Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 May 2026
🔊 Inter Miami head into this fixture sitting second in the table, while Philadelphia Union languish down in fifteenth. The hosts have been in prolific form, consistently picking up points in recent outings. In contrast, the visitors are mired in a slump, with just one win from their last ten matches. The stark difference between Inter Miami’s confident run and Philadelphia Union’s struggles suggests a clear edge for the home side, and Inter’s impressive scoring rate makes this clash stand out on the matchday slate.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 24 May 2025 and ended in a 3-3 draw. Here’s a statistical comparison from that fixture (Philadelphia Union were the home team):
- Possession: 34% vs 66%;
- Corners: 8 vs 6;
- Fouls committed: 12 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 7 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-head meetings between Inter Miami and Philadelphia Union:
- 13 matches played;
- Home sides have claimed 6 wins, away teams 4 victories, with 3 draws;
- Total goals scored: 22 for the hosts, 20 for the visitors;
- Average first-half goals: 1.38, second half: 1.85;
- Average total goals per match: 3.23.
Head-to-head statistics Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami Team Overview
The team’s most recent official fixture took place on in MLS action, with Inter Miami hosting Portland Timbers. The hosts secured a 2-0 victory.
Here’s a breakdown of the match statistics (Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers):
- Possession: 45% vs 55%;
- Corners: 8 vs 5;
- Fouls committed: 15 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 9 vs 4.
Inter Miami are enjoying an impressive run of form, winning three of their last five matches and racking up eight victories in fourteen rounds. Over their past ten games, they average 2.7 goals per match, underlining their attacking prowess. Defensively, they remain vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.8 goals in the same span, but their offensive firepower more than makes up for it. This season, Inter Miami are scoring 2.36 goals per game and have established themselves as one of the league’s most prolific home sides - with the over 3.5 goals market hitting in thirteen of their last fifteen home fixtures.
It’s crucial for Inter Miami to head into the extended break on a winning streak. With the World Cup on the horizon, Lionel Messi will not return to MLS action until July. The Argentine star heads off to join his national team in top form, having found the net consistently over the past month. Inter Miami remain true to their identity: an aggressive side that allows opponents chances but outguns them with even greater efficiency. They have scored eleven goals across their last three matches.
Match Results: Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in MLS action, facing off against Philadelphia Union on the road. The contest ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here’s a look at the key stats from that game (Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew):
- Possession: 38% vs 62%;
- Corners: 4 vs 4;
- Fouls: 14 vs 12;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 1.
Philadelphia Union are going through a rough patch: just one win and five defeats in their last ten matches highlight serious issues with both consistency and picking up points. The team rarely threatens going forward-averaging only 1.2 goals scored per game over that stretch, while conceding 1.7 on average. Across the season, the visitors have managed just a single victory and suffered nine losses in fourteen rounds. Their recent form is equally troubling: three defeats and two draws in their last five fixtures, with no wins to show for it.
Last season’s regular-season winners desperately need a break, and the upcoming pause could be just what they need. Philadelphia have struggled to find their identity since Tai Baribo’s departure and look uninspired on the pitch. There’s no clear tactical approach, and positive results have been few and far between. At this stage, a playoff spot seems like a distant dream. Unfortunately, Philadelphia appear to be following in the footsteps of last year’s LA Galaxy. Something has to change.
Match Results: Philadelphia Union
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 13;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.38;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.62, while the visitors net 0.77.
First-Half Stats: Inter Miami (home) vs Philadelphia Union (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 8;
- wins: 2 (40%) vs 2 (25%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 6 (75%);
- draws: 3 (60%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 2 vs 1.25;
- Average goals conceded: 0.6 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 2;
- losses: 0 vs 5;
- draws: 6 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.7 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.8).
- Inter Miami scored in the 1st half in 14 of last 15 home games (MLS).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- home team wins - 6, away team wins - 4, draws - 3.
Statistics: Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 8 vs 1;
- win percentage: 57% vs 7%;
- losses: 2 vs 9;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 1;
- losses: 1 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
- Philadelphia Union won with a +2.5 handicap in last 5 away games against Inter Miami (MLS).
- Philadelphia Union won with a +2.5 handicap in last 26 games.
- Philadelphia Union won with a +2.5 handicap in last 21 games (MLS).
- Philadelphia Union won with a +2.5 handicap in last 14 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.69, the guests - 1.54;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.23;
- both teams scored: overall - 10; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union
- average total in the tournament: 4.07 vs 2.71;
- average total goals scored: 2.36 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.21;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.36 vs 0.79;
- Inter Miami: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Philadelphia Union: average total away in the tournament - 1.38;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.7 (home - 2) vs 1.2 (away - 1.67).
- Inter Miami have conceded in 7 of last 8 home games.
- Philadelphia Union have scored in 7 of last 8 away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- both teams scored all-time - 10 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union
- number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Inter Miami at home - 4 (80%);
- number of BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union away - 6 (75%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Inter Miami at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union away - 5 (83%).
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in last 6 games against Philadelphia Union.
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in last 5 games against Philadelphia Union (MLS).
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games.
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games (MLS).
- Philadelphia Union have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 away games.
- Philadelphia Union have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games (MLS).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (18/203, 8.9%);
- Inter Miami at home most often finish matches: 2:2 (2/5, 40%);
- Philadelphia Union away most often play: 2:1 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.03% (odds 8)
3:1 - 7.05% (odds 9.5)
1:1 - 7.03% (odds 10)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Inter Miami consistently deliver high-scoring, entertaining matches at home-a trend of over 3.5 goals is supported not only by season stats, but also by their recent form. Their potent attack often makes up for defensive lapses, while their opponents are struggling: Philadelphia Union have managed just one win in their last ten matches. Their previous head-to-head saw six goals scored, further highlighting the open nature of this fixture. The prediction: over 3.5 total goals.
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Betting Tips: Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union
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