PAOK vs AEK Athens Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 15 February 2026
🔊 We're gearing up for a key clash in the 21st round of the Greek Super League as PAOK take on AEK. Both teams are in excellent form, showcasing impressive scoring ability in recent matches. PAOK firmly hold the third spot in the standings, aiming to close the gap with the leaders, while AEK sit at the top and have no intention of giving up their position. Considering the statistics and closely matched odds, an evenly contested game can be anticipated.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 19 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - AEK Athens):
- ball possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 6 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams PAOK Thessaloniki and AEK Athens:
- played 72 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 31, for the away team - 24, draws - 17;
- number of goals (home/away) - 72 against 75;
- average total goals in the match - 2.04.
Head-to-head statistics PAOK - AEK Athens
PAOK Thessaloniki Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Cup tournament (home team - PAOK Thessaloniki, away team - Panathinaikos Athens). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (PAOK Thessaloniki vs Panathinaikos Athens):
- ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 7 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 0.
PAOK continue to impress with their performance at home, securing victories in 14 of their last 15 league matches. In their most recent five games, the team has claimed three wins, drawn once, and suffered one defeat. The hosts boast an average of 2.16 goals scored per game while conceding a mere 0.68 goals per match. The team thrives on dominating opponents through ball possession.
Match Results: PAOK Thessaloniki
AEK Athens Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Super League tournament (home team - Panserraikos, away - AEK Athens). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:4.
Here are the match stats (AEK Athens vs Panserraikos):
- ball possession: 80% vs 20%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 0;
- fouls: 6 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
The "Yellow and Blacks" are also in peak form, sitting atop the table with an impressive 12-match unbeaten streak in the Super League. Their defense is nearly impenetrable, conceding just 0.65 goals per game. Although their forward play often relies on counterattacks, Marco Nikolić's side boasts an average of 1.85 goals per match, thanks to their rapid wingers and threatening set pieces.
Match Results: AEK Athens
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: PAOK Thessaloniki (Home) vs AEK Athens (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- Number of wins: 5 (50%) vs 3 (30%);
- Number of losses: 1 (10%) vs 2 (20%);
- Number of draws: 4 (40%) vs 5 (50%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.4 vs 1.1;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.3 vs 0.4.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 0 vs 3;
- Number of draws: 6 vs 4;
- Average first half total: 1.4 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0.2) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.4).
- PAOK Thessaloniki scored in the 1st half in last 5 home games (Super League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 72;
- home team wins - 31, away team wins - 24, draws - 17.
Statistics: PAOK Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens
- matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 20;
- wins: 14 vs 15;
- win percentage: 74% vs 75%;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 8 vs 7;
- losses: 1 vs 1;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- AEK Athens won with a +1.5 handicap in last 19 games.
- AEK Athens won with a +1.5 handicap in last 12 games (Super League).
- AEK Athens won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 away games (Super League).
- AEK Athens won with a +1.5 handicap in last 9 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1.04;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.04;
- both teams scored: overall - 25; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: PAOK Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens
- average total in the tournament: 2.84 vs 2.5;
- average total goals scored: 2.16 vs 1.85;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.16 vs 0.6;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1.25;
- PAOK Thessaloniki: average total at home in the tournament - 2.2;
- AEK Athens: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.4) vs 2.3 (away - 2.6).
- AEK Athens have scored in 18 of last 19 games.
- AEK Athens have scored in 16 of last 17 away games.
- AEK Athens have scored in last 12 games (Super League).
- AEK Athens have scored in 9 of last 10 away games (Super League).
Prediction on corners
PAOK Thessaloniki: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.89; at home field - 6.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 6.6.
AEK Athens: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.4, away - 5.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; away - 6.
- PAOK Thessaloniki have taken over 4.5 corners in last 13 home games.
- PAOK Thessaloniki have taken over 4.5 corners in 9 of last 10 games (Super League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 72;
- both teams scored all-time - 25 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
Statistics: PAOK Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens
- number of matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for PAOK Thessaloniki at home - 3 (30%);
- number of BTTS matches for AEK Athens away - 4 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for PAOK Thessaloniki at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for AEK Athens away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (17/138, 12.3%);
- PAOK Thessaloniki at home most often finish matches: 3:0 (3/10, 30%);
- AEK Athens away most often play: 0:1 (3/10, 30%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.37% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 9.7% (odds 8)
2:1 - 8.87% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the strengths of both teams, we're anticipating a tense match. Betting on the outcome is a risky endeavor. Therefore, based on current trends, our main recommendation is to place a wager on PAOK to have over 4.5 corners. Razvan Lucescu's side has surpassed this mark in 13 consecutive home games, as well as in 9 of their last 10 Super League matches. We expect the hosts to dominate possession for the majority of the game.No comments
Betting Tips: PAOK Thessaloniki - AEK Athens
in 8 of last 9 away games.in 5 of last 6 away games (Super League).
in 14 of last 15 home games (Super League).in 7 of last 8 home games.in 18 of last 19 games.in last 12 games (Super League).in last 9 away games.in last 25 home games.in last 15 home games (Super League).in 11 of last 12 games.in 8 of last 9 games (Super League).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
