Zenit vs Akhmat Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 May 2025
🔊 Will Zenit clinch their seventh consecutive Russian championship? This season, it's not entirely in their hands. The St. Petersburg side need to defeat Akhmat, who have already missed their chance to escape the relegation playoff zone before the final round. Meanwhile, in a parallel match, Krasnodar must drop points, which is quite likely. Thus, the favorite for the match is clear. However, we'll explore different scenarios to ensure a well-founded prediction. It's worth noting that the match will take place in Saint Petersburg at the Gazprom Arena.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over a stretch of 42 head-to-head matches, Zenit hold the upper hand with a 52 percent win rate. This season, they have defeated Akhmat three times, including twice in November. In Grozny, the hosts narrowly lost 2-1, despite Zenit having few opportunities. Notably, the "Blue-White-Sky Blues" managed just two shots on target. The scoreline was identical in Grozny during the Russian Cup RPL Path playoffs. Prior to that, Zenit thrashed Akhmat in Saint Petersburg with a 3-0 victory.
Akhmat often pose a challenge for Zenit. Nonetheless, the St. Petersburg side have won the first half in seven consecutive matches. Considering they need nothing less than a victory in the upcoming clash, a bet on Zenit to win the 1st half seems reasonable. After that, the hosts are likely to shift their focus to maintaining their lead.
Head-to-head statistics Zenit - Akhmat
Zenit Saint Petersburg Team Overview
⚪ Zenit have been knocked out of the Russian Cup. Despite securing a home victory over CSKA with a two-goal advantage, they squandered their lead away and lost in a penalty shootout. Now, a win in the RPL is more crucial than ever. The team are unbeaten in eight consecutive rounds, and when they do win, it's often by the narrowest of margins. This approach is understandable, as the primary goal is to secure three points. Currently, Zenit trail Krasnodar by the slimmest of margins.
🔗 In Kaspiysk, Zenit edged out Dynamo Makhachkala in a rather lackluster performance (1-0). After scoring, they noticeably retreated to their own half. They pulled the same trick against Rostov (1-0). This time, it nearly cost them the victory, as their opponents created significantly more chances in the second half and even scored, though the goal was disallowed.
Match Results: Zenit Saint Petersburg
Akhmat Grozny Team Overview
🟢 Akhmat left a positive impression during the spring phase of the championship. It seemed that with such performances, they would surely avoid relegation and even the playoffs. However, their finishing issues persisted, so the team won't rise above 13th place. After their exit from the Russian Cup at the hands of Lokomotiv in mid-April, Akhmat haven't won a single match in the RPL. They only failed to score against Pari NN (0-1), essentially gifting their opponents three points.
🔗 In the last round, Akhmat drew with Dynamo Makhachkala (1-1). They needed a win to have the edge in head-to-head encounters. There were chances, but the opponents also consistently posed threats to Akhmat's goal. Therefore, it's unlikely either team was satisfied with the result.
Match Results: Akhmat Grozny
Latest news
Zenit Saint Petersburg
🎙 Forward Aleksandr Sobolev shared that when a situation is out of the team's hands, it doesn't distract from their game: "If it doesn't depend on us, how can it be a distraction? We just need to win our own match, and whatever Krasnodar does shouldn't affect us. Especially at home, in the final round, when we have a shot at the title, we simply need to go out and win."
📝 Wendel remains with Zenit. The agreement with Botafogo was terminated due to financial difficulties at the Brazilian club. As a result, the midfielder will continue his recovery with Zenit and prepare for the new season alongside them.
❌ In the upcoming match, not only will Wendel be sidelined due to injury, but Vyacheslav Karavaev will also miss out, having not played since spring.
Akhmat Grozny
🎙 Akhmat's head coach Sergey Tashuev shared his thoughts on the match against Dynamo Makhachkala: “We were prepared and determined to win. The start of the game was under our control, we had our chances, but we just couldn't find the back of the net. Conceding a penalty put us on the back foot. In the second half, we made adjustments by introducing a second striker and refreshing the flank, which helped us level the score... We understand that we need to compete in the RPL, but we must go through this, letting go of unnecessary emotions.”
❌ In the upcoming match, Anton Shvets will remain sidelined as he has been for a while, and Nader Ghandri, who has missed three games due to injury, will also be unavailable. Lechi Sadulaev was substituted with a suspected injury against Dynamo Makhachkala, and his participation in the next match is doubtful.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
Akhmat hold the edge this season in terms of yellow cards, averaging 2.2 compared to 1.5. Despite this, matches involving them see an average of five cautions. However, their three head-to-heads this season have featured no more than three yellows. In 5 of their last 6 Russian Premier League matches, Akhmat have received no more than two bookings. Zenit, on the other hand, have accumulated just four cautions over their past five rounds. This leads to a bet on total yellow cards under 4.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Zenit have been scoring sparingly in recent matches but still manage to secure results. After netting the first goal, they tend to sit back, posing less threat to the opposition's goal. Consequently, they haven't scored more than two goals in eight consecutive matches. In this context, it makes sense to bet on home team total goals under 2.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
This season, Zenit hold a slight advantage in corners (5.9 to 5.5), but it's marginal. If they score early and retreat defensively, they might not reach their usual tally. Akhmat have managed at least four corners in their three head-to-heads this season. The game's dynamics suggest the visitors could hit that mark again. Therefore, we suggest betting on Akhmat total corners over 3.5.
Editorial Prediction
Zenit must secure a win and hope for a slip-up from Krasnodar. Last season, they found themselves in a similar position and ultimately clinched the title. Whether they can replicate that success remains uncertain, but the team will undoubtedly strive to maintain control of the game. A high-scoring shootout isn't in their best interest. In this scenario, a bet on under 3.5 total goals appears sensible, especially since this outcome has occurred in Zenit's last eight consecutive matches.
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Betting Tips: Zenit Saint Petersburg - Akhmat Grozny
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