Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 26 April 2026
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Neftchi Baku and Qarabag. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 15:00 26 April. The tournament match will take place at the Bakcell Arena stadium in the city of Baku. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 09 November 2025 and ended with a score of 2:0. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Qarabag):
- ball possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1.
📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Neftchi Baku and Qarabag:
- played 60 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 9, for the away team - 38, draws - 13;
- number of goals (home/away) - 44 against 120;
- average total goals in the match - 2.73.
Head-to-head statistics Neftchi Baku - Qarabag
Neftchi Baku Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on 17 April 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Zira, away team - Neftchi Baku). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the game statistics (Neftchi Baku vs Zira):
- ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
- 11 wins,
- 5 losses,
- 11 draws.
📈Currently, Neftchi Baku stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 41% and a loss percentage of 19%.
⚽️Neftchi Baku has scored a total of 45 goals. On the defensive end, Neftchi Baku has allowed 25 goals over the season.
Match Results: Neftchi Baku
Qarabag Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 22 April 2026 as part of the Cup tournament (home team - Sabah, away - Qarabag). The match ended with a score of 2:1.
Here are the game statistics (Qarabag vs Sabah):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 4;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
- 17 wins,
- 5 losses,
- 5 draws.
📈Currently, Qarabag stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 63% and a loss percentage of 19%.
⚽Qarabag has scored a total of 55 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 19 goals over the season.
Match Results: Qarabag
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 60;
- home team wins - 9, away team wins - 38, draws - 13.
Statistics: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag
- matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
- wins: 11 vs 17;
- win percentage: 41% vs 63%;
- losses: 5 vs 5;
- draws: 11 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 4;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Neftchi Baku have not lost in 12 of last 13 games (Premier League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.73, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.73;
- both teams scored: overall - 29; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag
- average total in the tournament: 2.59 vs 2.74;
- average total goals scored: 1.67 vs 2.04;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 0.85;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1.19;
- Neftchi Baku: average total at home in the tournament - 1.62;
- Qarabag: average total away in the tournament - 1.92;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.5 (home - 2.25) vs 2.5 (away - 1).
- Neftchi Baku have scored in 9 of last 10 games (Premier League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 60;
- both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
- on the home team’s field - 13 times.
Statistics: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag
- number of matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 27;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku at home - 6 (46%);
- number of BTTS matches for Qarabag away - 7 (58%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Qarabag away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (18/165, 10.9%);
- Neftchi Baku at home most often finish matches: 0:0 (3/13, 23.1%);
- Qarabag away most often play: 1:2 (3/12, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.65% (odds 5.65)
0:1 - 11.01% (odds 6.45)
1:2 - 9.37% (odds 7.3)
Editorial Prediction
- Neftchi Baku have not lost in 12 of last 13 games (Premier League).
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Betting Tips: Neftchi Baku - Qarabag
in 12 of last 13 games (Premier League).
in 12 of last 13 away games.in 7 of last 8 away games (Premier League).in 9 of last 10 games (Premier League).in 7 of last 8 Qarabag away games (Premier League).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
