Juventude vs Sao Paulo Prediction 24 July 2025

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The main thing

    🔊 On Thursday evening in Caxias do Sul, Juventude are set to host São Paulo in a clash for the 16th round of the Brazilian Championship. Both teams are navigating challenging phases this season, but their motivation is through the roof. Juventude find themselves in the relegation zone, struggling to strike a balance between defense and attack-they concede too many and score too few. However, they've managed to snatch points at home, even against higher-ranked opponents. São Paulo, on the other hand, resemble a rollercoaster this season, alternating between commanding victories and inexplicable setbacks. With Hernán Crespo at the helm, fans are eager for a reset and more consistent performances. Adding intrigue to this matchup is their head-to-head history. Last season, Juventude pulled off a surprising away win against São Paulo. The visitors surely haven't forgotten that sting and will arrive at the "Estádio Alfredo Jaconi" eager for revenge. We anticipate a tense battle where the outcome will hinge not only on tactics but also on psychological resilience. One goal could make all the difference.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between these teams took place on 04 December 2024 and ended with a 1-2 scoreline. Here is a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (São Paulo were the home side):

    • possession: 62% vs 38%;
    • corners: 12 vs 2;
    • fouls: 9 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 7.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Juventude and São Paulo:

    • 10 matches played;
    • home team victories - 2, away team victories - 4, draws - 4;
    • goals scored - 9 for Juventude, 13 for São Paulo;
    • average total in the first half - 0.9, in the second half - 1.3;
    • average total goals per match - 2.2.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    21%
    3 Wins
    29%
    4 Draws
    50%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    14
    Total Goals Avg
    2.21
    Both teams scored
    57%
    0.93
    Total average
    1.29
    2.36
    Yellow cards
    2.64
    Last matches
    13.05.26
    Copa Brasil
    Juventude
    Juventude
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    1
    -
    -
    6
    4
    19
    17
    2
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    6
    4
    19
    17
    2
    1
    21.04.26
    Copa Brasil
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Juventude
    Juventude
    1
    -
    -
    13
    0
    13
    19
    0
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    13
    0
    13
    19
    0
    3
    23.11.25
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Juventude
    Juventude
    1
    2.07
    1.2
    3
    8
    15
    18
    5
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    2.07
    1.2
    3
    8
    15
    18
    5
    1
    24.07.25
    Serie A
    Juventude
    Juventude
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    0.32
    1.01
    4
    8
    15
    12
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.32
    1.01
    4
    8
    15
    12
    3
    2
    04.12.24
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Juventude
    Juventude
    0.47
    1.12
    12
    2
    9
    15
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0.47
    1.12
    12
    2
    9
    15
    0
    2
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    Juventude Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on during the 15th round of Brazil's Serie A, featuring Cruzeiro as the home side and Juventude as the visitors. The match concluded with a decisive 4-0 victory.

    Here are the game statistics (Juventude vs Cruzeiro):

    • possession: 52% vs 48%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 8;
    • fouls: 10 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 7.

    🟢 Sunday evening, July 20, turned into a true test for Juventude-one of the most painful of the season. In their away match against Cruzeiro, the team from Caxias do Sul wasn't just defeated-they were dismantled (0-4). From the outset, it was clear: the "Parrots" weren't leaving Belo Horizonte with three points. The hosts seized control, applying pressure with speed and intense pressing. Juventude, seemingly still recovering from the previous round, appeared sluggish, crumbling in midfield and unable to string together even short passes. Most worryingly, the team looked powerless. Not a single genuinely threatening moment at the opponent's goal. No sharpness, no aggression. The defense was shaky, and the attack was silent. This defeat is a painful wake-up call. The victory over Sport Recife (2-0) five days ago is already forgotten. Up next is a match against São Paulo, and Juventude approaches it with many questions but few answers.

    ⚪ Currently, the "Parrots" are in a precarious position-18th place, with only 11 points after 13 rounds. The team from Caxias do Sul is teetering on the edge-just 4 points away from the safe 16th place, with clubs behind them having nothing left to lose. If Juventude manage to defeat São Paulo, everything changes. Their points would rise to 14, bringing with them a genuine chance to escape the relegation zone. In theory, the team could climb to 16th place, pushing off the bottom and breathing new life into their season.

    Match Results: Juventude

    Last matches
    21.06.26
    Serie B
    Sao Bernardo
    Sao Bernardo
    Juventude
    Juventude
    -
    -
    1
    4
    16
    13
    3
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    16
    13
    3
    4
    W
    14.06.26
    Serie B
    Juventude
    Juventude
    Ponte Preta
    Ponte Preta
    1
    -
    -
    7
    2
    18
    16
    1
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    18
    16
    1
    1
    W
    05.06.26
    Serie B
    Operario
    Operario
    Juventude
    Juventude
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    17
    17
    3
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    17
    17
    3
    4
    L
    30.05.26
    Serie B
    Juventude
    Juventude
    America Mineiro
    America Mineiro
    -
    -
    5
    5
    16
    14
    0
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    5
    16
    14
    0
    2
    W
    23.05.26
    Serie B
    Juventude
    Juventude
    Recife PE
    Recife PE
    -
    -
    9
    2
    19
    13
    1
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    19
    13
    1
    4
    L
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    Sao Paulo Team Overview

    The visiting team last played an official match on during the 15th round of Brazil's Série A, with São Paulo hosting Corinthians. The game concluded with a 2-0 victory.

    Here are the match statistics (São Paulo vs Corinthians):

    • possession: 48% vs 52%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
    • fouls: 18 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 2.

    🔴 Matchday 15 marked a turning point for São Paulo. After a four-game winless streak, the Tricolor returned to Morumbi to secure a decisive derby victory over Corinthians. From the outset, it was clear that São Paulo would dictate the pace. They dominated with initiative, pressing, and precise passing. The game was methodically structured, free from unnecessary haste. The star of the evening was Luciano, who netted twice before halftime: first, he found the far corner from inside the box following a pass from Andrezinho, and then he expertly finished off a cross from Wendell. In the second half, São Paulo maintained their rhythm, controlled possession, defended smartly, and denied Corinthians any chance of a comeback.

    ⚪ The upcoming match against Juventude could be pivotal for the club's trajectory-either climbing up the table or slipping back towards the bottom. Currently sitting 14th with 16 points from 15 matches, their form remains inconsistent under the guidance of Hernán Crespo, who returned to the club in mid-June. The derby win has boosted their confidence, but their standing in the league is still precarious. If the Tricolor defeat Juventude, they will reach 19 points and potentially move closer to mid-table, landing between 10th and 13th place depending on other results in this round.

    Match Results: Sao Paulo

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Remo Belem
    Remo Belem
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    0.46
    0.56
    6
    8
    5
    8
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.46
    0.56
    6
    8
    5
    8
    1
    2
    L
    26.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    W
    23.05.26
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    1.49
    0.95
    4
    3
    20
    19
    4
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.49
    0.95
    4
    3
    20
    19
    4
    4
    D
    20.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    1.46
    1.84
    7
    2
    13
    17
    4
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.46
    1.84
    7
    2
    13
    17
    4
    3
    D
    16.05.26
    Serie A
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    1.25
    1.02
    3
    5
    13
    9
    3
    4
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1.25
    1.02
    3
    5
    13
    9
    3
    4
    L
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 10;
    • First-half victories for the home team - 1; for the away team - 0; draws - 4;
    • Average first-half total: 0.9;
    • Today's hosts average 0.4 goals, while the visitors average 0.5.

    First-Half Statistics: Juventude (home) vs São Paulo (away)

    • Matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
    • Wins: 3 (42.86%) vs 1 (14.29%);
    • Losses: 2 (28.57%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Draws: 2 (28.57%) vs 6 (85.71%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.43 vs 1;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.71 vs 0.43.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Wins: 2 vs 2;
    • Losses: 7 vs 2;
    • Draws: 1 vs 6;
    • Average first-half total: 1.6 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 1.2) vs 1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.5).
    Trends
    • São Paulo have drawn the first half in their last 5 away matches (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw(odds: 1.95)

    Match Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 10;
    • Home team wins - 2, Away team wins - 4, Draws - 4.

    Statistics: Juventude vs São Paulo

    • Matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 15;
    • Wins: 3 vs 3;
    • Win percentage: 23% vs 20%;
    • Losses: 8 vs 5;
    • Draws: 2 vs 7.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 1 vs 4;
    • Losses: 7 vs 4;
    • Draws: 2 vs 2.
    👉Prediction: Sao Paulo Handicap (0)(odds: 1.56)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Today's home team averages - 0.9 goals, away team - 1.3;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.2;
    • Both teams have scored: overall - 6 times; at the home team's venue - 3 times.

    Statistics: Juventude vs São Paulo

    • Average tournament total: 2.92 vs 2.13;
    • Average goals scored: 0.77 vs 0.93;
    • Average first-half total: 0.46 vs 0.53;
    • Average second-half total: 0.31 vs 0.4;
    • Juventude's average total at home in the tournament - 1.29;
    • São Paulo's average total away in the tournament - 0.86;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 0.6 (home - 1) vs 1.3 (away - 1.25).
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals has occurred in 12 of Juventude's last 14 matches.
    • Over 1.5 goals has occurred in 9 of Juventude's last 10 home matches.
    • Over 1.5 goals has occurred in 6 of Juventude's last 7 home matches (Serie A).
    • Over 1.5 goals has been seen in São Paulo's last 10 consecutive matches.
    • Over 1.5 goals has occurred in 8 of São Paulo's last 9 away matches.
    • Over 1.5 goals has been seen in São Paulo's last 7 consecutive matches (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1,5)(odds: 1.47)

    Corners Prediction

    Juventude: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 3.08; at home - 3.71;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 3; at home - 3.8.

    São Paulo: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 4.13, away - 2.71;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.3; away - 3.5.
    Trends
    • São Paulo have taken more than 4.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings with Juventude.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Sao Paulo Total Over (4,5)(odds: 1.74)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.6 (2.3 for the home team and 2.3 for the away team);
    • Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 5.6 (2.4 for the home team and 3.2 for the away team).

    Juventude: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.62; at home - 2.43;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; at home - 2.6.

    São Paulo: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 3.33, away - 2.86;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.6; away - 1.75.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5,5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 10;
    • Both teams have scored overall - 6 times;
    • At the home team's venue - 3 times.

    Statistics: Juventude vs São Paulo

    • Total matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 15;
    • Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 8;
    • Juventude's BTTS at home - 3 (43%);
    • São Paulo's BTTS away - 4 (57%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Total BTTS matches: 3 vs 7;
    • Juventude's BTTS at home - 2 (40%);
    • São Paulo's BTTS away - 3 (75%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.67)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    We anticipate a cautious and tightly contested match. Juventude are likely to focus on defense, aiming to capitalize on any mistakes from their opponents, while São Paulo will try to impose their structure and ball control. However, the lack of consistency from both sides makes the outcome less predictable. It's likely to be a low-scoring affair, with few goals and a slight edge in class and experience favoring the visitors. Our prediction: São Paulo to win with a handicap (0).

    Our choice
    Sao Paulo Handicap (0) at odds of -179*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (23 July 2025, 11:39)

    Betting Tips: Juventude - Sao Paulo

    Sao Paulo have drawn in the 1st half:
    sao-paulo-sp-1in last 5 away games (Serie A).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +100
    Sao Paulo have not won:
    sao-paulo-sp-1in last 10 away games (Serie A).
    Juventude will not lose
    Everygame
    -111
    Juventude have not won:
    juventude-rssao-paulo-sp-1in 8 of last 9 games against Sao Paulo.
    juventude-rssao-paulo-sp-1in last 5 home games against Sao Paulo.
    juventude-rsin 9 of last 10 games (Serie A).
    Sao Paulo will not lose
    Everygame
    -556
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    juventude-rsin 12 of last 14 Juventude games.
    juventude-rsin 9 of last 10 Juventude home games.
    juventude-rsin 6 of last 7 Juventude home games (Serie A).
    sao-paulo-sp-1in last 10 Sao Paulo games.
    sao-paulo-sp-1in 8 of last 9 Sao Paulo away games.
    sao-paulo-sp-1in last 7 Sao Paulo games (Serie A).
    in 12 of last 13 Savio Pereira Sampaio games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -200
    View more facts

    Juventude - Sao Paulo Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2025
    gWDLGDPForm
    7.
    Bahia
    Bahia
    381791250-4660
    8.
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    381491543-4751
    9.
    Gremio
    Gremio
    3813101547-5049
    18.
    Fortaleza
    Fortaleza
    3811101743-5843
    19.
    Juventude
    Juventude
    38982135-6935
    20.
    Recife PE
    Recife PE
    382112528-7517

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Win - 1
    Draws - 5
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 6
    +8
    -3
    10 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    1
    3
    Draws
    5
    2
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    10
    6
    Conceded
    13
    2
    Match goals average
    2.3
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    0.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    4
    Both teams scored
    6
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats