Novorizont. vs Criciuma Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 21 July 2026
📢 This round 19 match in the Brazilian Série B is a battle at the top of the table. The hosts sit sixth, just two points off the automatic promotion places, while the visitors hold first place on the back of a solid unbeaten run. Neither side can afford to drop points here.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 23 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Criciuma):
- ball possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 1;
- fouls: 9 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 0.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Novorizontino and Criciuma:
- played 8 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 2, draws - 2;
- number of goals - 9 against 6;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.5, in the 2nd half - 1.38;
- average total goals in the match - 1.88.
Head-to-head statistics Novorizont. - Criciuma
Gremio Novorizontino Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Fortaleza EC CE, away team - Novorizontino). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC CE):
- ball possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 10;
- fouls: 6 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Novo Horizonte are still in the promotion race and arrive at this match in decent shape. Over their last ten games, they've picked up five wins, three draws and two defeats. The attack has been the standout - averaging 1.9 goals per game across that run, while the defence has been conceding under one a match. Two recent setbacks haven't knocked them out of contention for the top spots.
Match Results: Gremio Novorizontino
Criciuma EC SC Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Criciuma, away - Vila Nova). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here are the match stats (Criciuma vs Vila Nova):
- ball possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 19 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Criciúma arrive at this match as league leaders and haven't lost in ten straight games - seven wins and three draws in that run. The last five have all been wins. Defensively they've been tight, conceding just 0.5 goals per game while averaging 1.3 at the other end. They've also scored in every one of those ten matches, which says something about their consistency.
Match Results: Criciuma EC SC
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 8;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 2;
- Average first-half total: 0.5;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.25, while the visitors net 0.25.
First-Half Stats: Novorizontino (home) vs Criciuma (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 9;
- wins: 1 (12.5%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- losses: 1 (12.5%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- draws: 6 (75%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 0.89;
- Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.33.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 8;
- losses: 2 vs 0;
- draws: 5 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.7) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0).
- Criciuma have won the 1st half in last 8 games (Serie B).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 2, draws - 2.
Statistics: Novorizontino vs Criciuma
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 8 vs 10;
- win percentage: 44% vs 56%;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 6 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 7;
- losses: 2 vs 0;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Criciuma won with a +1.5 handicap in last 30 games.
- Criciuma won with a +1.5 handicap in last 27 games (Serie B).
- Criciuma won with a +1.5 handicap in 26 of last 27 away games.
- Criciuma won with a +1.5 handicap in last 18 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.13, the guests - 0.75;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.88;
- both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Novorizontino vs Criciuma
- average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 1.89;
- average total goals scored: 1.56 vs 1.22;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.44 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.11 vs 0.56;
- Novorizontino: average total at home in the tournament - 1.75;
- Criciuma: average total away in the tournament - 1.11;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2.25) vs 1.3 (away - 1.5).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Novorizontino games against Criciuma.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Criciuma games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Novorizontino vs Criciuma
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Novorizontino at home - 6 (75%);
- number of BTTS matches for Criciuma away - 5 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Novorizontino at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Criciuma away - 3 (75%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (26/180, 14.4%);
- Novorizontino at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (3/8, 37.5%);
- Criciuma away most often play: 0:1 , 1:1 , 1:2 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.93% (odds 6)
1:0 - 11.53% (odds 6)
0:0 - 10.45% (odds 6)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The bookmakers make Novo Horizonte slight favourites, but Criciúma arrive as league leaders and keep winning. Both sides are in good form - though Criciúma get results the pragmatic way: no more than two goals in 6 of their last 7 matches. The head-to-head record tells a similar story: 7 of the previous 8 meetings between these sides stayed under three goals. Given all that, total goals under 2.5 looks like the right call. We're going with 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Gremio Novorizontino - Criciuma EC SC
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