Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 December 2025

    🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Atletico Nacional Medellin and Independiente Medellin are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 22:00. The tournament match Cup will take place in the city of Medellin at the Estadio Atanasio Girardot stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Atletico Nacional Medellin being the favorite of the match.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 04 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Atletico Nacional Medellin):

    • ball possession percentage: 42% vs 58%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 2;
    • fouls: 17 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 6 vs 7;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Atletico Nacional Medellin and Independiente Medellin:

    • played 58 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 22, for the away team - 15, draws - 21;
    • number of goals - 89 against 61;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.17, in the 2nd half - 1.41;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.59.

    Head-to-head statistics Atletico Nacional - Independiente Medellin

    39%
    24 Wins
    36%
    22 Draws
    25%
    15 Wins
    Total games
    61
    Avg. total goals
    2.56
    Both teams scored
    54%
    1.52
    Average total
    1.03
    2.15
    Yellow cards
    2.07
    Last matches
    12.04.26
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    -
    -
    3
    4
    4
    8
    1
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    4
    8
    1
    2
    18.12.25
    Cup
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    -
    -
    3
    0
    4
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    0
    4
    2
    2
    2
    13.12.25
    Cup
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    4
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    4
    5
    04.12.25
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    2
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    1
    0.57
    1.53
    1
    2
    17
    16
    6
    7
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.57
    1.53
    1
    2
    17
    16
    6
    7
    23.11.25
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    0.86
    0.59
    4
    8
    17
    9
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.86
    0.59
    4
    8
    17
    9
    1
    3
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    Atletico Nacional Medellin Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 8 December 2025 as part of the Liga Aguila tournament (home team - America de Cali, away team - Atletico Nacional Medellin). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.

    Here's the game statistics (Atletico Nacional Medellin vs America de Cali):

    • ball possession: 53% vs 47%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
    • fouls: 11 vs 17;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 4.

    📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Atletico Nacional Medellin delighted their fans with 4 victories, settled for a draw in 3 matches, and lost 3 times.

    ⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 1.6, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 2, and the average number of goals conceded is 1.3.

    Match Results: Atletico Nacional Medellin

    Last matches
    08.10.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Tolima
    Tolima
    -
    -
    4
    6
    12
    11
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    12
    11
    0
    2
    D
    01.10.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    -
    -
    7
    5
    13
    16
    5
    5
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    5
    13
    16
    5
    5
    W
    26.09.26
    Club Friendlies
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Chapecoense
    Chapecoense
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    0
    1
    D
    25.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    -
    -
    3
    2
    16
    17
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    2
    16
    17
    3
    2
    D
    21.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Llaneros
    Llaneros
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    -
    -
    4
    9
    15
    12
    5
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    9
    15
    12
    5
    2
    L
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    Independiente Medellin Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 8 December 2025 as part of the Liga Aguila tournament (home team - Independiente Medellin, away - Atletico Junior). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.

    Here are the match stats (Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Junior):

    • ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
    • fouls: 11 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 2.

    📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Independiente Medellin gifted its fans with 4 victories, played to a draw 3 times, and finished 3 games with a defeat.

    ⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:

    • total number of goals - 14;
    • average goals scored - 1.4;
    • average goals conceded - 0.9.

    Match Results: Independiente Medellin

    Last matches
    06.10.26
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    -
    -
    7
    5
    11
    13
    5
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    5
    11
    13
    5
    4
    L
    30.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    -
    -
    2
    4
    12
    14
    2
    3
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    12
    14
    2
    3
    D
    27.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    2
    6
    18
    10
    2
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    2
    6
    18
    10
    2
    3
    L
    22.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Jaguares de Cordoba
    Jaguares de Cordoba
    1
    -
    -
    7
    3
    9
    11
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    3
    9
    11
    2
    2
    W
    18.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Bucaramanga
    Bucaramanga
    1
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    -
    -
    1
    9
    13
    16
    2
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    9
    13
    16
    2
    3
    D
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 58;
    • home team wins - 22, away team wins - 15, draws - 21.
    👉Prediction: Atletico Nacional Medellin to Win (odds: 1.65)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.53, the guests - 1.05;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.59;
    • both teams scored: overall - 32; at the home team's field - 17.

    Statistics: Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Independiente Medellin

    • average total in the tournament: 3 vs 1.88;
    • average total goals scored: 2.38 vs 1.25;
    • average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.5;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.38 vs 0.75;
    • Atletico Nacional Medellin: average total at home in the tournament -  2.75;
    • Independiente Medellin: average total away in the tournament - 0.67;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2) vs 1.4 (away - 1.4).
    Trends
    • Atletico Nacional Medellin have conceded in 7 of last 8 home games against Independiente Medellin.
    • Independiente Medellin have scored in 21 of last 23 games.
    • Independiente Medellin have scored in 8 of last 9 away games.
    👉Prediction: Independiente Medellin will score goal (odds: 1.48)

    Prediction on corners

    Atletico Nacional Medellin: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.13; at home field - 7;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 5.8.

    Independiente Medellin: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.63, away - 5.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 6.2.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (11,5) (odds: 3.3)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 58;
    • both teams scored all-time - 32 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 17 times.
    Trends
    • Atletico Nacional Medellin have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games against Independiente Medellin.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (odds: 1.78)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (9/76, 11.8%), 2:0 (9/76, 11.8%);
    • Atletico Nacional Medellin at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 2:0 , 4:0 , 4:1 (1/4, 25%);
    • Independiente Medellin away most often play: 0:1 (2/3, 66.7%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 13.05% (odds 7.5)
    1:1 - 11.32% (odds 7)
    2:0 - 10.33% (odds 8.5)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Atletico Nacional Medellin have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games against Independiente Medellin.

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-145
    Published: 11/12/2025, 22:24

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    Betting Tips: Atletico Nacional Medellin - Independiente Medellin

    Atletico Nacional Medellin have won the 2nd half:
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 8 of last 9 home games.
    2nd Half Atletico Nacional Medellin to Win
    +149
    Atletico Nacional Medellin have won:
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 8 of last 9 home games.
    Atletico Nacional Medellin to Win
    Bovada
    +100
    Independiente Medellin have not lost:
    independiente-medellinin 7 of last 8 games (Cup).
    Independiente Medellin will not lose
    -147
    Atletico Nacional Medellin have not lost:
    atletico-nacional-medellinindependiente-medellinin 16 of last 17 home games against Independiente Medellin.
    atletico-nacional-medellinindependiente-medellinin 9 of last 10 games against Independiente Medellin.
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 17 of last 18 home games.
    atletico-nacional-medellinin last 8 games (Cup).
    Atletico Nacional Medellin will not lose
    -370
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    1 - Loss
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 21
    Conceded - 9
    +12
    +3
    16 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    2
    1
    Losses
    4
    Goal difference
    21
    Scored
    16
    9
    Conceded
    13
    3
    Average total per match
    2.9
    2.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.6
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    43'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    56'
    View all stats