Modena vs Mantova Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 21 March 2026
📢 What can we expect from the clash between Modena and Mantova in the 32nd round of Serie B? Modena are currently sitting in sixth place, showcasing consistent performances throughout the season, while Mantova are in twelfth and eager to boost their standings. Both teams have been scoring well in recent matches, suggesting this encounter could be high-scoring.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 20 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Mantova):
- ball possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 10;
- fouls: 11 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Modena and Mantova:
- played 11 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 1, draws - 6;
- number of goals - 14 against 8;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.18, in the 2nd half - 0.82;
- average total goals in the match - 2.
Head-to-head statistics Modena - Mantova

Modena Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Modena, away team - Spezia Calcio). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here's the game statistics (Modena vs Spezia Calcio):
- ball possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
Modena are having a strong season, currently sitting in sixth place in the league. Over their last five matches, they have secured two wins, one draw, and suffered two defeats. This indicates some fluctuations in form, but the overall trend across ten matches is positive, with four wins, three draws, and three losses. The team boasts a solid defense, conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per game over the last ten matches, making it one of the best defenses in the league.
Match Results: Modena

Mantova Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Mantova, away - Cesena). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here are the match stats (Mantova vs Cesena):
- ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 20 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Mantova sit in twelfth place and have been delivering inconsistent performances. In their last five games, the team secured two wins, two draws, and suffered one defeat. On average, they have scored 1.5 goals per game over the past ten matches, indicating a fairly effective attack. However, their defensive frailty, conceding 1.2 goals per match in the same period, poses challenges in maintaining desired outcomes.
Match Results: Mantova
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 11;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 1, draws - 6.
Statistics: Modena vs Mantova
- matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 31;
- wins: 13 vs 9;
- win percentage: 43% vs 29%;
- losses: 9 vs 15;
- draws: 8 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Modena have not lost in 10 of last 11 games against Mantova.
- Modena have not lost in last 7 games against Mantova (Serie B).
- Mantova have not won in 8 of last 9 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.27, the guests - 0.73;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Modena vs Mantova
- average total in the tournament: 2.13 vs 2.61;
- average total goals scored: 1.33 vs 1.13;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.57 vs 0.52;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.77 vs 0.61;
- Modena: average total at home in the tournament - 1.44;
- Mantova: average total away in the tournament - 0.73;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.17) vs 1.5 (away - 1).
- Modena have scored under 2.5 goals in 18 of last 19 games (Serie B).
- Modena have scored under 2.5 goals in 9 of last 10 home games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 11;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Modena vs Mantova
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 31;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 17;
- number of BTTS matches for Modena at home - 8 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Mantova away - 6 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Modena at home - 2 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Mantova away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (47/309, 15.2%);
- Modena at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (5/16, 31.3%);
- Mantova away most often play: 1:0 (4/15, 26.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 14.37% (odds 6.1)
1:1 - 11.6% (odds 6.6)
2:0 - 10.99% (odds 7.4)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Modena enter the match as favorites, but Mantova are clearly not planning to give up points without a fight. The visitors aim to play as organized and cautiously as possible, focusing on their defense. In such a scenario, the game is unlikely to be open or abundant in goal-scoring opportunities. Against this backdrop, betting on under 2.5 goals seems like a reasonable choice.