PAOK vs AEK Athens Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 May 2026
🔊 In the Greek Championship clash, PAOK will face off against AEK. The visiting team are on a quest for the championship title, so we can expect the Athenians to take the initiative. Their squad depth certainly allows for it. Meanwhile, the hosts, striving to secure a Champions League spot, will also give it their all. It's uncertain how the match will unfold, but the pressure from this season's favorites will be felt throughout the 90 minutes.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 19 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 3:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - AEK Athens):
- ball possession percentage: 39% vs 61%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 25 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams PAOK Thessaloniki and AEK Athens:
- played 74 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 31, for the away team - 25, draws - 18;
- number of goals (home/away) - 72 against 78;
- average total goals in the match - 2.03.
Head-to-head statistics PAOK - AEK Athens
PAOK Thessaloniki Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Super League tournament (home team - Olympiacos, away team - PAOK Thessaloniki). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (PAOK Thessaloniki vs Olympiacos):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 5;
- fouls: 10 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 6 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
The hosts haven't had the best run lately, managing just one victory in their last five matches. Despite this, the team holds onto the second spot, which secures a place in the Champions League. The Thessaloniki side will fight tooth and nail to maintain this position. Looking at the stats, their attack is nearly flawless, averaging almost two goals per game. Their defense also stands strong, conceding just over 0.7 goals on average. However, this performance is mostly seen against weaker opponents. When facing the top four teams, the situation deteriorates significantly. Just a month ago, they suffered a heavy defeat against AEK, losing 3-0.
Match Results: PAOK Thessaloniki
AEK Athens Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Super League tournament (home team - AEK Athens, away - Panathinaikos Athens). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Athens):
- ball possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 1;
- fouls: 11 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
AEK's recent performances have garnered nothing but positive feedback. In their last four matches, they've secured three victories and just one draw. They are a leading contender for the championship title, having built a solid lead and showing no signs of slowing down. Recently, they defeated Panathinaikos 2-1. Statistically speaking, their attack is highly effective, averaging just over 1.8 goals per game. Their defense is also one of the best in the league, conceding only 0.6 goals per game. However, their defensive prowess is most evident in home matches; away games might present more challenges.
Match Results: AEK Athens
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 74;
- home team wins - 31, away team wins - 25, draws - 18.
- AEK Athens have drawn in 4 of last 5 away games (Super League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.97, the guests - 1.05;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.03;
- both teams scored: overall - 25; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: PAOK Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens
- average total in the tournament: 2.6 vs 2.43;
- average total goals scored: 1.87 vs 1.83;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.93 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.93 vs 1.17;
- PAOK Thessaloniki: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- AEK Athens: average total away in the tournament - 1.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2) vs 1.8 (away - 1.4).
- AEK Athens have scored in 8 of last 9 games (Super League).
Yellow Cards Bet
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.28 (2.64 for home team and 2.64 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.57 (2.51 for home team and 3.06 for away team).
PAOK Thessaloniki: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.7; at home - 1.53;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2; at home - 1.6.
AEK Athens: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.8, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; away - 3.2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 74;
- both teams scored all-time - 25 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (30/219, 13.7%);
- PAOK Thessaloniki at home most often finish matches: 3:0 (4/15, 26.7%);
- AEK Athens away most often play: 0:1 (4/15, 26.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.53% (odds 6)
1:1 - 11.69% (odds 6.2)
2:0 - 9.77% (odds 6.8)
Editorial Prediction
Despite both teams having high tournament ambitions, it's unlikely they'll resort to a defensive approach. Throughout most of the season, PAOK and AEK have achieved their goals primarily through offensive play. The visitors, equipped with forwards experienced by European standards, might find good opportunities even against a deep defensive line from the hosts. This encounter is unlikely to be a low-scoring affair, and a goal from the capital side is one of the more likely outcomes. Our editorial team suggests betting on AEK's total over 0.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: PAOK Thessaloniki - AEK Athens
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