Liverpool vs Cerro Largo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 21 October 2026
🔊 Liverpool Montevideo come into the Copa Uruguay in excellent form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches while looking solid defensively. Cerro Largo, by contrast, are struggling - just one win in their last ten matches and a low scoring rate. The two sides drew in their most recent head-to-head meeting, which underlines a tendency towards cautious football. The two teams differ noticeably in terms of consistency and reliability.
What can we expect from this match based on the head-to-head statistics?
In the Primera División meeting between the two sides on 30 August 2026, Cerro Largo and Liverpool Montevideo drew 1-1. The visitors were ahead at half-time and created more dangerous attacks - 64 to 42 - but the hosts had more shots on target: 4 to 2.
Across 22 official meetings, Liverpool Montevideo have won 11, Cerro Largo have won 6, and 5 have ended in draws. The difference is particularly pronounced at Liverpool Montevideo's ground: in nine home matches, the hosts have won eight times and never lost.
Head-to-head statistics Liverpool - Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo are chasing a win as they take on Cerro Largo.
Liverpool Montevideo ended their most recent Primera match on 18 October 2026 with a 1-0 win over Peñarol. At home, the team registered three shots on target to their opponents' none, with the only goal coming after half-time.
Liverpool Montevideo stand out for the solidity of their defence - on a long run they concede an average of 0.9 goals per game, and just 0.33 over their last five matches. During that period the club have won four times and drawn once, which reflects a high level of organisation both defensively and in attack. Going forward they also maintain a good balance: their average of 1.3 goals scored over ten matches rises to 1.67 based on more recent figures this season. Those numbers allow them to control matches without the risk of open football.
Match Results: Liverpool Montevideo
What can we expect from Cerro Largo going forward?
Cerro Largo's most recent Primera match, on 16 October 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw away to Cerro, having trailed at half-time. The visitors had the better of the possession - 59% to 41% - and had twice as many shots: 6 to 3.
Cerro Largo are going through a difficult spell - just one win and five defeats in their last ten matches, with two consecutive losses pointing to a drop in confidence even against weaker opposition. Their attack has been inconsistent: they are averaging just 0.6 goals scored per game over those ten matches, while conceding more than one (1.2). Over the shorter run, the numbers are even worse: a single point from their last two fixtures suggests the slump is continuing.
Match Results: Cerro Largo
Total Goals Prediction
In 7 of their last 8 matches, Cerro Largo have seen Total Goals - Under 2.5 land, which confirms a low-scoring trend in games involving this side. Cerro Largo are also averaging just 0.6 goals per game across their last 10 matches, while Liverpool Montevideo have been conceding just 0.5 goals per game at home over their last 10. These numbers suggest a high-scoring match is unlikely. The bet is Total Goals - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.76*.
Corners Prediction
In 6 of their last 7 matches, Cerro Largo have seen the total corners go over 8.5. This is a consistent run that points to frequent corners in their games. No data has been found to contradict this pattern. The bet is Total Corners - Over 8.5 at odds of 1.73*.
High-Risk Bet
Cerro Largo have conceded in each of their last 7 away matches, and their average away goals conceded this season is 2 per game. However, Liverpool Montevideo are not always particularly prolific - in their last 10 home matches their average is 1.33 goals scored per game. The bet requires a higher scoring output from the hosts, so the confidence level is moderate and there is a degree of risk involved. Bet: Liverpool Montevideo Team Total - Over 2 goals at 2.60*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely correct scores in this match are: 1-0 (14.57%), 2-0 (12.08%) and 1-1 (11.39%). The first option has a slightly higher probability, but the gap between the top three is small. Each of these outcomes fits logically within the overall match scenario.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Neither side tends towards open football - that much is clear from Cerro Largo's Total Goals - Under 2.5 trend, which has landed seven times in their last eight matches, as well as their modest attacking output away from home and the hosts' reasonably solid defence. Recent weeks have reinforced the case for a low-scoring game: Liverpool Montevideo rarely allow opponents much room in front of their goal, while Cerro Largo have had obvious difficulty converting chances even against less organised sides in the league. The editors' main prediction is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo
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