QPR vs Derby Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 25 April 2026
🔊 The clash between Queens Park Rangers and Derby County promises an intriguing contest. Both teams sit mid-table, albeit with differing form. Queens Park Rangers are striving to stabilize their performance following a string of disappointing matches, while Derby County have been delivering more assured results. The head-to-head history will play a crucial role, as Derby often struggle with scoring in these encounters.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 25 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Derby ):
- ball possession percentage: 39% vs 61%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 13 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Queens Park Rangers and Derby :
- played 32 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 11, for the away team - 12, draws - 9;
- number of goals - 32 against 32;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.91, in the 2nd half - 1.09;
- average total goals in the match - 2.
Head-to-head statistics QPR - Derby
Queens Park Rangers Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Queens Park Rangers, away team - Swansea City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 11.
Queens Park Rangers have shown inconsistency in their recent outings, recording two draws, two losses, and just one win in their last five matches. The team currently sits 13th in the league standings, striving to solidify their position as the season draws to a close. On average, the hosts score 1.34 goals per match but concede more, with an average of 1.52 goals against. Despite this challenging period, the team can pose a threat thanks to their attacking potential and the support of their home crowd.
Match Results: Queens Park Rangers
Derby Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Norwich City, away - Derby ). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Derby vs Norwich City):
- ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 17 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 6.
Derby County currently sit in eighth place, striving to climb higher by the season's end. They've secured six wins in their last ten matches, indicating a solid run of form. However, their away record is a major concern, with the Rams losing 6 of their last 7 games on the road. Additionally, they have historically struggled to score against Queens Park Rangers at their ground.
Match Results: Derby
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 12, draws - 9.
Statistics: Queens Park Rangers vs Derby
- matches played in the tournament: 44 vs 44;
- wins: 16 vs 19;
- win percentage: 36% vs 43%;
- losses: 18 vs 16;
- draws: 10 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 6;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 0.
- Derby have lost in 6 of last 7 away games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Queens Park Rangers vs Derby
- average total in the tournament: 2.86 vs 2.68;
- average total goals scored: 1.34 vs 1.43;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.57 vs 0.68;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.77 vs 0.75;
- Queens Park Rangers: average total at home in the tournament - 1.73;
- Derby : average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.5) vs 1.4 (away - 1).
- Derby have scored under 1.5 goals in last 11 away games against Queens Park Rangers (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Queens Park Rangers: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.73; at home field - 5.18;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 3.33.
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.5, away - 3.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 2.6.
- Derby have taken under 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Queens Park Rangers (Championship).
Yellow Cards Bet
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.12 (1.56 for home team and 1.56 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3 (1.4 for home team and 1.6 for away team).
Queens Park Rangers: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.95; at home - 2.14;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; at home - 3.17.
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.45, away - 2.77;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; away - 3.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Queens Park Rangers vs Derby
- number of matches played in the tournament: 44 vs 44;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 28 vs 28;
- number of BTTS matches for Queens Park Rangers at home - 16 (73%);
- number of BTTS matches for Derby away - 14 (64%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Queens Park Rangers at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Derby away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (80/528, 15.2%);
- Queens Park Rangers at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (4/22, 18.2%);
- Derby away most often play: 2:1 (4/22, 18.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.11% (odds 6.5)
1:2 - 9.22% (odds 8.5)
0:1 - 8.72% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the trend where Derby County rarely score more than one goal in away games against Queens Park Rangers, along with an analysis of the current team performances, a low-scoring output from the visitors is anticipated in this match. Betting on Derby's individual total under 1.5 goals seems a well-founded prediction given the historical tendency and the Rams' poor form on the road in recent months.
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Betting Tips: Queens Park Rangers - Derby
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