Necaxa vs Atlas Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 January 2026
💥 As part of the upcoming round of the Mexican Championship, Necaxa and Atlas will face off at the Victoria Stadium. This clash features two ambitious sides. Necaxa are traditionally seen as a solid "home" team, often taking the initiative in front of their fans. On the other hand, Atlas are a team with grit, capable of putting up a tough fight against any opponent and effectively capitalizing on set pieces. Fans can expect a dynamic match with equal chances for success. Read the prediction for their showdown below.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Necaxa and Atlas:
- 37 matches played;
- home victories: 12, away victories: 15, draws: 10;
- goals scored: 42 for Necaxa, 53 for Atlas;
- average goals in the first half: 1.19, in the second half: 1.38;
- average total goals per match: 2.57.
Head-to-head statistics Necaxa - Atlas
Necaxa Team Overview
The last official match was held as part of the Liga MX tournament, featuring Necaxa as the home team and Monterrey as the visitors. The match concluded with a 0-2 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Necaxa vs Monterrey):
- possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 12;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Necaxa are showing inconsistent form with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, translating to a win rate of around 60%. Their most recent game ended in victory, extending their winning streak to two. However, they are prone to fluctuating results with frequent shifts in match outcomes. On average, they score just over one goal per game (1.42) but also concede frequently (1.84). The team is also known for struggling to capitalize on opportunities at home.
Match Results: Necaxa
Atlas Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place in Liga MX, where the hosts were Cruz Azul and the visitors Atlas. The match concluded with a 2-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Atlas vs Cruz Azul):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 15 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
Atlas are aiming to improve their away record following a streak of losses on the road. Their last encounter with Necaxa ended in a 5-3 defeat, yet this highlights the team's attacking potential even in losing efforts. With a current record of four wins and five losses in their last ten games, they have an opportunity to demonstrate more consistent performance.
Match Results: Atlas
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 37;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 9; number of draws - 9;
- Average first-half total: 1.19;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.43, while the visitors net 0.76.
First-Half Stats: Necaxa (home) vs Atlas (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 10;
- wins: 3 (33.33%) vs 1 (10%);
- losses: 4 (44.44%) vs 4 (40%);
- draws: 2 (22.22%) vs 5 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 1.67 vs 1.3;
- Average goals conceded: 0.89 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 6 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 2.1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 1.3) vs 1.6 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 1).
- Necaxa have lost the 1st half in 5 of last 6 home games against Atlas (Liga MX).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 37;
- home team wins - 12, away team wins - 15, draws - 10.
- Atlas won with a +1.5 handicap in last 18 away games against Necaxa.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.14, the guests - 1.43;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.57;
- both teams scored: overall - 20; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Necaxa vs Atlas
- average total in the tournament: 3.26 vs 3.26;
- average total goals scored: 1.42 vs 1.32;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.68 vs 0.74;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.74 vs 0.58;
- Necaxa: average total at home in the tournament - 1.22;
- Atlas: average total away in the tournament - 0.9;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 1.25) vs 1 (away - 0.2).
- Necaxa have scored under 2.5 goals in 30 of last 31 games against Atlas.
- Necaxa have scored under 2.5 goals in 27 of last 28 games against Atlas (Liga MX).
- Necaxa have scored under 2.5 goals in last 15 home games against Atlas.
- Necaxa have scored under 2.5 goals in last 13 home games against Atlas (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Necaxa: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.42; at home field - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.6; at home field - 7.75.
Atlas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.32, away - 2.9;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; away - 3.
- Atlas have taken over 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games against Necaxa.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 37;
- both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
- Necaxa have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Liga MX).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (19/188, 10.1%), 1:1 (19/188, 10.1%);
- Necaxa at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/9, 33.3%);
- Atlas away most often play: 2:0 (4/10, 40%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.53% (odds 7.5)
1:0 - 10.34% (odds 8.5)
2:1 - 10.01% (odds 8.5)
- Atlas lost 0:2 in 4 of last 5 away games (Liga MX).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The choice to back both teams to score in this matchup is driven by the playing style of both sides and their current defensive issues. Necaxa rarely leaves the field without scoring at home, but their excessive focus on attack often leads to defensive lapses and sharp counter-attacks from the opposition. Atlas have been showing decent scoring form in recent rounds, yet they consistently concede due to a lack of cohesion in their central defense. Considering both clubs' urgent need for points and their tendency to play open football in the second halves, betting on both teams to score appears to be the most logical and well-founded decision. A 2-1 scoreline is possible.
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Betting Tips: Necaxa - Atlas
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
