Hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 20 September 2026
🔊 Stjarnan were tipped for third place before the season. Instead, they have ended up in the bottom six of the Icelandic championship for the first time, where they now lead the table. Hafnarfjörður still have a fight on their hands to stay in the league, and they have drawn a difficult opponent - Stjarnan's hosts have not won in 11 consecutive matches.
Head-to-Head
Hafnarfjörður and Stjarnan Garðabær have met 44 times. The hosts have won 14 of those meetings, the visitors 17, with 13 draws. In terms of goals, Hafnarfjörður also have the edge - 78 scored against their opponents' 72.
Head-to-head statistics Hafnarfjordur - Stjarnan
FH Hafnarfjordur Team Overview
Hafnarfjörður finished the regular phase of the championship in ninth place with 21 points. After 22 rounds, the league splits in two. The bottom six sides play each other once more, with the bottom two relegated. Jóhannes Karl Guðjónsson's side began this phase of the season with a 3-0 win over KA, which extended their gap above the danger zone from one point to four. There is something for the hosts to build on: Hafnarfjörður have gone unbeaten in 8 of their last 9 home league matches.
Match Results: FH Hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan Team Overview
The season at Garðabær has been an unsettled one: in June the club sacked Jökull Elísabetarson, and on 20 August they dismissed his replacement Jón Þór Höyksson. Brynjár Kristmundsson and Ólgeir Sigurgeirsson, both of whom had been part of the coaching staff since July, were handed charge of the team for the remainder of the season. Under them, the visitors have gone four consecutive league matches without defeat. Away from home they even beat Breiðablik, who are in the top six, 2-0. In the first round after the split, Benedikt Varen was the decisive figure: he scored both goals against ÍBV before half-time, and Stjärnan won 3-0. The visitors are 11 points clear of the relegation zone with four rounds remaining.
Match Results: Stjarnan
The risky bet
Stjarnan are rarely dull away from home: more than two goals were scored in 9 of their last 10 away matches. Both defences are leaky too - Hafnarfjördur concede an average of 1.7 goals per game this season, while Stjarnan concede 2.17. The risk is that home matches involving Hafnarfjördur tend not to produce many goals: fewer than five were scored in 10 of their last 11 home league matches. But if the game follows the pattern of the spring meeting, when Stjarnan won 3-2, the high odds will be justified. The bet is Total Goals - Over 4.
Reliable Bet
Hafnarfjördur rarely lose heavily at home: they have been beaten by more than one goal in just one of their last 24 home matches. The head-to-head record against Stjarnan tells a similar story - 16 of 18. The odds are modest, but the runs are long and independent of each other. The bet is Hafnarfjördur - Handicap +1.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely correct scores for this match are 1-1 (10.51%), 0-1 (7.4%) and 1-2 (7.32%). The 1-1 result has the highest probability, though the gap between second and third place is minimal.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Hafnarfjördur have not scored more than two goals against Stjarnan in 14 consecutive head-to-head meetings. And it is not just about the opposition: Hafnarfjördur themselves have scored three or more goals only once in their last 18 matches. With the same regularity, their league matches have produced fewer than four goals in total - 9 of their last 10. The visitors are not in the habit of running up big scores either: Stjarnan scored more than two goals in only 1 of their last 9 away matches. We are not expecting more than three goals from this fixture. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5. Predicted score: 1-2.
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Betting Tips: FH Hafnarfjordur - Stjarnan
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