Macara vs Alianza Atletico Prediction 22 May 2026
🔊 The clash between Macará and Alianza Atlético could have a major impact on the Group A standings in the Copa Sudamericana. The Ecuadorian side come into this fixture in a stronger position after winning the reverse leg, and Macará traditionally play with greater confidence and aggression on home soil. For the Peruvian visitors, the situation is far more precarious: dropping points here would seriously jeopardize their chances of advancing from the group.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 01 May 2026 and ended in a 2-0 victory. Here’s a statistical breakdown from that match (Alianza Atletico were the home team):
- Possession: 53% vs 47%;
- Corners: 5 vs 9;
- Fouls: 8 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 3.
📊 Officially, Macará and Alianza Atlético have faced each other just once. That encounter took place on 01 May 2026 at Alianza Atlético’s home ground and ended in a 2-0 victory for Macará.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Macara Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in Serie A, with Macará hosting Independiente del Valle. The visitors came away with a 3-0 victory.
Here’s a look at the key match stats (Macará vs Independiente del Valle):
- Possession: 48% vs 52%;
- Corners: 3 vs 7;
- Fouls: 10 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 1 vs 6.
🔵 Macará are putting together a well-organized run in the tournament, looking especially strong on home turf. The side play with compact shape, make smart use of open space, and look to transition quickly from defense to attack. In their first meeting with Alianza Atlético, the Ecuadorians capitalized on their opponents’ mistakes and claimed a confident 2-0 victory. This time around, the hosts are likely to rely once again on a solid structure and rapid counterattacks down the flanks. It’s also worth noting that Macará remain defensively sound-they concede few goals and rarely allow opponents many clear-cut chances.
Match Results: Macara
Alianza Atletico Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Primera, facing Juan Pablo 2 away from home. Alianza Atlético came away with a 2-0 victory.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from the match (Alianza Atlético vs Juan Pablo 2):
- Possession: 45% vs 55%;
- Corners: 5 vs 5;
- Fouls: 12 vs 8;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 8 vs 1.
The Peruvian side head into this fixture in inconsistent form. While the team can put together impressive attacking spells, they too often lose their shape between the lines and are prone to defensive lapses during transitions. Away from home, Alianza Atlético look noticeably less assured than on their own turf. Under pressure, they become increasingly error-prone-especially when opponents push the tempo and exploit the flanks. Nevertheless, the Peruvians still possess enough quality in attack to create chances even in challenging matches.
Match Results: Alianza Atletico
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head:
- Played - 1
- Home side wins - 1, Away wins - 0, Draws - 0
Stats: Macará vs Alianza Atlético
- Matches played in this competition: 4 vs 4
- Wins: 3 vs 1
- Win %: 60% vs 20%
- Losses: 0 vs 3
- Draws: 2 vs 1
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 3
- Losses: 4 vs 6
- Draws: 1 vs 1
- Alianza Atlético have covered a +1.5 handicap away from home in 15 of their last 16 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Average total goals stats: Macará vs Alianza Atlético
- This tournament: 2 vs 2.2
- Goals scored: 1.4 vs 0.8
- First half: 0.8 vs 0.4
- Second half: 0.6 vs 0.4
- Macará at home in this competition - 1.5
- Alianza Atlético away in this competition - 1
- Last 10 matches: 1.4 (home - 1.8) vs 1.1 (away - 1.2)
- Alianza Atlético have scored in 7 of their last 8 away matches.
Corner Kicks Prediction
Macará: Stats
- Season average corners per match - 6; at home - 6.5
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 6.4; at home - 6.4
Alianza Atlético: Stats
- Season average corners per match - 4.2; away - 4
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 3.7; away - 2.8
- Over 8.5 corners has landed in 9 of Macará’s last 10 matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- Played - 1
- Both teams have scored - never
- At the home ground - never
Stats: Macará vs Alianza Atlético
- Matches played in this competition: 4 vs 4
- Matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 2 vs 2
- Macará BTTS at home - 2 (100%)
- Alianza Atlético BTTS away - 1 (100%)
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 4 vs 5
- Macará BTTS at home - 3 (60%)
- Alianza Atlético BTTS away - 3 (60%)
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results (current season):
- Most common scoreline in the competition: 1-1 (16/85, 18.8%)
- Macará’s most frequent home results: 1-1, 2-2 (1/2, 50%)
- Alianza Atlético’s most frequent away result: 2-1 (1/1, 100%)
Based on statistical models and probability distributions, the algorithm highlights the top three likely outcomes:
1-0 - 12.21% (odds: 6)
2-1 - 10.57% (odds: 7.5)
1-1 - 10.08% (odds: 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Macará are likely to stick with their pragmatic approach: dictating the tempo, staying compact at the back, and looking to capitalise on their opponents’ mistakes. Alianza Atlético, meanwhile, will need to take more risks and push forward, as the tournament standings leave them no choice but to chase a win. The home advantage and Macará’s consistency make the Ecuadorian side favourites in this clash. Our pick: Alianza Atlético +1.5 handicap, a bet that has paid off in 15 of the Peruvian club’s last 16 away fixtures.
Betting Tips: Macara - Alianza Atletico
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