Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 July 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 Kristiansund go into this match in real trouble - second from bottom and in the relegation zone. One point off safety. Every game matters now. Sarpsborg sit mid-table with nothing much to play for, well off the pace at the top. Form tells the story: Kristiansund have lost four of their last five, while Sarpsborg have been trending in the right direction.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the sides took place on 25 August 2025 and ended 0-1. Here's the key stats from that game (Sarpsborg were the home side):

    • possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corners: 15 vs 5;
    • fouls: 11 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 5.

    📊 Head-to-head stats from official meetings between Kristiansund and Sarpsborg:

    • 17 matches played;
    • home wins - 8, away wins - 3, draws - 6;
    • goals - 29 vs 21;
    • average first-half total - 1, second-half - 1.94;
    • average total goals per match - 2.94.

    Head-to-head statistics Kristiansund - Sarpsborg

    44%
    8 Wins
    39%
    7 Draws
    17%
    3 Wins
    Total games
    18
    Avg. total goals
    2.78
    Both teams scored
    61%
    1.61
    Average total
    1.17
    1.94
    Yellow cards
    2
    Last matches
    18.07.26
    Eliteserien
    Kristiansund
    Kristiansund
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    0.78
    0.99
    4
    8
    15
    17
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.78
    0.99
    4
    8
    15
    17
    2
    2
    25.08.25
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Kristiansund
    Kristiansund
    0.56
    0.97
    10
    3
    19
    10
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.56
    0.97
    10
    3
    19
    10
    2
    2
    13.07.25
    Eliteserien
    Kristiansund
    Kristiansund
    1
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    0.61
    4.25
    4
    12
    3
    6
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.61
    4.25
    4
    12
    3
    6
    1
    3
    15.09.24
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Kristiansund
    Kristiansund
    -
    -
    7
    1
    7
    8
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    7
    1
    7
    8
    2
    4
    02.06.24
    Eliteserien
    Kristiansund
    Kristiansund
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    -
    -
    3
    3
    11
    10
    2
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    11
    10
    2
    2
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    Kristiansund Team Overview

    The team's last official match was played on in the Eliteserien (Rosenborg at home, Kristiansund away). The match ended 3-0.

    Match stats (Kristiansund vs Rosenborg):

    • possession: 30% vs 70%;
    • corners: 7 vs 8;
    • fouls: 22 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 9.

    Kristiansund are in the relegation zone, and every match matters. Over their last five official games, they've lost four and won just once - poor form by any measure. Go back ten matches and it gets worse: two wins, an average of 0.8 goals scored per game. The attack isn't functioning, even with survival on the line. Defensively it's no better - 1.6 goals conceded per game on average, which puts extra pressure on the backline and makes it harder to dig out results going forward.

    Match Results: Kristiansund

    Last matches
    25.10.26
    Eliteserien
    Kristiansund
    Kristiansund
    1
    KFUM Oslo
    KFUM Oslo
    4.44
    2.05
    4
    3
    15
    14
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    4.44
    2.05
    4
    3
    15
    14
    2
    2
    D
    17.10.26
    Eliteserien
    Kristiansund
    Kristiansund
    Aalesunds
    Aalesunds
    1.58
    1.93
    4
    8
    9
    16
    2
    2
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    3
    1.58
    1.93
    4
    8
    9
    16
    2
    2
    L
    10.10.26
    Eliteserien
    Bodo/Glimt
    Bodo/Glimt
    Kristiansund
    Kristiansund
    4.22
    0.26
    5
    0
    11
    10
    1
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    4.22
    0.26
    5
    0
    11
    10
    1
    1
    L
    04.10.26
    Club Friendlies
    Molde
    Molde
    Kristiansund
    Kristiansund
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    L
    19.09.26
    Eliteserien
    Kristiansund
    Kristiansund
    Rosenborg
    Rosenborg
    1.17
    3
    4
    6
    12
    13
    1
    0
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1.17
    3
    4
    6
    12
    13
    1
    0
    L
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    Sarpsborg Team Overview

    The visitors' last official match took place in the Eliteserien (Sarpsborg at home, Viking away). The match ended 1-0.

    Match stats (Sarpsborg vs Viking):

    • possession: 40% vs 60%;
    • corners: 3 vs 5;
    • fouls: 6 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 2.

    Sarpsborg have been in decent form over a short run - four wins from their last five competitive matches. That suggests they can pick up points on the road too. Over the last ten games it's four wins, one draw and five defeats. The pattern points to open, risk-on football, but the attacking output holds up: 1.1 goals per game on average. Defensively they're not solid - 1.5 conceded per match - though the scoring keeps them relevant. As for motivation, there isn't much. They're well off the top three and there's no real pressure on them here.

    Match Results: Sarpsborg

    Last matches
    25.10.26
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Aalesunds
    Aalesunds
    1
    3.24
    0.4
    20
    4
    11
    8
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    3.24
    0.4
    20
    4
    11
    8
    2
    1
    W
    18.10.26
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    Rosenborg
    Rosenborg
    1.02
    2.02
    7
    8
    15
    17
    2
    3
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    1.02
    2.02
    7
    8
    15
    17
    2
    3
    L
    11.10.26
    Eliteserien
    Aalesunds
    Aalesunds
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    2.24
    2.25
    8
    6
    17
    14
    1
    2
    2
    4
    0
    1
    2
    3
    2.24
    2.25
    8
    6
    17
    14
    1
    2
    W
    30.09.26
    NM Cup
    Follo
    Follo
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    -
    -
    3
    12
    13
    10
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    12
    13
    10
    1
    2
    W
    18.09.26
    Eliteserien
    Sarpsborg
    Sarpsborg
    KFUM Oslo
    KFUM Oslo
    2.78
    1.08
    11
    1
    7
    9
    1
    2
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    2.78
    1.08
    11
    1
    7
    9
    1
    2
    L
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 17;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 3;
    • Average first-half total: 1;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.59, while the visitors net 0.41.

    First-Half Stats: Kristiansund (home) vs Sarpsborg (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 6;
    • wins: 0 (0%) vs 2 (33.33%);
    • losses: 2 (40%) vs 2 (33.33%);
    • draws: 3 (60%) vs 2 (33.33%);
    • Average goals scored: 1 vs 2.33;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.8 vs 1.17.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 1 vs 3;
    • losses: 5 vs 2;
    • draws: 4 vs 5;
    • Average first-half total: 0.7 (scored - 0.1, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.8 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.9).
    Trends
    • Sarpsborg conceded in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Eliteserien).
    • Sarpsborg conceded in the 1st half in last 5 away games (Eliteserien).
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Kristiansund to score goal (odds: 2.03)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 17;
    • home team wins - 8, away team wins - 3, draws - 6.

    Statistics: Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg

    • matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
    • wins: 3 vs 5;
    • win percentage: 25% vs 42%;
    • losses: 7 vs 5;
    • draws: 2 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 4;
    • losses: 6 vs 5;
    • draws: 2 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Kristiansund have not won in 7 of last 8 games (Eliteserien).
    👉Prediction: Sarpsborg will not lose (odds: 1.36)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.71, the guests - 1.24;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.94;
    • both teams scored: overall - 11; at the home team's field - 6.

    Statistics: Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg

    • average total in the tournament: 2.67 vs 2.5;
    • average total goals scored: 0.92 vs 1.17;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.17 vs 1;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.75 vs 0.17;
    • Kristiansund: average total at home in the tournament -  1.4;
    • Sarpsborg: average total away in the tournament - 1.17;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 1.33) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Kristiansund games (Eliteserien).
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 13 of last 15 Sarpsborg games (Eliteserien).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (3,5) (odds: 1.5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 17;
    • both teams scored all-time - 11 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 6 times.

    Statistics: Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 7;
    • number of BTTS matches for Kristiansund at home - 3 (60%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Sarpsborg away - 3 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Kristiansund at home - 2 (67%);
    • BTTS matches for Sarpsborg away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (odds: 1.53)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (11/97, 11.3%), 2:0 (11/97, 11.3%), 2:1 (11/97, 11.3%);
    • Kristiansund at home most often finish matches: 0:3 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:0 , 3:2 (1/5, 20%);
    • Sarpsborg away most often play: 0:2 , 1:0 , 1:2 , 2:1 , 3:2 , 4:0 (1/6, 16.7%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 11.81% (odds 7)
    1:2 - 8.74% (odds 9)
    0:1 - 8.51% (odds 10)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Kristiansund's attack has been struggling in a systematic way: the team averages less than one goal per match. Even with the extra motivation that comes from fighting relegation, they can't consistently create danger going forward - recent form backs that up, and so does a long run of low-scoring games. Several factors point to a limited attacking output: the individual total under 1.5 has landed in seven of their last eight matches, and the average goals scored remains below one. Prediction - Kristiansund total goals under 1.5.

    Kristiansund Total goals Under (1,5)
    Odds-189
    Published: 16/07/2026, 11:39
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Snooker and football expert
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    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Kristiansund - Sarpsborg

    Kristiansund have not won:
    kristiansund-bkin 7 of last 8 games (Eliteserien).
    Sarpsborg will not lose
    Everygame
    -250
    Under 4.5 goals scored:
    kristiansund-bksarpsborgin 8 of last 9 Kristiansund games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    kristiansund-bkin last 11 Kristiansund games (Eliteserien).
    sarpsborgin 18 of last 19 Sarpsborg games.
    sarpsborgin 16 of last 17 Sarpsborg games (Eliteserien).
    sarpsborgin 8 of last 9 Sarpsborg away games.
    sarpsborgin 7 of last 8 Sarpsborg away games (Eliteserien).
    in 19 of last 21 Jorgen Haugen games.
    Total goals Under (4,5)
    -500
    Kristiansund have scored:
    kristiansund-bksarpsborgin 16 of last 17 games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
    kristiansund-bkin 11 of last 12 home games (Eliteserien).
    Sarpsborg have conceded:
    sarpsborgin 10 of last 11 games (Eliteserien).
    Kristiansund will score goal
    Everygame
    -500
    Sarpsborg have scored under 2.5 goals:
    kristiansund-bksarpsborgin last 5 games against Kristiansund (Eliteserien).
    sarpsborgin last 15 games.
    sarpsborgin last 13 games (Eliteserien).
    sarpsborgin last 7 away games.
    sarpsborgin last 6 away games (Eliteserien).
    Sarpsborg Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    5 - Losses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Losses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 24
    -7
    +1
    15 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    3
    5
    Losses
    3
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    15
    24
    Conceded
    14
    4.1
    Average total per match
    2.9
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    2.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    7
    Both teams scored
    6
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats