Lecce vs Lazio Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 January 2026

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Key points

    📢 Who will come out on top in the clash between Lecce and Lazio in the 22nd round of Serie A at the Stadio Via del Mare? The "Salentini" are going through a tough spell, with four consecutive defeats dragging them into the relegation zone. Lazio are also far from their best form, as their gap from the top six continues to widen. Both teams desperately need points, so this match is unlikely to be a calm affair.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head history between Lecce and Lazio includes 9 matches in recent years, with a perfectly balanced record: each team has claimed 4 victories, alongside one draw. In the first-round game of the current season, however, the Eagles faced little resistance and comfortably defeated their opponents 2-0, maintaining full control throughout the match.

    Head-to-head statistics Lecce - Lazio

    40%
    4 Wins
    20%
    2 Draws
    40%
    4 Wins
    Total games
    10
    Avg. total goals
    2.6
    Both teams scored
    60%
    1.2
    Average total
    1.4
    3.9
    Corners
    6.1
    2.9
    Yellow cards
    2.2
    12
    Fouls
    10.6
    Last matches
    24.01.26
    Serie A
    Lecce
    Lecce
    Lazio
    Lazio
    0.9
    0.62
    4
    1
    16
    6
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.9
    0.62
    4
    1
    16
    6
    2
    1
    23.11.25
    Serie A
    Lazio
    Lazio
    Lecce
    Lecce
    1.62
    0.52
    8
    2
    8
    13
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.62
    0.52
    8
    2
    8
    13
    1
    1
    25.05.25
    Serie A
    Lazio
    Lazio
    1
    Lecce
    Lecce
    2
    1.74
    0.71
    14
    4
    11
    11
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.74
    0.71
    14
    4
    11
    11
    2
    2
    21.12.24
    Serie A
    Lecce
    Lecce
    1
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    0.6
    1.94
    6
    6
    12
    12
    3
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0.6
    1.94
    6
    6
    12
    12
    3
    1
    14.01.24
    Serie A
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    Lecce
    Lecce
    -
    -
    2
    5
    12
    10
    4
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    12
    10
    4
    4
    Empty
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    Lecce Team Overview

    🔴 Lecce are struggling to cope with a demanding schedule. Recently, the "Salentians" have faced almost exclusively top-table teams like Como, Juventus, Roma, Inter, and Milan, with only Parma breaking the sequence. The outcome of this stretch has been disappointing: no victories, one draw, and five losses. As a result, the team has found themselves in the relegation zone, with Fiorentina overtaking Lecce, dropping them to 18th place.

    🟡 In their last match, the "Salentians" fell to Milan 0-1 away. Despite the narrow scoreline and the fact that the only goal was conceded in the 76th minute, even a draw seemed an unlikely result. Milan dominated throughout the match, generating an xG of 2.60, while Lecce managed only four shots without hitting the target. A goal for the "Rossoneri" was just a matter of time.

    Match Results: Lecce

    Last matches
    07.11.26
    Serie A
    Torino
    Torino
    Lecce
    Lecce
    0.81
    0.29
    4
    5
    11
    16
    0
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.81
    0.29
    4
    5
    11
    16
    0
    2
    D
    01.11.26
    Serie A
    Lecce
    Lecce
    Genoa
    Genoa
    1.09
    1.49
    6
    3
    19
    9
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1.09
    1.49
    6
    3
    19
    9
    2
    1
    L
    29.10.26
    Serie A
    Frosinone
    Frosinone
    Lecce
    Lecce
    3.44
    1.41
    10
    3
    10
    17
    0
    3
    5
    1
    2
    0
    3
    1
    3.44
    1.41
    10
    3
    10
    17
    0
    3
    L
    25.10.26
    Serie A
    Lecce
    Lecce
    1
    Juventus
    Juventus
    1.05
    0.73
    5
    3
    10
    12
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    1.05
    0.73
    5
    3
    10
    12
    0
    0
    L
    18.10.26
    Serie A
    Udinese
    Udinese
    Lecce
    Lecce
    0.43
    2.57
    1
    4
    10
    11
    1
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0.43
    2.57
    1
    4
    10
    11
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Lazio Team Overview

    🔵 Lazio are struggling to find form in recent matches. Over their last six games, they've managed just one win - a 1-0 victory over Verona, who are currently at the bottom of the league table. As a result, the Eagles have slipped to ninth place, with a nine-point gap now separating them from the top six. However, they maintain a comfortable 11-point cushion above the relegation zone.

    ⚪ The last round was a real embarrassment for Lazio. Playing at home, the Romans were thrashed 3-0 by Como, failing to pose any challenge to their opponents. By the 35th minute, the visitors were already 2-0 up and had earned a penalty, prompting some fans to leave the stands. Despite missing the penalty, Como could have won by an even larger margin, as the hosts looked utterly helpless. The defeat was thoroughly deserved based on the quality of play.

    Match Results: Lazio

    Last matches
    08.11.26
    Serie A
    Napoli
    Napoli
    Lazio
    Lazio
    1.81
    1.25
    6
    6
    12
    11
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.81
    1.25
    6
    6
    12
    11
    3
    1
    D
    01.11.26
    Serie A
    Lazio
    Lazio
    Cagliari
    Cagliari
    1
    1.28
    1.22
    2
    2
    7
    18
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.28
    1.22
    2
    2
    7
    18
    1
    2
    W
    27.10.26
    Serie A
    Sassuolo
    Sassuolo
    1
    Lazio
    Lazio
    0.83
    3.24
    2
    1
    7
    13
    1
    1
    2
    6
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0.83
    3.24
    2
    1
    7
    13
    1
    1
    W
    24.10.26
    Serie A
    Lazio
    Lazio
    Parma
    Parma
    1.9
    0.79
    8
    3
    5
    12
    1
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.9
    0.79
    8
    3
    5
    12
    1
    1
    W
    18.10.26
    Serie A
    Juventus
    Juventus
    Lazio
    Lazio
    1.2
    0.51
    5
    7
    7
    7
    0
    2
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    1.2
    0.51
    5
    7
    7
    7
    0
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Lecce

    📣 Lecce's head coach Eusebio Di Francesco, following the match against AC Milan (0-1), highlighted a crucial mistake that influenced the outcome: "It's clear that Milan put us under significant pressure. We rarely pushed high and made numerous technical errors. In the sequence leading to the conceded goal, we made a mistake-we needed to protect our goal better, but we were too deep. Such errors can happen during a match."

    🚫 The hosts approach the upcoming match with some squad limitations. Kialonda Gaspar is still serving a suspension following a red card in one of the previous rounds, and Baltasar Pierre is yet to fully recover from back issues. Medon Berisha and Francesco Camarda are also not at their best-they continue their rehabilitation and are expected to return to action by early February.

    Lazio

    📣 Lazio head coach Maurizio Sarri delivered a scathing assessment following their 0-3 start against Como, urging an end to excuses and apologizing to the fans: "Conceding within two minutes to a team that controls the ball so well is incredibly tough. We need to eliminate all alibis: referees, transfers, atmosphere - enough. In the first half, we played better than the score suggests, but in the second half, we lacked the energy to revive the contest. I am disappointed for our fans: I thank them for their support and apologize for the disappointment we are currently causing them."

    🚫 The Roman side's list of absentees isn't extensive. Samuel Gigot and Toma Basic are still recovering from muscle injuries, while Patric is expected back around early February. Danilo Cataldi will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Matias Vecino's participation remains doubtful due to muscle issues.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Lecce are currently the weakest attacking team in Serie A, having scored just 13 goals in 21 matches-a league low. Moreover, in 4 of their last 6 games, the "Salentians" failed to find the back of the net, creating almost nothing upfront. Despite Lazio's recent defeats to Como (0-3) and Napoli (0-2), the Romans still rank among the top teams for defensive solidity, conceding only 19 goals so far. Given these circumstances, it's reasonable to predict that Lecce will not score.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Recent away games involving Lazio have seldom been a boon for those betting on high corner counts: the total under 9.5 corners has hit in 7 of their last 8 away Serie A matches. Both Lazio and Lecce are not typically teams that apply relentless pressure or keep opponents pinned in their own box-they often play a more compact, cautious game with minimal risk. Therefore, this bet is likely to succeed in the upcoming match.

    Editorial Prediction

    According to the bookmakers, Lazio are the favorites in the upcoming clash, and it's hard to argue with that assessment. Yes, the visitors are not displaying their best football at the moment, but Lecce are in an even worse position. The "Salentians" are suffering one defeat after another, with their attack almost non-existent, which severely undermines the team's morale. It's telling that this season Lecce have barely picked up points against stronger opponents-exceptions being their draws with Juventus (1-1) and Bologna (2-2), where luck played a significant role in those outcomes. If the "Eagles" aim to remain in contention for European competition spots, they must win matches like this one. Our bet is on a Lazio victory. We expect to see a 0-1 scoreline on the board.

    Lazio to Win
    Bovada
    Place a bet+113
    Published: 23/01/2026, 00:31

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    Betting Tips: Lecce - Lazio

    Lecce have lost the 2nd half:
    us-leccein 9 of last 10 games (Serie A).
    2nd Half Lazio to Win
    Everygame
    +140
    Lazio have drawn in the 1st half:
    lazio-roma-1in 6 of last 7 away games (Serie A).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    -112
    Lecce have not won:
    us-leccein last 6 games (Serie A).
    Lazio will not lose
    MyBookie
    -500
    Lecce have conceded:
    us-leccelazio-roma-1in 8 of last 9 games against Lazio (Serie A).
    us-leccein 9 of last 10 games (Serie A).
    Lazio will score goal
    Everygame
    -303
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    7 - Losses
    Wins - 8
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 0
    10 matches
    Scored - 10
    Conceded - 22
    -12
    +15
    24 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    8
    1
    Draws
    2
    7
    Losses
    0
    Goal difference
    10
    Scored
    24
    22
    Conceded
    9
    3.2
    Average total per match
    3.3
    1
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.4
    2.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    5
    Both teams scored
    7
    90'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    38'
    View all stats