Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 May 2026
🔥 The first leg of the Liga MX Clausura semi-finals is set to ignite as Mexico City’s Cruz Azul host Guadalajara. This highly anticipated clash promises plenty of drama. Cruz Azul have been prolific in front of goal, with most of their matches featuring goals at both ends, while Guadalajara are renowned for their resilience and ability to make life difficult for any opponent. With both sides embracing attacking football, fans can expect an entertaining contest. Check out our prediction for this match below.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official clash between these sides ended in a 2-1 victory for Cruz Azul. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that encounter (Cruz Azul were the home side):
- Possession: 39% vs 61%;
- Corners: 2 vs 2;
- Fouls committed: 12 vs 16;
- Yellow cards: 7 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Cruz Azul and Guadalajara:
- 46 matches played;
- home victories - 18, away victories - 11, draws - 17;
- goals scored - 56 for Cruz Azul and 44 for Guadalajara;
- average goals in the first half - 1, in the second half - 1.17;
- average total goals per match - 2.17.
Head-to-head statistics Cruz Azul - Guadalajara
Cruz Azul Team Overview
Cruz Azul finished third in the league table at the end of the regular season and booked their spot in the quarterfinals with ease. In the last eight, the Mexico City side faced off against Atlas, claiming back-to-back wins (3-2 and 1-0). Renowned for their attacking brand of football, Cruz Azul consistently look to dictate play and dominate possession in midfield. They boast plenty of quality up front, but defensive lapses remain a concern. Their matches are often entertaining affairs with plenty of goals on display.
Match Results: Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Team Overview
Guadalajara finished second in the Liga MX regular season, securing a confident spot in the Clausura quarterfinals. In the opening playoff round, they faced Tigres and advanced despite suffering a 1-3 defeat in the first leg. The visitors are known for their disciplined approach and their ability to set up an effective counter-attacking system. While they may opt for a more cautious game plan, they consistently pose a threat going forward thanks to their quick transitions from defense to attack.
Match Results: Guadalajara
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 46;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 8; for visitors away - 5; number of draws - 10;
- Average first-half total: 1;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.61, while the visitors net 0.39.
First-Half Stats: Cruz Azul (home) vs Guadalajara Chivas (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 19;
- wins: 8 (40%) vs 5 (26.32%);
- losses: 2 (10%) vs 7 (36.84%);
- draws: 10 (50%) vs 7 (36.84%);
- Average goals scored: 1.45 vs 1.21;
- Average goals conceded: 0.55 vs 0.63.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 6 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.5).
- Cruz Azul scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- home team wins - 18, away team wins - 11, draws - 17.
- Cruz Azul have won in 6 of last 7 games against Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX).
- Cruz Azul have won in last 5 home games against Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.22, the guests - 0.96;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.17;
- both teams scored: overall - 25; at the home team's field - 15.
Statistics: Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas
- average total in the tournament: 2.9 vs 2.95;
- average total goals scored: 1.8 vs 1.76;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.78 vs 0.87;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.03 vs 0.89;
- Cruz Azul: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Guadalajara Chivas: average total away in the tournament - 1.37;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.6) vs 2.2 (away - 1.25).
- Guadalajara Chivas have scored under 1.5 goals in 11 of last 12 away games against Cruz Azul (Liga MX).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- both teams scored all-time - 25 times;
- on the home team’s field - 15 times.
- Cruz Azul have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Liga MX).
- Cruz Azul have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (37/331, 11.2%);
- Cruz Azul at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 2:1 , 3:2 (3/20, 15%);
- Guadalajara Chivas away most often play: 1:2 (4/19, 21.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.5% (odds 6)
2:1 - 9% (odds 7)
1:0 - 8.4% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The best odds right now are found in the total goals market. Cruz Azul have both scored and conceded regularly in recent matches, while Guadalajara have shown a similar pattern. The likelihood of both teams finding the net is high. Both clubs favour an attacking style of play, which often leads to high-scoring encounters. Their head-to-head history also suggests that each side is capable of causing problems for the other. In a semifinal with so much at stake, it's unlikely either team will sit back and defend, increasing the chances of goals at both ends. A 1-1 draw looks like a realistic outcome.
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Betting Tips: Cruz Azul - Guadalajara
in 6 of last 7 games against Guadalajara (Liga MX).in last 5 home games against Guadalajara (Liga MX).
in last 7 games against Guadalajara (Liga MX).in 17 of last 18 games (Liga MX).in 13 of last 14 home games.in 10 of last 11 home games (Liga MX).in last 7 games.
in 28 of last 29 games.in last 22 games (Liga MX).in last 19 home games (Liga MX).in 8 of last 9 away games (Liga MX).in 21 of last 22 Cruz Azul games.in 15 of last 16 Cruz Azul games (Liga MX).in 9 of last 10 Cruz Azul home games.in 6 of last 7 Cruz Azul home games (Liga MX).in 8 of last 9 Guadalajara away games (Liga MX).Comparison of Teams Stats
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