 15 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 7 vs 7.
Atletico Junior enter the Clausura as Apertura champions - which means every opponent will be gunning for them twice as hard. Going by their spring numbers, the attack looks solid: 1.52 goals per game. The defence is a different story - 1.12 conceded per match. Those same patterns showed up in their first post-break outing, a 2-2 cup draw with Barranquilla. With those defensive issues still unresolved, repeating the spring title run looks difficult. The club needs to move in the transfer market - one or two additions at the back, at minimum.
Match Results: Atletico Junior
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 55;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 11; for visitors away - 6; number of draws - 11;
- Average first-half total: 1.27;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.71, while the visitors net 0.56.
First-Half Stats: Tolima (home) vs Atletico Junior (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- wins: 5 (41.67%) vs 6 (50%);
- losses: 1 (8.33%) vs 2 (16.67%);
- draws: 6 (50%) vs 4 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 0.83 vs 1.5;
- Average goals conceded: 0.25 vs 0.58.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.7 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.7 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 0.6).
- Tolima scored in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 home games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 55;
- home team wins - 16, away team wins - 23, draws - 16.
Statistics: Tolima vs Atletico Junior
- matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- wins: 10 vs 14;
- win percentage: 43% vs 56%;
- losses: 6 vs 7;
- draws: 7 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Atletico Junior won with a +1.5 handicap in 19 of last 21 away games against Tolima.
- Atletico Junior won with a +1.5 handicap in 18 of last 19 away games (Liga Aguila).
- Atletico Junior won with a +1.5 handicap in last 13 games (Liga Aguila).
- Atletico Junior won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.09, the guests - 1.16;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.25;
- both teams scored: overall - 27; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Tolima vs Atletico Junior
- average total in the tournament: 2.26 vs 2.64;
- average total goals scored: 1.35 vs 1.52;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.65 vs 0.84;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.7 vs 0.68;
- Tolima: average total at home in the tournament - 1.67;
- Atletico Junior: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.67) vs 1.3 (away - 0.75).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 11 of last 12 Tolima home games against Atletico Junior.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Tolima home games against Atletico Junior (Liga Aguila).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Tolima games (Liga Aguila).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Atletico Junior away games.
Prediction on corners
Tolima: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.74; at home field - 5.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; at home field - 6.33.
Atletico Junior: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.96, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 4.25.
- Tolima have taken over 4.5 corners in 7 of last 8 home games against Atletico Junior (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 55;
- both teams scored all-time - 27 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
Statistics: Tolima vs Atletico Junior
- number of matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Tolima at home - 5 (42%);
- number of BTTS matches for Atletico Junior away - 6 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Tolima at home - 2 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Atletico Junior away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (32/204, 15.7%);
- Tolima at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (3/12, 25%);
- Atletico Junior away most often play: 0:1 , 1:1 , 2:1 (2/12, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 14.52% (odds 6)
1:0 - 12.44% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 11.08% (odds 6.2)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Given the defensive numbers on both sides and the historical trend of low-scoring head-to-heads, this one is likely to be tight with few clear chances. Deportes Tolima are very solid at the back at home - solid enough to contain even Atletico Junior's attack. Yes, the visitors score regularly on the road, but a disciplined opponent like this won't give them much room. We're backing total goals under 2.5 - that outcome landed in 11 of the previous 12 meetings at this ground.
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Betting Tips: Deportes Tolima - Atletico Junior
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