Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 26 October 2026
🔉 Galatasaray and Fenerbahçe go into the derby near the top of the Süper Lig table, both still in contention for first place. After eight rounds, Galatasaray are just one point off the leaders, while Fenerbahçe are four behind. Both sides have been prolific in attack, with each club averaging more than two goals per game. The early-season form of both teams suggests this could be an open, high-scoring match.
🔁 Don't miss any important pre-match news - we'll be updating this article with team news, injuries and any other developments that could affect the game.
Parity in head-to-head meetings
Galatasaray beat Fenerbahçe 26 April 2026 in the Süper Lig, winning 3-0. The dominance was reflected in the shots too: 21 to 5, with 8 to 1 on target.
📊 Across 46 official meetings, the two sides are level on wins: 15 each for Galatasaray and Fenerbahçe. The remaining 16 matches ended in draws.
Head-to-head statistics Galatasaray - Fenerbahce
Galatasaray bounce back from their defeat to Trabzonspor
Galatasaray 21 October 2026 beat Lille away in their last Champions League match, 4-2. Level at 2-2 at half-time, the visitors scored twice more in the second half, despite being outshot 10-15.
Galatasaray have made a confident start to the season and are producing strong results at home. In their last five matches they have won three and lost two, and across ten matches they have won seven with no draws. They average 2.13 goals scored per game and 1.38 conceded, which points to a tendency for high-scoring matches at both ends. Home games have frequently been entertaining - Total Goals Over 2.5 has landed in six of their last seven matches at home, underlining the team's attacking approach in front of their own supporters.
Match Results: Galatasaray
Fenerbahce are known for their inconsistency
Fenerbahçe 20 October 2026 drew 2-2 at home with Slavia in their last Champions League match. The hosts led 2-1 at half-time; across the full match both sides had 15 shots each, including four on target apiece.
Fenerbahçe have also made a strong start and remain among the league's leading sides. They have won five and drawn one of their eight matches, losing just twice - a record backed up by three wins and a draw from their last five games. The visitors' average scoring rate is even higher, at 2.75 goals per game, with a solid defensive record of 0.75 conceded. Their away form further reflects the team's attacking output overall, with an average of 2.2 goals across ten away matches.
Match Results: Fenerbahce
Latest news
Galatasaray
The squad situation is largely settled. Alexey Batrakov has found his feet in the team and is scoring, while Victor Osimhen is improving after injury. The only doubt is over Barış Yılmaz, who had a muscular discomfort issue in the Champions League match against Lille.
🔁 Update - 26 October, 7:52 UTC:
- The main pre-match squad discussion around Galatasaray centres on Rafael Leão. The Portuguese winger picked up an injury coming on as a substitute in their last Super Lig match and subsequently missed the European fixture with a groin muscle problem. According to Anadolu Ajansı, Leão will not feature against Fenerbahçe. However, Habertürk reports that the winger has recovered and could be included in the squad. No official comment on Leão's condition has come from the coaching staff.
Fenerbahce
The main personnel problems are in defence. Nathan Aké, Mert Müldür and Jayden Oosterwolde are all unavailable. In attack, Marco Asensio cannot be counted on - he will not play until the end of the year, but Mason Greenwood is filling in for him effectively.
🔁 Update - 26 October, 13:26 UTC:
- According to Ajansspor, Mert Müldür may still be able to feature in the upcoming match. The defender is close to returning from an injury that kept him out for more than a month. Given how little playing time he has had this season, even if he is included in the squad it is unlikely to affect Fenerbahçe's starting XI.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted starting XI for Galatasaray: Çakır - Sallai, Sánchez, Bardakçı, Jakobs - Torreira, Lemina, Akgün, Batrakov, Yılmaz - Osimhen.
📋 Predicted starting XI for Fenerbahçe: Ederson - Semedo, Škriniar, Oppong, Mercan - Kanté, Guendouzi - Aydın, Greenwood, Kahveci - Lukaku.
Prediction for the 1st half
Fenerbahçe have scored in the first half in 6 of their last 7 Süper Lig matches, which points to a decent chance of the visitors finding the net in the opening 45 minutes. Their away record is slightly more modest - an average of 1.4 goals per game across their last 10 away matches - but the overall trend supports a bet on Fenerbahçe Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals in the First Half at 1.89*.
Corners Prediction
Galatasaray have delivered more than 4.5 corners in 11 of their last 12 Süper Lig matches, pointing to consistent activity in that area. This trend supports a strong probability of the Galatasaray Team Total Corners - Over 4.5 landing, priced at 1.54*.
Safer Bet
In 7 of their last 8 head-to-head Süper Lig meetings, Galatasaray have not lost to Fenerbahçe. On top of that, Galatasaray have won all 3 of their home matches this season and are yet to lose at home. That consistent trend and their recent home record make Galatasaray Double Chance (1X) a reliable option at odds of 1.41*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10.8%), 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (7.31%). The 1-1 draw comes out as the single most probable result, though the gap between the top three is fairly modest, which points to a competitive and evenly matched game.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both sides have made an impressive start to the season, combining high attacking output with some defensive questions for the hosts, while the visitors are more balanced but still tend to be involved in high-scoring matches. The key factor here is the trend towards over 2.5 goals: Galatasaray have produced extremely high-scoring home games in almost all of their recent matches at home, and the attacking quality of both teams only increases the likelihood of that continuing now, as the two sides are competing for top spot from the very first rounds of the Turkish Süper Lig season. The bet is Total Goals - Over 3.
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Betting Tips: Galatasaray - Fenerbahce
in 6 of last 7 games (Super Lig).
in 7 of last 8 games against Fenerbahce (Super Lig).in 19 of last 21 home games.in last 15 home games (Super Lig).in 7 of last 8 games (Super Lig).
in last 37 Galatasaray games against Fenerbahce (Super Lig).
in 21 of last 22 Atilla Karaoglan games (in the Super Lig).in 16 of last 17 Galatasaray home games against Fenerbahce.in 14 of last 15 Galatasaray home games against Fenerbahce (Super Lig).in 13 of last 14 Galatasaray games against Fenerbahce.in 10 of last 11 Fenerbahce away games.in last 6 Fenerbahce away games (Super Lig).Comparison of Teams Stats
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