Alianza Atletico vs UTC de Cajamarca Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 May 2026
🔊 Alianza Atletico head into their clash with UTC Cajamarca with a clear gap in the league standings and inconsistent recent form. The hosts currently sit 8th, while the visitors languish down in 15th place. Alianza Atletico have struggled for consistency over their last five outings, whereas UTC Cajamarca, despite a run of defeats, have managed to pick up points in several consecutive matches. The key storyline here is the contrast between the hosts’ average attacking output and the visitors’ recurring defensive lapses.
Head-to-Head
⚠ This will be the first-ever head-to-head meeting between these clubs.
Head-to-head statistics Alianza Atletico - UTC de Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the Copa Sudamericana, with Macará hosting Alianza Atlético. The contest ended in a goalless draw, 0-0.
Here’s a breakdown of the key match stats (Alianza Atlético vs Macará):
- Possession: 42% vs 58%;
- Corners: 1 vs 7;
- Fouls committed: 11 vs 13;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Alianza Atlético have been treading a fine line between victories and setbacks: over their last five outings, they have picked up two wins, suffered two defeats, and drawn once. Stretching the sample to ten matches, the picture remains far from ideal-six losses, three wins, and just one draw. Despite these inconsistencies, they average 1.2 goals scored per game while conceding only 0.93, which speaks to a fairly solid defensive unit by league standards. However, there is cause for concern at home: Alianza Atlético have conceded in each of their last six home fixtures, suggesting their opponents are likely to find the net again this time around.
Match Results: Alianza Atletico
UTC de Cajamarca Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Primera División, facing off against UTC de Cajamarca away from home. Sporting Cristal emerged victorious with a 3-1 scoreline.
Here’s a look at the key match statistics (UTC de Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal):
- Possession: 44% vs 56%;
- Corners: 6 vs 3;
- Fouls: 12 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 5 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 10 vs 8.
UT Cajamarca are enduring a challenging campaign, managing just four wins alongside eight defeats in their opening fifteen rounds-a record that exposes their vulnerabilities, even by mid-table standards. Yet their attacking potential keeps them in contention, averaging 1.4 goals per game. Defensively, however, they struggle: Cajamarca concede an average of 1.73 goals per match, a figure that has risen to 1.8 goals allowed over their last ten outings. Encouragingly, they have shown signs of improvement, claiming three victories in their last five fixtures after suffering back-to-back losses.
Match Results: UTC de Cajamarca
Prediction on the outcome
Statistics: Alianza Atletico vs UTC de Cajamarca
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- win percentage: 33% vs 27%;
- losses: 5 vs 8;
- draws: 5 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 6 vs 6;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- UTC de Cajamarca won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Alianza Atletico vs UTC de Cajamarca
- average total in the tournament: 2.13 vs 3.13;
- average total goals scored: 1.2 vs 1.4;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.4 vs 0.4;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.8 vs 1;
- Alianza Atletico: average total at home in the tournament - 1.43;
- UTC de Cajamarca: average total away in the tournament - 0.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 1.4 (away - 0.6).
- Alianza Atletico have conceded in last 6 home games.
Prediction on corners
Alianza Atletico: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.27; at home field - 3.43;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.4; at home field - 4.75.
UTC de Cajamarca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.2, away - 2.63;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; away - 1.8.
- Alianza Atletico have taken under 5.5 corners in 21 of last 22 games.
- Alianza Atletico have taken under 5.5 corners in 15 of last 16 games (Primera Division).
- Alianza Atletico have taken under 5.5 corners in 10 of last 11 home games.
- Alianza Atletico have taken under 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
Statistics: Alianza Atletico vs UTC de Cajamarca
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 9;
- number of BTS matches for Alianza Atletico at home - 2 (29%);
- number of BTS matches for UTC de Cajamarca away - 3 (38%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Alianza Atletico at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for UTC de Cajamarca away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (22/135, 16.3%);
- Alianza Atletico at home most often finish matches: 0:0 (2/7, 28.6%);
- UTC de Cajamarca away most often play: 1:0 (3/8, 37.5%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 13.32% (odds 6.5)
1:1 - 11.2% (odds 7)
2:0 - 10.5% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Several factors point toward a productive outing for the visitors in this clash. Alianza Atletico have consistently struggled defensively at home, conceding in six consecutive matches-a clear sign of vulnerability at the back. UT Cajamarca, despite their low standing in the table, possess genuine attacking threat: they average 1.4 goals per game and have maintained that output even amid inconsistent results. The visitors’ current form also suggests they can find the net again, with three wins from their last five matches highlighting their ability to create chances. Given Alianza Atletico’s ongoing issues with conceding goals, our prediction is UT Cajamarca to score over 0.5 goals.No comments
Betting Tips: Alianza Atletico - UTC de Cajamarca
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