Bogota vs Patriotas Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
🔊 Bogotá finished the Apertura in sixth place, picking up 23 points from 15 rounds. Boyacá Patriotas had a notably weaker campaign, finishing 11th with 17 points. The two sides now meet in the Clausura, where the battle for a place in the next stage of the Primera B starts afresh. The hosts have serious problems in front of goal, while the visitors score regularly but concede far too much at the other end.
Head-to-head record favours Boyacá
Bogotá beat Boyacá Patriotas away in a Primera B match on 14 February 2026, winning 1-0. The winning goal came before half-time, despite the hosts having more possession and carrying out more dangerous attacks - 89 against 49.
📊 Boyacá Patriotas have won 5 of their 7 meetings with Bogotá, with Bogotá winning once and one match ending in a draw. The contrast in matches on Bogotá's ground is particularly striking: they have lost all 3, failing to score in any of them.
Head-to-head statistics Bogota - Patriotas
Bogotá: the attack has nearly stopped scoring
In their previous Primera B match at home, Bogota drew 3-3 with Envigado. They were 2-0 down at half-time but scored three times in the second half. The hosts had 14 shots in total, compared to 10 for their opponents.
Bogotá are going through a difficult spell: two wins, three draws and five defeats in their last 10 matches. Their attacking output is even more concerning - just four goals scored in that period, an average of 0.4 per game. At home the picture is only marginally better, with an average of 0.6 goals per game across 10 home matches. That kind of output makes it hard to count on consistent wins. Defensively there are problems too: over the same 10-match run, Bogotá have conceded an average of 1.1 goals per game.
Match Results: Bogota
Boyacá Patriotas: Goals Come, but Defensive Frailties Remain
Boyacá Patriotas lost at home to Independiente Valle del Cauca in their last Primera B match, going down 1-0. They had 16 shots to their opponents' 4, and won the corner count 8-0.
Boyacá Patriotas look noticeably more interesting in attack, though their results are far from ideal too. In their last 10 matches they have won three, drawn three and lost four. Their average is 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. The team are considerably more active going forward than their opponents, but they largely cancel out their own efforts with defensive errors. The problem is especially visible away from home. In 7 of their last 8 away matches, Boyacá Patriotas both scored and conceded.
Match Results: Boyaca Patriotas
Prediction for the 1st half
Boyacá Patriotas have scored in the first half in five of their last six away matches. The visitors don't always maintain a high tempo throughout the full 90 minutes, but they regularly find chances to score in the opening 45. Bogotá, meanwhile, have conceded 11 goals in their last 10 matches and cannot claim to have a reliable defence. Given the hosts' defensive problems, the away side have a good chance of getting on the scoresheet before the break. Bet: Boyacá Patriotas to Score in the 1st Half at 2.16*.
Goals Prediction
Boyacá Patriotas have made goal exchanges almost a habit: both teams scored in each of their last 5 matches involving them. The trend is equally pronounced away from home - in 7 of their previous 8 away matches, both sides scored. Bogotá are far more modest in attack, though the opposition's defence gives reason to expect at least one goal. At the same time, the visitors have enough opportunities to take advantage of the hosts' mistakes. Our pick: Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.90*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely outcomes for this match are 1-1 (13.43%), 0-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.14%). All three point to a low-scoring match between two evenly matched sides. The 1-1 scoreline comes out on top, though the gap between the second and third most probable options is very small.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Bogotá rarely produce many goals, and that is the main risk here. However, Boyacá Patriotas concede too often, even when they are performing well at the other end. The visitors find it difficult to get through a full match without making mistakes at the back, so the hosts should get the chance to exploit at least one of them. At the same time, Boyacá Patriotas have enough attacking threat to score themselves. Predicted score: 1-1. Main bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Bogota - Boyaca Patriotas
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