Turkey vs Georgia Prediction 14 October 2025
🔊 Turkey and Georgia are set to battle for the second spot in Group E of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. Currently, just three points separate the teams. Their previous head-to-head was eventful, featuring two red cards, including one off the field, five goals, and high tension even during stoppage time. Will the upcoming match in Kocaeli be equally thrilling? We assess both teams' chances for success in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 The national teams are set to face each other for the third time. Their previous two encounters saw a total of nine goals scored. They first clashed in the opening round of Euro 2024, where Turkey celebrated a 3-1 victory. The second meeting, part of the World Cup 2026 qualifiers, was a tighter affair but once again favored the "Moon Stars" with a 3-2 win.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Turkey Team Overview
Under the guidance of Vincenzo Montella, Turkey consistently delivers strong performances in major tournaments. Last year, they reached the quarter-finals of the European Championship. Following that, they earned a promotion in the Nations League, advancing to League A. In the current World Cup qualifiers, they hold second place in a group with Spain, Georgia, and Bulgaria. Although they suffered a heavy defeat to "La Roja" (0-6), Turkey consistently picks up points against other teams: securing wins over Georgia (3-2) and Bulgaria (6-1).
The Turkish squad boasts several European stars performing at the highest level. Hakan Çalhanoğlu, a finalist in last season's Champions League with Inter, has started the season brilliantly. In Serie A, the midfielder showcases his scoring prowess with two goals in four matches. In the Champions League, he shines as a playmaker with two assists in two games. Arda Güler has hit top form since Xabi Alonso's arrival at Real Madrid. The 20-year-old forward has netted three goals and provided four assists across 10 matches in all competitions. His peer, Kenan Yıldız, dazzles for Juventus with a tally of 1 goal and 3 assists in the league and 1 goal and 1 assist in the Champions League.
Match Results: Turkey
Georgia Team Overview
Willy Sagnol's team, much like the Turks, has had an outstanding year in terms of results. Last summer, they made a sensational run to the playoffs of the European Championship, marking their first appearance in a major tournament in the national team's history. Earlier this year, they secured their place in League B of the Nations League, decisively defeating Armenia (3-0; 6-1). However, their current World Cup 2026 qualifying campaign has been less successful, with losses to Turkey (2-3) and Spain (0-6). Nevertheless, the Crusaders did secure a victory against Bulgaria (3-0). At home against Turkey, they put on a commendable performance, leading in possession (54% to 46%), shots (15 to 6), and expected goals (1.11 xG to 0.98 xG). It should be noted, though, that the visitors played with ten men from the 71st minute.
The Georgian national team might be experiencing the best period in its history-just look at the lineup featuring Mamardashvili, Mikautadze, and Kvaratskhelia. In the current season, Khvicha hasn't scored for PSG in Ligue 1 yet, but he did find the back of the net against Atalanta in the Champions League and is the top scorer for the national team in World Cup qualifying with two goals in three matches. Mikautadze has recently hit a good run of form, recording 2+1 in five La Liga matches and scoring once in the Champions League for Villarreal. This mirrors his performance in the main European competition for the national team during qualification.
Match Results: Georgia
Latest news
Turkey
🎙 The head coach of the Turkish national team shared his thoughts on the victory over Bulgaria. "Today's match was full of firsts for us. Zeki Çelik scored his first goal, Hakan Çalhanoğlu reached his 100th cap, and Kenan Yıldız, especially in official matches, netted his first brace for the national team. We are thrilled with these milestones. We've leveled the goal difference with our direct competitors. The match against Georgia is very important for us. They are a direct rival. We will start preparing for this match from today," said Vincenzo Montella.
✅ The Turkish national team prepared for the qualifiers with an optimal lineup. Galatasaray winger Barış Yılmaz missed the match against Bulgaria due to a red card suspension. However, his suspension is now over, and he can aim to be included in the squad against Georgia.
Georgia
🎙 The head coach of the Georgian national team shared his thoughts on their defeat to Spain in the recent World Cup qualifier. "There's not much to say here. Spain are like they're from another planet. We can try our best and give it our all, but when Spain play at that level, we simply stand no chance. We have to admit they play a completely different kind of football, of very high quality. A 0-2 scoreline - you could say we were lucky," said Willy Sagnol.
❌ In the match against the Spaniards, the headline player for Georgia, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, suffered a muscle injury. The severity of the injury is yet to be determined, but he couldn't finish the previous game and was substituted in the 69th minute.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The match will be officiated by Radu Marian Petrescu from Romania. His average for yellow cards in the local league stands at 4.5 over the last 20 matches. Both national teams are known for their fiery temperaments. In the last Nations League, at least four yellow cards were shown in 6 out of their 8 games. In their last World Cup qualifier head-to-head, the teams collectively earned seven yellow cards and two reds. We anticipate a similarly intense level of competition in the upcoming game. Our prediction: total yellow cards over 4.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Recent matches involving both teams have been quite thrilling. Turkey has long been known for high-scoring games, with three or more goals scored in 13 of their last 14 World Cup qualifiers. In official matches featuring Georgia, this total was reached in 5 of their last 6 games. In Kocaeli, we expect, if not a goal fest, at least a total goals over 2.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Georgia doesn't shy away from playing reactively, especially against superior opponents, and there's no shame in that. At EURO 2024, Willy Sagnol's team averaged just 37% possession over four games yet sensationally advanced to the playoffs. This style doesn't completely close off their chances on goal, which they exploit, particularly from set pieces. In 9 of their last 10 matches, Georgia earned at least three corners. While Turkey will likely dominate possession in Kocaeli, this won't prevent Georgia from achieving over 2.5 total corners.
Editor's Prediction
Georgia's task of avenging their loss to Turkey is complicated by the away nature of the match and the injury to their key playmaker, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. However, even without their attacking leader, the Crusaders' lineup remains strong enough. They weren't planning on dominating in Kocaeli anyway. Of course, Khvicha's speed would have been invaluable for Willy Sagnol's counterattacking strategy, but the alternative in Zuriko Davitashvili has been performing well lately. The Saint-Étienne winger has netted four goals in eight rounds in Ligue 2, and in the September qualifiers for the national team, he notched up a goal and an assist.
The Turkish defense is far from flawless, having failed to keep a clean sheet in eight of their last nine World Cup qualifiers. This suggests that despite Georgia's lineup issues, they are more than capable of scoring a goal. Betting on both teams to score (yes) seems quite reasonable, although the hosts have a higher chance of winning. We predict they will secure a 3-1 victory.
Betting Tips: Turkey - Georgia
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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