Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 30 April 2026

    🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Neftchi Baku and Qarabag are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 16:00. The tournament match Premier League will take place in the city of Baku at the Bakcell Arena stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Qarabag being the favorite of the match.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 26 April 2026 and ended with a score of 2:0. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Qarabag):

    • ball possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1.

    📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Neftchi Baku and Qarabag:

    • played 60 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 9, for the away team - 38, draws - 13;
    • number of goals (home/away) - 44 against 120;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.73.

    Head-to-head statistics Neftchi Baku - Qarabag

    16%
    10 Wins
    21%
    13 Draws
    63%
    39 Wins
    Total games
    62
    Avg. total goals
    2.79
    Both teams scored
    50%
    0.76
    Average total
    2.03
    1.39
    Yellow cards
    1.11
    Last matches
    30.04.26
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    0
    5
    -
    -
    5
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    0
    5
    -
    -
    5
    3
    26.04.26
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    1
    2
    1
    5
    1
    3
    0
    2
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    1
    2
    09.11.25
    Premier League
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    19.04.25
    Premier League
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    8
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    16.02.25
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    0
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    0
    0
    2
    2
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    Neftchi Baku Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on 15 February 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Kapaz, away team - Neftchi Baku). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:3.

    Here are the game statistics (Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz):

    • ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 12 vs 2.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Neftchi Baku has engaged in 20 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 7 wins,
    • 4 losses,
    • 9 draws.

    📈Currently, Neftchi Baku stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 35% and a loss percentage of 20%.

    ⚽️Neftchi Baku has scored a total of 28 goals. On the defensive end, Neftchi Baku has allowed 18 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Neftchi Baku

    Last matches
    09.10.26
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Sabah
    Sabah
    -
    -
    4
    3
    17
    15
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    17
    15
    2
    3
    D
    18.09.26
    Premier League
    Gabala
    Gabala
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    4
    4
    13
    18
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    13
    18
    0
    3
    W
    11.09.26
    Premier League
    Imisli
    Imisli
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    -
    -
    2
    7
    10
    4
    0
    1
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    7
    10
    4
    0
    1
    W
    05.09.26
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    FK SAFA
    FK SAFA
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    1
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    1
    1
    W
    30.08.26
    Premier League
    Zira
    Zira
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    1
    -
    -
    8
    6
    1
    0
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    6
    1
    0
    2
    2
    L
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    Qarabag Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 18 February 2026 as part of the Champions League tournament (home team - Qarabag, away - Newcastle United). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:6.

    Here are the match stats (Qarabag vs Newcastle United):

    • ball possession: 42% vs 58%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 6;
    • fouls: 10 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 14.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Qarabag has engaged in 20 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 14 wins,
    • 3 losses,
    • 3 draws.

    📈Currently, Qarabag stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 70% and a loss percentage of 15%.

    ⚽Qarabag has scored a total of 36 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 13 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Qarabag

    Last matches
    11.10.26
    Premier League
    Imisli
    Imisli
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    3
    8
    7
    8
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    8
    7
    8
    1
    2
    W
    18.09.26
    Premier League
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    FK SAFA
    FK SAFA
    -
    -
    7
    2
    13
    6
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    13
    6
    0
    1
    W
    13.09.26
    Premier League
    Zira
    Zira
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    3
    5
    16
    16
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    5
    16
    16
    2
    2
    D
    06.09.26
    Premier League
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Araz Nakhchivan PFK
    Araz Nakhchivan PFK
    -
    -
    7
    4
    4
    11
    1
    3
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    7
    4
    4
    11
    1
    3
    W
    31.08.26
    Premier League
    Sumgayit
    Sumgayit
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    1
    -
    -
    4
    11
    9
    15
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    11
    9
    15
    1
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 60;
    • home team wins - 9, away team wins - 38, draws - 13.

    Statistics: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag

    • matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
    • wins: 7 vs 14;
    • win percentage: 35% vs 70%;
    • losses: 4 vs 3;
    • draws: 9 vs 3.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 4 vs 5;
    • losses: 3 vs 5;
    • draws: 3 vs 0.
    👉Prediction: Qarabag to Win (odds: 1.9)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.73, the guests - 2;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.73;
    • both teams scored: overall - 29; at the home team's field - 13.

    Statistics: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag

    • average total in the tournament: 2.3 vs 2.45;
    • average total goals scored: 1.4 vs 1.8;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.6 vs 0.7;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.8 vs 1.1;
    • Neftchi Baku: average total at home in the tournament -  1.3;
    • Qarabag: average total away in the tournament - 2.22;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.25) vs 1.2 (away - 1.17).
    Trends
    • Neftchi Baku have scored in 10 of last 11 games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Neftchi Baku will score goal (odds: 1.51)

    Prediction on corners

    Neftchi Baku: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.05; at home field - 5.7;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; at home field - 6.

    Qarabag: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.7, away - 6.67;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.5; away - 6.33.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (12,5) (odds: 1.68)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 60;
    • both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 13 times.

    Statistics: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 8;
    • number of BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku at home - 5 (50%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Qarabag away - 6 (67%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Neftchi Baku at home - 2 (50%);
    • BTTS matches for Qarabag away - 4 (67%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (odds: 1.84)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (14/119, 11.8%);
    • Neftchi Baku at home most often finish matches: 0:0 (3/10, 30%);
    • Qarabag away most often play: 1:2 (3/9, 33.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 11.78% (odds 7)
    0:1 - 11.49% (odds 6.5)
    1:2 - 8.71% (odds 10)

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-119
    Published: 19/02/2026, 15:25

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    Betting Tips: Neftchi Baku - Qarabag

    Qarabag have not lost:
    qarabag-fk-1in 6 of last 7 away games (Premier League).
    Qarabag will not lose
    Everygame
    -588
    Qarabag have scored under 2.5 goals:
    qarabag-fk-1in 12 of last 14 away games.
    Qarabag Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -278
    Neftchi Baku have scored:
    fk-neftchi-bakuin 10 of last 11 games (Premier League).
    Neftchi Baku will score goal
    Everygame
    -200
    Neftchi Baku have conceded:
    fk-neftchi-bakuin 8 of last 9 games (Premier League).
    Qarabag will score goal
    -1111
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    2 - Losses
    Wins - 7
    Draw - 1
    Losses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 22
    Conceded - 9
    +13
    +6
    15 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    7
    1
    Draw
    1
    2
    Losses
    2
    Goal difference
    22
    Scored
    15
    9
    Conceded
    9
    3.1
    Average total per match
    2.4
    2.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    4
    Both teams scored
    4
    41'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    62'
    View all stats