Vasco Da Gama vs Coritiba Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 19 September 2026
🔊 Vasco da Gama are entering the decisive phase of the season in the relegation zone, in urgent need of every point. Coritiba sit higher in the table and are fighting for key positions. The contrast between the two sides is evident both in their league objectives and their current form: the hosts are looking to end a poor run and pick up vital points, while the visitors have been showing inconsistent results under pressure from the table.
Head-to-Head
📊 Across all 26 official meetings between Vasco da Gama and Coritiba, the hosts have won 10 times, the visitors 8, with 8 draws. Vasco hold a slight edge in goals scored - 35 against 33. On average, the two sides have scored 1.08 goals in the first half and 1.54 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.62 goals per game.
Head-to-head statistics Vasco Da Gama - Coritiba
Vasco da Gama Team Overview
Vasco da Gama are currently under maximum pressure in the relegation battle. Their last five matches have brought three wins, one defeat and one draw, which points to a clear improvement in results against a backdrop of high motivation. In the ten matches before that, they won six and lost three, scoring 1.5 goals per game - noticeably above their seasonal average of 1.12. However, the defence remains vulnerable: even at home, Vasco da Gama concede almost without fail, keeping just one clean sheet in their last 13 home matches. This is consistent with a steady trend in goals conceded.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Coritiba FC PR Team Overview
Coritiba come into this match with a clear league objective: they are sitting closer to mid-table and pushing for a higher position. Over their last five matches, the visitors have won two, lost two and drawn one - a run that reflects some inconsistency in the short term. Their last ten matches tell a similarly mixed story: just three wins against four defeats, with a moderate scoring rate of 1.3 goals per game and a fairly high defensive vulnerability, conceding 1.7 goals per game over that stretch of Série A. One trend stands out: Coritiba have both scored and conceded in six consecutive matches.
Match Results: Coritiba FC PR
Total Goals Prediction
In 10 of their last 11 home matches, Vasco da Gama have seen Total Goals - Under 3.5 land, pointing to low scoring at this ground. The season averages support the same picture: at home, Vasco da Gama score 1.23 and concede 1.38 per game, while Coritiba away score 1.38 and concede 1.46. Against that backdrop, the bet on Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.30* looks a logical one.
Corners Prediction
Vasco da Gama have had fewer than 6.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 matches, which represents a consistent trend towards a low corner count on their part. This is backed up by the team's recent match statistics. The Vasco da Gama Team Total Corners - Under 6.5 is therefore priced at 1.87*.
Risky Bet
Looking at a riskier option, both teams have shown the ability to score and concede, and Coritiba are frequently involved in high-scoring matches. Despite the tendency towards low-scoring games in Vasco da Gama's home matches, Total Goals - Over 3 at 2.38* could come in if the game opens up into an end-to-end affair. That said, the underlying statistics point to moderate scoring, which makes this a higher-risk selection.
Reliable Bet
Total Goals - Over 1.5 has landed in six consecutive Coritiba matches. Both sides show moderate scoring output: Vasco da Gama average 1.5 goals per game in their last 10 home matches, while Coritiba average 1.0 in their last 10 away matches. The bet on Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.22* is backed by a consistent trend and supported by the statistics of both teams.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 1:0 (10.92%), 1:1 (10.71%) and 2:1 (9.61%). All three scorelines have similar probabilities, though 1:0 has the highest chance. This distribution points to a moderately low-scoring match with the home side having the edge.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Vasco da Gama's form is improving on the back of strong attacking play and high motivation in the table, but defensive problems remain - at home in particular, they rarely keep a clean sheet. Coritiba are going through a less consistent spell with pressure from the standings and tend to generate their scoring output through open, back-and-forth matches - a pattern that has repeated itself six times in a row according to the Serie A trend for the visitors. An additional factor is that the hosts almost always allow opponents to score at their ground. All of these elements point to the same logical conclusion. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Vasco da Gama - Coritiba FC PR
in 7 of last 8 home games.
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