Derby vs QPR Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 25 October 2025
🔊 The upcoming Championship clash between Derby County and Queens Park Rangers promises to be an exciting encounter. Both teams have shown decent form in recent matches but come with their own quirks: the hosts sit 19th in the table and have failed to win at home in 8 of their last 9 games. Meanwhile, the visitors are in 8th place and boast a more confident attack. An open game with plenty of chances is anticipated.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 14 February 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 4:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Queens Park Rangers):
- ball possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
- fouls: 9 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Derby and Queens Park Rangers:
- played 31 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 11, for the away team - 11, draws - 9;
- number of goals - 31 against 32;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.9, in the 2nd half - 1.13;
- average total goals in the match - 2.03.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - QPR

Derby Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Derby , away team - Norwich City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Derby vs Norwich City):
- ball possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 13;
- fouls: 13 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Derby County are navigating a challenging season, currently sitting 19th in the Championship table. The team has managed only two wins in eleven matches, alongside five draws and four losses. The Rams' struggling attack is evident with an average of just 1.09 goals per game, while they concede significantly more than one goal per match, averaging 1.45.
Match Results: Derby

Queens Park Rangers Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Swansea City, away - Queens Park Rangers). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here are the match stats (Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City):
- ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 9 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Queens Park Rangers are looking significantly more confident than their opponents, sitting in eighth place on the table with five wins from eleven matches. The team consistently picks up points thanks to their aggressive attacking play, averaging 1.4 goals per game. However, the Hoops are vulnerable defensively, conceding an average of 1.45 goals per match.
Match Results: Queens Park Rangers
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 11, draws - 9.
Statistics: Derby vs Queens Park Rangers
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- win percentage: 18% vs 45%;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 2.
- Derby have not won in 8 of last 9 home games (Championship).
- Queens Park Rangers have not lost in 7 of last 8 games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1.03;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.03;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Derby vs Queens Park Rangers
- average total in the tournament: 2.55 vs 2.82;
- average total goals scored: 1.09 vs 1.36;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.27 vs 0.55;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.82 vs 0.82;
- Derby : average total at home in the tournament - 1.17;
- Queens Park Rangers: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 0.8) vs 1.4 (away - 1.5).
- Queens Park Rangers have scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of last 10 away games against Derby (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.27; at home field - 4.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; at home field - 4.
Queens Park Rangers: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.45, away - 3.83;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; away - 3.83.
- Over 9.5 corners in last 5 Derby home games against Queens Park Rangers (Championship).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.84 (1.42 for home team and 1.42 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.06 (1.33 for home team and 1.73 for away team).
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3; at home - 2.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; at home - 2.8.
Queens Park Rangers: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.27, away - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; away - 2.
- Over 3.5 yellow cards in last 6 Queens Park Rangers games (Championship).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Derby vs Queens Park Rangers
- number of matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Derby at home - 4 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Queens Park Rangers away - 5 (83%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Derby at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Queens Park Rangers away - 5 (83%).
- Queens Park Rangers have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams and their recent statistics, we can anticipate a tense battle with plenty of chances at both ends. Derby aim to distance themselves from the relegation zone, but their poor finishing remains an issue. Meanwhile, the visiting side shows consistency, having lost only one match since the start of autumn. Given these factors, a well-founded prediction would be to bet on QPR not to lose. We don't see the visitors as underdogs, especially considering Derby's weak home performances. The expected outcome is a 1-1 draw.