Palmeiras vs Junior Prediction 28 May 2026
📢 Palmeiras head into the final round with a clear objective: a single point will be enough to secure their spot in the Copa Libertadores playoffs. However, a defeat could complicate matters, so the hosts can’t afford to take their foot off the gas. Atlético Junior sit at the bottom of the group, but they still have a mathematical chance to climb to third place and earn a berth in the Copa Sudamericana. As a result, this clash is far from a mere formality.
Head-to-Head
The last official meeting between these sides took place on 09 April 2026 in the first half of the current campaign and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here’s a statistical comparison from that match (Atlético Junior were the home team):
- possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corners: 2 vs 11;
- fouls: 17 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
📊 Palmeiras and Atlético Junior have faced each other five times in official competitions. The hosts have come out on top in four of those encounters, while the visitors are still searching for their first win; one match ended in a draw. Palmeiras also lead the head-to-head in goals scored, 12 to 2. On average, both teams combine for 0.8 goals in the first half and 2.0 goals after the break. The overall average goals per match stands at 2.8.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Palmeiras Team Overview
Palmeiras played their most recent official match on in the Brazilian Serie A, cruising to a commanding 3-0 away win over Flamengo.
Here’s a look at the key stats from that Palmeiras vs Flamengo clash:
- Possession: 52% vs 48%;
- Corners: 4 vs 8;
- Fouls: 19 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 6 vs 5;
- Shots on target: 6 vs 3.
Palmeiras have picked up five wins, four draws, and just one defeat in their last ten outings. The team maintain a solid balance between attack and defense, averaging 1.7 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.6. Over their most recent five games, Palmeiras have claimed two victories, drawn twice, and lost once-a run that suggests neither a sustained winning streak nor a significant slump. At home, Palmeiras rarely hit the three-goal mark; in 11 of their last 12 home fixtures, they have scored no more than twice, highlighting their preference for controlling matches rather than engaging in high-scoring affairs.
The Brazilians only need a draw to secure a spot in the Copa Libertadores playoffs. Under certain scenarios, a win could even see Palmeiras top the group. However, a defeat could see them drop into the Copa Sudamericana.
Match Results: Palmeiras
Atletico Junior Team Overview
Atlético Junior last took to the pitch on in the Colombian Primera A, playing out a goalless draw at home against Santa Fe.
The match stats were as follows (Atlético Junior vs Santa Fe):
- possession: 68% vs 32%;
- corners: 7 vs 3;
- fouls committed: 15 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
Atlético Junior head into this clash riding a wave of confidence, having secured three wins in their last five outings. Over their previous ten matches, they have picked up five victories, suffered two defeats, and drawn three times-numbers that keep them in the mix even away from home. However, their attacking output on the road remains modest: they average less than 0.8 goals scored per away fixture, while conceding 1.4 on average. Notably, Atlético Junior’s away games tend to be low-scoring affairs-eight of their last nine matches on the road have featured under 2.5 total goals, highlighting a cautious tactical approach.
The Colombian side still have a shot at reaching the Copa Sudamericana playoffs. To break into the top three of Group F, Atlético need to beat Palmeiras and hope Sporting Cristal drop points in the parallel fixture.
Match Results: Atletico Junior
Latest news
Palmeiras
❌ Ramon Sosa, Bruno Fuchs, Vitor Roque, and Joaquin Piquerez are sidelined through injury and will miss the match. Luis Benedetti remains a doubt.
Atletico Junior
🚫 Atlético Junior will be without Fabián Ángel, who is suspended for this match. Deiber Caicedo remains a doubt and his involvement is uncertain.
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Matches played - 5;
- Home wins - 4, Away wins - 0, Draws - 1.
Stats: Palmeiras vs Atlético Junior
- Matches in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
- Wins: 2 vs 1;
- Win percentage: 40% vs 20%;
- Losses: 1 vs 3;
- Draws: 2 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 5;
- Losses: 1 vs 2;
- Draws: 4 vs 3.
- Atlético Junior have covered a +2.5 handicap away from home in 13 consecutive matches.
- Atlético Junior have also covered a +2.5 handicap in each of their last five Copa Libertadores fixtures.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home side - 2.4, Away side - 0.4;
- Overall head-to-head average - 2.8;
- Both teams have scored: all-time - twice; at the home ground - once.
- Palmeiras have scored under 2.5 goals at home in 11 of their last 12 games.
- Palmeiras have also gone under 2.5 goals in six straight Copa Libertadores matches.
Corner Kicks Prediction
Head-to-head stats
- Average total corners in head-to-head meetings - 8.8 (5.4 for the home side, 3.4 for the visitors);
- Average corners at the home ground - 7 (3.5 for each team).
Palmeiras: Stats
- This season: tournament average - 7.4; at home - 7;
- Last 10 matches: overall average - 8.1; at home - 9.
Atlético Junior: Stats
- This season: tournament average - 4.4, away - 3;
- Last 10 matches: overall average - 4.8; away - 3.25.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in six of Palmeiras’ last seven matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- Matches played - 5;
- Both teams scored all-time - twice;
- At the home ground - once.
Stats: Palmeiras vs Atlético Junior
- Tournament matches played: 5 vs 5;
- Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 3 vs 2;
- Palmeiras BTTS at home - 1 (50%);
- Atlético Junior BTTS away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- Palmeiras BTTS at home - 2 (50%);
- Atlético Junior BTTS away - 2 (50%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most common scorelines (current season):
- The most frequent score in the tournament: 1-0 (20/116, 17.2%);
- Palmeiras’ most common home results: 0-1, 2-1 (1/2, 50%);
- Atlético Junior’s most frequent away results: 1-0, 2-0 (1/2, 50%).
Based on statistical analysis and probability distribution, the algorithm projects the top three outcomes:
1-0 - 19.9% (odds: 6.5)
2-0 - 12.19% (odds: 5.5)
0-0 - 12.01% (odds: 12)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Palmeiras come into this match as clear favourites, and for good reason: the hosts have a significant edge in squad quality over Atlético Junior. However, despite this advantage, expecting a rout from the Brazilian side could be risky-Palmeiras haven’t exactly been prolific at home lately. In 11 of their last 12 home fixtures, they've scored no more than two goals. From a tournament perspective, securing the necessary result is likely to take priority over chasing an emphatic win. In this context, backing Palmeiras under 2.5 goals seems like a well-founded prediction.
Betting Tips: Palmeiras - Atletico Junior
in last 5 games against Palmeiras (Copa Libertadores).in 18 of last 19 games.in 16 of last 17 home games.
in last 5 games against Atletico Junior (Copa Libertadores).in 23 of last 24 games.in last 12 home games.in 23 of last 24 Palmeiras games.in last 12 Palmeiras home games.in last 6 Palmeiras games (Copa Libertadores).
in last 10 Cristian Garay games (in the Copa Libertadores).in 6 of last 7 Cristian Garay games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
