Hearts vs Motherwell Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 23 August 2025
🔊 On Saturday, at Tynecastle Park in Edinburgh, Hearts will host Motherwell in the third round of the Scottish Premiership. The home side have kicked off the season perfectly, securing six points from a possible six, and they aim to solidify their leading position. The "Steelmen," on the other hand, have settled for two draws so far and will be seeking their first victory. The head-to-head history and current form clearly tip the scales in favor of Hearts, but mid-table derbies and robust squads in Scotland rarely come without surprises.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 10 May 2025 and ended with a 3-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Hearts were the home side):
- possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
- fouls: 17 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Hearts and Motherwell:
- 49 matches played;
- home wins: 21, away wins: 20, draws: 8;
- goals scored: 70 for Hearts, 56 for Motherwell;
- average first-half goals: 1.16, second-half goals: 1.41;
- average total goals per match: 2.57.
Head-to-head statistics Hearts - Motherwell
Heart of Midlothian Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Scottish League Cup, featuring St Mirren as the hosts and Hearts as the visitors. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Hearts vs St Mirren):
- possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corners: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
🔴 Hearts have kicked off the new season on a high note: over the summer, they delivered a series of commanding victories in the League Cup, thrashing lower division opponents. In the Premier League, the Edinburgh side began with a home win against Aberdeen (2-0), and then continued their success on the road against Dundee United (3-2). Hearts were on an impressive ten-match winning streak across all competitions, but it came to an end in the League Cup Round of 16 against St Mirren: a 1-1 draw in regular time followed by a 4-5 loss in the penalty shootout.
Match Results: Heart of Midlothian
Motherwell Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place on in the Scottish League Cup, with St. Johnstone hosting Motherwell. The game ended 0-1.
Here are the match stats (Motherwell vs St. Johnstone):
- possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corners: 13 vs 2;
- fouls: 22 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- shots on target: 6 vs 0.
🟡 Motherwell have kicked off the season with two hard-fought draws in the league. First, they held their ground at home against Rangers (1-1), showcasing a solid defensive performance and managing to withstand the pressure from the favorites. A week later, the Steelmen shared the spoils once again, this time away at St. Mirren (0-0). Following that, they tasted success in the Scottish League Cup: in the Round of 16, Motherwell edged past St. Johnstone (1-0 after extra time) to advance to the quarter-finals. Moreover, the club is unbeaten in seven consecutive matches across all competitions, demonstrating stability and confidence in their play at the start of the season.
Match Results: Motherwell
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- total encounters - 49;
- home wins - 21, away wins - 20, draws - 8.
Statistics: Hearts vs Motherwell
- matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- wins: 2 vs 0;
- win percentage: 100% vs 0%;
- losses: 0 vs 0;
- draws: 0 vs 2.
Last 10 Matches:
- wins: 9 vs 6;
- losses: 1 vs 1;
- draws: 0 vs 3.
- Motherwell cover the +1.5 handicap in 9 consecutive matches.
- Motherwell cover the +1.5 handicap in 7 of their last 8 league games.
- Motherwell cover the +1.5 handicap in 5 consecutive away matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head
- average goals scored by home team - 1.43, away team - 1.14;
- average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.57;
- both teams scored: overall - 21 times; at home ground - 7 times.
- Motherwell score in 8 of their last 9 matches.
Corners Prediction
Hearts: Statistics
- season: average total in tournament - 6; at home - 3;
- last 10 matches: average total - 7.3; at home - 7.4.
Motherwell: Statistics
- season: average total in tournament - 2.5, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average total - 6; away - 6.83.
- Motherwell take fewer than 4.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head encounters (Premier League).
- Motherwell take fewer than 4.5 corners away in 6 of their last 7 matches (Premier League).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.66 (1.33 for home team and 1.33 for away team);
- average total yellow cards at home ground - 3.13 (1.22 for home team and 1.91 for away team).
Hearts: Statistics
- season: average total in tournament - 3.5; at home - 3;
- last 10 matches: average total - 1.7; at home - 1.2.
Motherwell: Statistics
- season: average total in tournament - 1, away - 1;
- last 10 matches: average total - 0.8; away - 0.83.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- total encounters - 49;
- both teams scored overall - 21 times;
- at home ground - 7 times.
Statistics: Hearts vs Motherwell
- matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 1;
- BTTS for Hearts at home - 0 (0%);
- BTTS for Motherwell away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 Matches:
- matches with BTTS: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS for Hearts at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS for Motherwell away - 2 (33%).
Editorial Prediction
Both teams enter the match in decent form: Hearts have made a strong start in the Premier League and sit in the upper part of the table, while Motherwell are on a seven-match unbeaten streak, showcasing resilient and organized football. However, the home ground advantage and dominant head-to-head statistics tip the scales in favor of the Edinburgh side-Hearts have won six of their last seven encounters against Motherwell at Tynecastle Park. The hosts might secure another victory, but considering the visitors' unbeaten run, we suggest a prediction: Motherwell to win with a +1.5 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Heart of Midlothian - Motherwell
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