Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 May 2025
🔊 Can Joaquín Caparrós' style of football leave Real Madrid out in the cold? Sevilla and Real Madrid are set to clash at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Although the Nervionenses have secured their spot in the top flight, they won't be taking it easy in their remaining matches. Let's take a look at the bookmakers' initial odds: a win for Sevilla is at 4.5, while a victory for Real Madrid stands at 1.73.
Head-to-Head
📊 The first-leg encounter at the Santiago Bernabeu was hardly a positive experience for Sevilla's players, ending in a 4-2 defeat. Real Madrid's unbeaten streak against the Nervionenses has now extended to 12 matches. Sevilla's last triumph over Los Blancos dates back to the 2018/19 La Liga season, with a 3-0 victory.
Head-to-head statistics Sevilla - Real Madrid
Sevilla FC Team Overview
🔴 In the previous round of La Liga, Sevilla clinched a much-anticipated victory over Las Palmas (1-0). This win extends their lead from the relegation zone to 7 points, effectively securing their top-flight status. Interestingly, with Joaquin Caparros at the helm, the club has completely abandoned positional play. Notably, under the new coach, Sevilla have scored three headed goals, matching the total they achieved in 31 matches under Pimenta. The squad is perfectly suited to a pragmatic tactical approach.
Match Results: Sevilla FC
Real Madrid Team Overview
⚪ Real Madrid's 4-3 defeat to Barcelona in the 35th round of La Liga proved to be a crucial setback in their title race. Notably, Carlo Ancelotti's side struggled midweek to secure a narrow 2-1 victory over Mallorca at the Santiago Bernabéu. Their finishing issues were evident as only 2 of their 39 attempts on goal found the net. Real defender Jacobo Ramon, who scored the winning goal in the 95th minute, will likely remember this match for a long time. It's worth mentioning that Los Blancos are less convincing on the road compared to their home performances, having collected 32 points from 18 away games, ranking third in the league.
Match Results: Real Madrid
Latest news
Sevilla FC
📣 Following a crucial victory over Las Palmas (1-0), Joaquín Caparrós spoke to the media: “The first thing I want to say is that the fans were incredible. The players gave their all. We started well, had plenty of opportunities, and although we had to endure some tough moments, we secured a very important win for the players' morale. Now it's time to reflect on this, address some tactical shortcomings, and prepare as best as possible for Sunday's clash against Real Madrid.”
📢 Álvaro Pascual, the scorer of the winning goal, also shared his emotions after the long-awaited triumph: “We understood the significance of this match. When I saw the ball hit the back of the net, it was a rush of emotions. At first, I couldn't quite grasp it, but once the match ended, it was a relief. We did it; we won this 'final.' This is my first goal for Sevilla, and I hope it won't be my last. Now we must keep working. We have another home game against Real Madrid, and we need to step up, give our all, and strive to achieve the necessary result once again.”
❌ In the last round, Kike Salas picked up an injury, which is a significant blow. The Nervionenses' injury list also includes Eikur Adams (hip injury), Nianzou Kouassi (hip injury), and Ruben Vargas (hamstring injury).
Real Madrid
📉 After their clash with Mallorca (2-1), Real Madrid have matched their worst defensive record in 21 years, conceding 76 goals this season. The last time they recorded such numbers was in the 2003/04 season.
📣 Recently, rumors resurfaced about Carlo Ancelotti potentially taking over as head coach of Brazil's national team. The Italian tactician had this to say about his departure from the capital club: “Every time I sit on the bench at the Bernabéu, it feels special. Nothing has changed. On the day I leave the club, I will depart Real Madrid with peace and contentment. I've done everything I could. I've had a wonderful time. Football never ends. My teams will always fight to win until the last second.”
📝 According to Fabrizio Romano, Real Madrid have reached an agreement with Bournemouth over the transfer of Dean Heysen. The Spanish club is set to pay the English side a release clause of €50 million. Xabi Alonso personally initiated this deal after contacting the young defender.
❌ Real Madrid's injury list is extensive. David Alaba, Eduardo Camavinga, Dani Carvajal, Brahim Diaz, Éder Militão, Lucas Vázquez, Andriy Lunin, Ferland Mendy, Rodrygo, and Vinícius Júnior are all sidelined.
🟨 Prediction on Yellow Cards
The "Merengues" have shown remarkable discipline this season, averaging just 1.6 yellow cards per match. In comparison, Real's opponents receive around 2.4 bookings per game. Sevilla's tactical approach is quite the opposite, with the "Nervionenses" picking up about 2.6 yellow cards per encounter. We suggest focusing on this event - Sevilla to win on yellow cards.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Goals have been scored by both sides in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head clashes. A similar trend is evident in 4 of the last 5 matches involving the Madrid club this season. Given Sevilla's commitment to vertical football and Real's vulnerability in aerial duels, the likelihood of this trend continuing is high. The most reasonable bet is - both teams to score (yes).
🚩 Corner Prediction
Both clubs have been prolific in winning corners this season: Sevilla averages 5 per game, while Real Madrid averages 6.3 per match. Their head-to-head encounters also see a high number of corners, averaging 9.3. In fact, in 5 of Real's last 7 games, there have been at least 11 corner kicks. We suggest considering this event - total corners over 9.5.
Editor's Prediction
Madrid have been quite successful in head-to-head encounters with Sevilla, yet they consistently concede (in 7 of the last 8 matches). Given Real's significant personnel issues and lack of competitive motivation, the upcoming match is unlikely to be an exception. We're betting on both teams to score (yes).
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Betting Tips: Sevilla FC - Real Madrid
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