Cusco vs Independiente Medellin Prediction 21 May 2026
📢 Cusco and Independiente Medellín are set to face off in Matchday 5 of the Copa Libertadores. The visitors arrive in considerably better form, having won three of their last five outings and currently holding third place in the standings. The gap between the sides is also evident in their recent scoring records over the past ten matches-Cusco have struggled to convert their chances, while Independiente Medellín boast a more balanced attacking output.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 01 May 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Independiente Medellin):
- ball possession percentage: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
- fouls: 10 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
📊 Officially, Cusco and Independiente Medellín have faced each other just once.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Cusco Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Sport Boys, away team - Cusco). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Cusco vs Sport Boys):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 12 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
Cusco are currently enduring a prolonged slump: they have failed to win any of their last five matches, picking up three draws and suffering two defeats. Their attacking output has been worryingly low-over the past ten games, they average just 0.8 goals per match, and their season-long average is even poorer at 0.5. Defensively, Cusco remain vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per game across their last ten fixtures and 1.5 over the course of the season. These numbers highlight significant risks, even when facing sides with only modest attacking strength. This winless streak has clearly dented the squad’s confidence ahead of such a crucial home fixture.
Match Results: Cusco
Independiente Medellin Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Cup tournament (home team - Orsomarso, away - Independiente Medellin). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Independiente Medellin vs Orsomarso):
- ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 10;
- fouls: 19 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 7 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
Independiente Medellín come into this fixture in solid form, having picked up three wins, a draw, and just one loss from their last five outings. Over their previous ten matches, the visitors have recorded five victories, two draws, and three defeats-a testament to their consistency over an extended run. Medellín also boast a higher average goal output at 1.2 per game, while their defense remains reliable, conceding only 1.1 goals per match. This balance allows them to compete for points in virtually every contest.
Match Results: Independiente Medellin
Latest news
Cusco
Cusco head into the match with a full-strength squad and no injury concerns.
Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellín also have no squad concerns ahead of this match.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.
Statistics: Cusco vs Independiente Medellin
- matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 3;
- wins: 0 vs 3;
- win percentage: 0% vs 43%;
- losses: 3 vs 1;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 0, the guests - 1;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 1;
- both teams scored: overall - 0; at the home team's field - 0.
Prediction on corners
Cusco: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.25; at home field - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.9; at home field - 4.2.
Independiente Medellin: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.86, away - 4.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 2.67.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Cusco vs Independiente Medellin
- number of matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 3;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 5;
- number of BTTS matches for Cusco at home - 1 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Independiente Medellin away - 3 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Cusco at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Independiente Medellin away - 2 (67%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (16/93, 17.2%);
- Cusco at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 1:1 (1/2, 50%);
- Independiente Medellin away most often play: 1:1 , 1:2 , 4:1 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.68% (odds 6)
1:0 - 11.75% (odds 7)
0:0 - 9.67% (odds 7.3)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Cusco are seen as slight favorites thanks to home advantage, but their current standing in the group hardly suggests they have any real edge. The hosts sit at the bottom of the table and have struggled to pick up points, so this fixture could turn out to be a tense affair with limited attacking freedom. Independiente Medellin are unlikely to take unnecessary risks on the road, especially considering recent trends: six of their last seven matches have featured no more than two goals. Given these factors, backing under 2.5 goals looks like a well-founded prediction.
Betting Tips: Cusco - Independiente Medellin
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