Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 30 April 2026
🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Neftchi Baku and Qarabag are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 16:00. The tournament match Premier League will take place in the city of Baku at the Bakcell Arena stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Qarabag being the favorite of the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 26 April 2026 and ended with a score of 2:0. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Qarabag):
- ball possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1.
📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Neftchi Baku and Qarabag:
- played 60 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 9, for the away team - 38, draws - 13;
- number of goals (home/away) - 44 against 120;
- average total goals in the match - 2.73.
Head-to-head statistics Neftchi Baku - Qarabag

Neftchi Baku Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on 15 February 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Kapaz, away team - Neftchi Baku). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:3.
Here are the game statistics (Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz):
- ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 12 vs 2.
- 7 wins,
- 4 losses,
- 9 draws.
📈Currently, Neftchi Baku stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 35% and a loss percentage of 20%.
⚽️Neftchi Baku has scored a total of 28 goals. On the defensive end, Neftchi Baku has allowed 18 goals over the season.
Match Results: Neftchi Baku

Qarabag Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 18 February 2026 as part of the Champions League tournament (home team - Qarabag, away - Newcastle United). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:6.
Here are the match stats (Qarabag vs Newcastle United):
- ball possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 6;
- fouls: 10 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 14.
- 14 wins,
- 3 losses,
- 3 draws.
📈Currently, Qarabag stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 70% and a loss percentage of 15%.
⚽Qarabag has scored a total of 36 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 13 goals over the season.
Match Results: Qarabag
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 60;
- home team wins - 9, away team wins - 38, draws - 13.
Statistics: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag
- matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- wins: 7 vs 14;
- win percentage: 35% vs 70%;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 9 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 0.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.73, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.73;
- both teams scored: overall - 29; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag
- average total in the tournament: 2.3 vs 2.45;
- average total goals scored: 1.4 vs 1.8;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.6 vs 0.7;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.8 vs 1.1;
- Neftchi Baku: average total at home in the tournament - 1.3;
- Qarabag: average total away in the tournament - 2.22;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.25) vs 1.2 (away - 1.17).
- Neftchi Baku have scored in 10 of last 11 games (Premier League).
Prediction on corners
Neftchi Baku: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.05; at home field - 5.7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; at home field - 6.
Qarabag: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.7, away - 6.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.5; away - 6.33.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 60;
- both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
- on the home team’s field - 13 times.
Statistics: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag
- number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku at home - 5 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Qarabag away - 6 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Qarabag away - 4 (67%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (14/119, 11.8%);
- Neftchi Baku at home most often finish matches: 0:0 (3/10, 30%);
- Qarabag away most often play: 1:2 (3/9, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.78% (odds 7)
0:1 - 11.49% (odds 6.5)
1:2 - 8.71% (odds 10)