Ilves vs Vaasa Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 22 August 2026
📣 The Finnish regular season wraps up on 31 August, and the top-six picture is still unsettled. VPS sit fifth, while Ilves are chasing from ninth, and the gap between them actually widened last round - on 17 August, Ilves lost 2-3 to Gnistan in Helsinki. A year ago the situation was reversed: Ilves finished third, while VPS missed out on the top six.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 24 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 3:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Vaasa PS):
- ball possession percentage: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 5;
- fouls: 16 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 3.
In 37 official meetings between Ilves and VPS, the home side have won 15 times, VPS 14, with eight draws. VPS have the edge in goals scored, netting 51 to Ilves's 43. The average across these fixtures is 2.54 goals per match.
Head-to-head statistics Ilves - Vaasa
Tampereen Ilves Team Overview
Ilves sit on 25 points, a far cry from last season's bronze medal finish. The club changed manager in July, with Joni Lehtonen replaced by Spaniard Camilo Speranza. Their summer highlight came in Europe - they knocked out Differdange over two legs and then beat Stjärnan on penalties. But a home draw against Rijeka on 13 August wasn't enough, and it was the Croatians who advanced to the Conference League play-offs. At home, though, Ilves have been solid: they are unbeaten in 11 consecutive matches at Tammelan Stadion, six of them in the Veikkausliiga.
Match Results: Tampereen Ilves
Vaasa PS Team Overview
VPS have 30 points from 20 matches, with 28 goals scored and 21 conceded. Jussi Nuorela has been in charge throughout - he was managing the side a year ago as well. Their form has dropped at a crucial stage: in their last five matches they have won only once, 3-1 away at Jaro in Pietarsaari. On the road, they have scored 10 goals in 10 away matches, but the problem is also clear in defence - VPS have conceded in seven consecutive Veikkausliiga away games. Time is running short: on 31 August they host Lahti, and that will be their final regular-season fixture.
Match Results: Vaasa PS
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Tampereen Ilves (Home) vs Vaasa PS (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 10;
- Number of wins: 5 (55.56%) vs 2 (20%);
- Number of losses: 2 (22.22%) vs 3 (30%);
- Number of draws: 2 (22.22%) vs 5 (50%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.56 vs 1.3;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.44 vs 0.8.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 3 vs 4;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 5 vs 2;
- Average first half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.9 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 1).
- Vaasa PS conceded in the 1st half in last 5 games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.16, the guests - 1.38;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.54;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Tampereen Ilves vs Vaasa PS
- average total in the tournament: 3.35 vs 2.45;
- average total goals scored: 1.65 vs 1.4;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.95 vs 0.75;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.7 vs 0.65;
- Tampereen Ilves: average total at home in the tournament - 1.78;
- Vaasa PS: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.8) vs 1.9 (away - 1.5).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Tampereen Ilves games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 12 of last 14 Vaasa PS away games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 37;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Tampereen Ilves vs Vaasa PS
- number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Tampereen Ilves at home - 3 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for Vaasa PS away - 6 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Tampereen Ilves at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Vaasa PS away - 4 (100%).
⭐ Editor's Pick
Ilves have scored in 16 consecutive home league matches, so at least one goal for the hosts is a given. The arithmetic from there is straightforward: fewer than four goals in 7 of Ilves's last 8 matches, and the same pattern away from home for the visitors - under four in 12 of their last 14 Veikkausliiga away games. We're not expecting an open match here. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Tampereen Ilves - Vaasa PS
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