Mariehamn vs Gnistan Prediction

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The main thing

    ⭐️ In the upcoming Matchday 10 fixture of the Veikkausliiga, Mariehamn are set to take on Gnistan. Both sides have their share of issues, and this clash promises to be a tough contest. Mariehamn currently sit at the foot of the table, while visitors Gnistan, though also in the lower half, have shown more consistency in their recent performances. How will this encounter unfold? Check out our prediction below.

    Head-to-Head

    The most recent official meeting between these sides ended in a 2-2 draw. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that match (Gnistan were the home team):

    • Possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • Corners: 7 vs 2;
    • Fouls: 10 vs 13;
    • Yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • Shots on target: 6 vs 6.

    📊A statistical preview of the official head-to-head meetings between Mariehamn and Gnistan:

    • The sides have faced off 10 times;
    • The hosts have claimed 1 win, while the visitors have come out on top 5 times, with 4 draws;
    • Total goals scored: 10 for Mariehamn, 18 for Gnistan;
    • Average first-half goals: 1.3; second-half goals: 1.5;
    • Average total goals per match: 2.8.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    10%
    1 Win
    40%
    4 Draws
    50%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    10
    Total Goals Avg
    2.8
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1
    Total average
    1.8
    1.1
    Yellow cards
    1.6
    Last matches
    30.01.26
    Liigacup
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    IFK Mariehamn
    IFK Mariehamn
    -
    -
    7
    2
    10
    13
    0
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    -
    -
    7
    2
    10
    13
    0
    1
    09.08.25
    Veikkausliiga
    IFK Mariehamn
    IFK Mariehamn
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    1
    1.01
    2.07
    6
    9
    11
    13
    2
    2
    2
    5
    0
    2
    2
    3
    1.01
    2.07
    6
    9
    11
    13
    2
    2
    03.05.25
    Veikkausliiga
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    IFK Mariehamn
    IFK Mariehamn
    0.93
    1.13
    4
    3
    16
    5
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0.93
    1.13
    4
    3
    16
    5
    1
    1
    08.02.25
    Liigacup
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    IFK Mariehamn
    IFK Mariehamn
    -
    -
    8
    3
    0
    0
    0
    1
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    3
    0
    0
    0
    1
    15.09.24
    Veikkausliiga
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    IFK Mariehamn
    IFK Mariehamn
    -
    -
    7
    13
    5
    6
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    7
    13
    5
    6
    1
    1
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    IFK Mariehamn Team Overview

    The team's most recent official fixture took place in the Veikkausliiga, with HJK playing host to Mariehamn. The match ended in a 1-0 victory for the home side.

    Here are the key match statistics (Mariehamn vs HJK):

    • Possession: 40% vs 60%;
    • Corners: 1 vs 7;
    • Fouls: 16 vs 13;
    • Yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • Shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    Mariehamn are currently in the midst of a crisis, struggling to find form with just four points from nine matches. Their attack has lacked cutting edge, averaging only 0.9 goals per game-one of the lowest tallies in the league. Over their last ten outings, they have managed just two wins, underlining their inconsistency. Still, Mariehamn tend to find the net at home, scoring in eight of their last nine matches on their own turf. However, defensive frailties persist, as they concede an average of 1.2 goals per game.

    Match Results: IFK Mariehamn

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Veikkausliiga
    HJK Helsinki
    HJK Helsinki
    IFK Mariehamn
    IFK Mariehamn
    -
    -
    7
    1
    13
    16
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    1
    13
    16
    2
    3
    L
    26.05.26
    Suomen Cup
    IFK Mariehamn
    IFK Mariehamn
    Lahti
    Lahti
    -
    -
    7
    5
    17
    15
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    5
    17
    15
    3
    3
    L
    23.05.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Jaro
    Jaro
    IFK Mariehamn
    IFK Mariehamn
    -
    -
    2
    4
    20
    10
    1
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    20
    10
    1
    2
    L
    16.05.26
    Veikkausliiga
    IFK Mariehamn
    IFK Mariehamn
    Kuopion Palloseura
    Kuopion Palloseura
    -
    -
    1
    9
    14
    13
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    9
    14
    13
    1
    1
    D
    13.05.26
    Suomen Cup
    IFK Mariehamn
    IFK Mariehamn
    Puiu
    Puiu
    -
    -
    9
    6
    -
    -
    0
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    9
    6
    -
    -
    0
    1
    W
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    Gnistan Team Overview

    The visitors’ most recent official fixture came in the Veikkausliiga, where they faced Gnistan away from home. The game ended in a 3-2 scoreline.

    Here’s a breakdown of the key match stats (Gnistan vs SJK):

    • Possession: 42% vs 58%;
    • Corners: 2 vs 9;
    • Fouls: 14 vs 15;
    • Yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • Shots on target: 8 vs 4.

    Gnistan, meanwhile, have looked more assured, sitting eighth in the table with 11 points. The side have recorded four wins, two draws, and four defeats in their last ten outings, underlining the need for further improvement if they are to push higher up the standings. Notably, Gnistan have picked up three victories in their last five fixtures, suggesting a potential uptick in form. However, away matches continue to pose a challenge: in eight of their last nine games on the road, Gnistan have failed to score more than once.

    Match Results: Gnistan

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    Seinajoen
    Seinajoen
    -
    -
    2
    9
    14
    15
    3
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    -
    -
    2
    9
    14
    15
    3
    2
    W
    23.05.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Tampereen Ilves
    Tampereen Ilves
    1
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    11
    19
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    11
    19
    3
    1
    L
    16.05.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    Jaro
    Jaro
    -
    -
    4
    3
    8
    14
    1
    1
    5
    0
    1
    0
    4
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    8
    14
    1
    1
    W
    09.05.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Vaasa PS
    Vaasa PS
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    -
    -
    8
    4
    13
    9
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    4
    13
    9
    2
    2
    D
    05.05.26
    Veikkausliiga
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    Inter Turku
    Inter Turku
    -
    -
    0
    10
    8
    6
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    0
    10
    8
    6
    2
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 10;
    • home team wins - 1, away team wins - 5, draws - 4.

    Statistics: IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan

    • matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
    • wins: 0 vs 3;
    • win percentage: 0% vs 33%;
    • losses: 5 vs 4;
    • draws: 4 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 4;
    • losses: 5 vs 4;
    • draws: 3 vs 2.
    Trends
    • IFK Mariehamn won with a +1.5 handicap in last 11 home games.
    • IFK Mariehamn won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 games.
    • IFK Mariehamn won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 home games (Veikkausliiga).
    • IFK Mariehamn won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games (Veikkausliiga).
    👉Prediction: IFK Mariehamn Handicap (+1.5) (odds: 1.27)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1.8;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.8;
    • both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 2.

    Statistics: IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan

    • average total in the tournament: 2.11 vs 3.11;
    • average total goals scored: 0.56 vs 1.44;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.44;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.22 vs 1;
    • IFK Mariehamn: average total at home in the tournament -  1;
    • Gnistan: average total away in the tournament - 0.5;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1.2) vs 1.5 (away - 0.8).
    Trends
    • IFK Mariehamn have scored in 8 of last 9 home games (Veikkausliiga).
    • Gnistan have conceded in 19 of last 21 games (Veikkausliiga).
    • Gnistan have conceded in 13 of last 14 away games.
    • Gnistan have conceded in last 12 away games (Veikkausliiga).
    👉Prediction: IFK Mariehamn will score goal (odds: 1.45)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 10;
    • both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 2 times.

    Statistics: IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 4;
    • number of BTTS matches for IFK Mariehamn at home - 3 (75%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Gnistan away - 2 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for IFK Mariehamn at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for Gnistan away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.95)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (12/58, 20.7%);
    • IFK Mariehamn at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/4, 50%);
    • Gnistan away most often play: 1:1 (2/4, 50%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    0:1 - 13.61% (odds 6)
    1:1 - 12.08% (odds 5.5)
    1:0 - 10.25% (odds 9)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both sides have struggled to find the back of the net this season, making a high-scoring affair unlikely. Mariehamn continue to face problems in attack, while Gnistan, despite showing slight improvement recently, remain inconsistent on the road-a trend reflected in their recent away results. Given the current form of both teams, we should expect a tight contest with few clear-cut chances. Backing under 2.5 goals looks like a well-founded prediction here.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -125*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (10 June 2026, 05:47)

    Will this prediction come true?

    Total votes cast: 0

    Betting Tips: IFK Mariehamn - Gnistan

    IFK Mariehamn have not won
    ifk-mariehamnif-gnistanin last 8 games against Gnistan.
    ifk-mariehamnin last 9 games (Veikkausliiga).
    Gnistan will not lose
    -385
    IFK Mariehamn have not lost
    ifk-mariehamnin 7 of last 8 home games (Veikkausliiga).
    Gnistan have not won
    if-gnistanin 8 of last 9 away games.
    if-gnistanin last 7 away games (Veikkausliiga).
    IFK Mariehamn will not lose
    -127
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    ifk-mariehamnif-gnistanin last 7 IFK Mariehamn games against Gnistan.
    ifk-mariehamnif-gnistanin last 6 IFK Mariehamn games against Gnistan (Veikkausliiga).
    ifk-mariehamnin 8 of last 9 IFK Mariehamn home games (Veikkausliiga).
    if-gnistanin 20 of last 21 Gnistan games (Veikkausliiga).
    if-gnistanin 13 of last 14 Gnistan away games.
    if-gnistanin 11 of last 12 Gnistan away games (Veikkausliiga).
    if-gnistanin last 8 Gnistan games.
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    -333
    IFK Mariehamn have scored
    ifk-mariehamnin 8 of last 9 home games (Veikkausliiga).
    Gnistan have conceded
    if-gnistanin 19 of last 21 games (Veikkausliiga).
    if-gnistanin 13 of last 14 away games.
    if-gnistanin last 12 away games (Veikkausliiga).
    IFK Mariehamn will score goal
    -222
    View more facts

    Mariehamn - Gnistan Table position

    Veikkausliiga 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    7.
    Lahti
    Lahti
    932412-1011
    8.
    Gnistan
    Gnistan
    932413-1511
    9.
    Tampereen Ilves
    Tampereen Ilves
    1023513-219
    10.
    Jaro
    Jaro
    101458-177
    11.
    Seinajoen
    Seinajoen
    91358-146
    12.
    IFK Mariehamn
    IFK Mariehamn
    90455-144

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 12
    -3
    0
    15 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    2
    5
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    15
    12
    Conceded
    15
    2.1
    Match goals average
    3
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    4
    Both teams scored
    4
    100'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats